JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/29/23

Prev Page View Full Chat

Appa Yip Yip

1:01

The answer is make weapon repair kits. So many weapon repair kits. Until you get the jury rigging perk and then you never pick wonderglue up again.

Stolan Nones

1:01

Please don't forget to do your Futures Game player projections piece!!!

Dan Szymborski

1:01

Oh yeah, some years I forget about it lol

Stolan Nones

1:01

I have a big offensive piece for you right here...

Nick

1:01

My favorite pre-exit-velo-revolution pitching season is 2003 Nate Cornejo: 194.2 IP, 2.68 B/99, 2.13 K/9 (!!!), middle of the road FIP, 1.6 WAR. You could throw a lot more slop knowing that most hitters weren't trying to hit it out of the park

Dan Szymborski

1:02

Learning what happened to Jeff Ballard was another big push towards young me to getting more involved in learning the inner workings of sabermetrics

3.43 ERA, 18 Wins, 6th in the AL in Cy Young voting. 2.6 K/9

Genuinely curious

1:02

Great to see a perfect game occur again (finally) after a decade, but I see a lot of people conflicted about the person who pitched it, given the unsavory history of Domingo German. Curious on your thoughts on this, should we separate the accomplishment from the personal character or let that stain the perfect game?

Dan Szymborski

1:02

I think this is a personal thing for each person

1:03

There's no objectively proper way to balance what you think of a person and what you think of a person's accomplishments

1:04

There are a *lot* of composers who were really shitty people. But I don't listen exclusively to Mendelssohn and Haydn.

1:05

And if someone hears Handel's music and hears not the music but thinks of things he did, then who am I to tell them they're wrong?

1:06

From enjoying German's perfect game to wishing him out of your mind forever, it's not my place to judge how people react

Brock

1:06

What is your most recent tweak to the methodology for Zips?

Dan Szymborski

1:06

I added BSR into the readout for a client that really wanted it in their package

Cat Latos

1:06

how do my cat friends do?

Dan Szymborski

1:07

Justinian is asleep on top of the PC. Constantine was meowing about something in the living room. Cassiopeia is asleep in the cat tree and Mercutio is asleep on the living room couch

Appa Yip Yip

1:07

I think the difference is that Mendelssohn has been dead for a long time. German abused his partner like a year ago.

MilwaukeeBeerJays

1:07

The domingo-germain thing: it's separating the art from the artist. Plenty of examples of that especially recently

Dan Szymborski

1:07

Again, you guys should judge for yourselves!

1:08

I'm not a judgey person.

Nate

1:08

Does Zips have a way of concluding that a player was hurt over a period of time in a way that significantly affected performance and not factor it into future projections? (Acuna's 2022 is what I'm thinking of as an example).

Dan Szymborski

1:08

Yes, ZiPS reacts to injuries in a general way

Captain ACAB

1:08

What is the best projected season ever according to Szyps? Babe Ruth after 1927? Barry Bonds after his late career surge? Rey Ordoñez every year?

Dan Szymborski

1:08

I've never actually gone back and done everyone in history!

1:09

I did do a Time Warp for Ted Williams, so I imagine that he had the best projection

or maybe A-Rod in one of the early years of ZiPS

Bird Crap

1:09

The Zips MLEs for westburg were...very optimistic. Does your gut feeling align with that?

Dan Szymborski

1:09

Remember, it's a translation, not a prediction

Mickey Moniak isn't a 1.000 OPS hitter either

1:10

but the performance *did* happen!

It's just not a prediction

Phil

1:10

Are you ever tempted to blame Zips's odder projections on cat hair getting into the motherboard?

Dan Szymborski

1:10

No, because I keep the inside of my PC immaculate and use my datavac once a month

1:11

and with a side intake through a radiator, dust mostly gets on the radiator, which is easy to clean, and I don't really get much that turns around the corner and gets on the motherboard

On that note, it's time for me to head out for another week

Thanks for coming everyone!

Connecting…

Message History

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Dan Szymborski hosts a chat