JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/24/21

Dan Szymborski

12:03

CHAT BEING NOW

DAN

12:03

Do you think the Giants rotation is going to sustain this success with the substance crackdown and/or escape more injury (such as the yearly Alex Wood 60-day trip)?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

I don't have a real basis for saying which team will benefit from this really. It's all an unknown right now

But the Giants have enough wins bagged that they probably just need to go .500 the rest of the way to make the playoffs

Seth

12:04

Has perception of Christian Pache’s FV slipped due to his struggles offensively at the beginning of the season?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

He's been lousy enough that you *should* think a little worse of him. But not *that* much.

12:06

Think of a projection as a moving number that bends and changes depending on events after the projection. The performances since the preseason have inarguably not been good and that's a part of his record.

12:06

Any worries on Jo Adell? Second year of struggling, this time in AAA. That K rate is atrocious. Power, sure, but seems to be it.

Dan Szymborski

12:06

He's young and has some unfortunate breaks in development time

So I'm highly concerned

but I would be careful about writing him off

Dave

12:06

Are chili cheese fritos an acceptable topping for chili?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

What your feel with the top couple picks of the draft with no clear cut #1 and 7-8 guys in the top tier? Draft the board or try to cut an under slot deal?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

Draft the board. It's too bad you can't trade draft picks in baseball

Kate

12:09

Is DeJong really this bad or is he getting severely unlucky? xStats seem to think it's more the latter.

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Hang on, let me just fire up zBABIP

12:11

ZiPS doesn't think he's playing *great* or anything

12:12

but thinks he should have a .257 BABIP from his hit data rather than his current sub .100 one

Dave

12:12

How does ZiPS handle projecting platoon players with clear platoon splits? Will it show projections based on platoon usage?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

ZiPS will assume that past platoon use will continue since it can't project team intentions (and I keep my thumb off the scale).

You *can* remix. L/R should be part of the basic package next year

Kate

12:13

Does Kim eventually end up with a full-time role (either in SD or elsewhere)? Can't help but feel like the lack of consistent PT in SD is hindering his ability to adjust.

Dan Szymborski

12:13

I think he does - I think he's largely improved too

It is a large adjustment to make

John B

12:13

Zips had an improbably high Projected WAR on Ha-Seong Kim - something like 4 WAR per year for five years. What do you think now ?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

It's definitely looking high!

Derek

12:13

It's your birthday?? Happy birthday!

Dan Szymborski

12:13

Friday was my birthday, but this is my first birthday at <groan> 43

YardGoat

12:14

Random question -- Have you found anything that works to get cats to lose weight? Have a husky middle aged feline that needs to lose a few pounds

Dan Szymborski

12:14

My cats all lost weight with grain free from middle age

12:16

Galileo at 10 vs. 16 after grain free

djtofu

12:16

Many Giants players are outperforming their pre-season predictions. Which ones do you think are most likely to continue to outperform vs regress?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Posey I'm more optimistic about and Gausman too. I can't see Crawford suddenly being THIS good though

Tons of Fuller

12:17

Assuming that the Angels didn't hire Minasian to run the team the same way Eppler did, what can he do at the deadline (assuming they remain out of it) to recharge the team? Is this is a situation where he might have to take a step back to take a step forward? Does trading Rendon or Ohtani ever get on the table?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

Improving while removing those two would be VERY tricky

Jim Leyland Palmer

12:18

Have you ever had a proper Detroit-style Coney? Thoughts?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

I have not. It's a little busy for me. I don't like hot dogs that involve me making a godawful mess.

12:19

I like Chicago hot dogs, but I can eat them without anything flopping on my shirt

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