JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/30/22

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Dan Szymborski

12:47

12:50

Gary

12:50

Have you ever considered using ZiPS or your model making background to gamble for yourself?

Dan Szymborski

12:50

Yes

12:51

I used to do a yearly thing on ESPN where I make predictions and bet $200 on each

Got Scherzer's first breakout and Yelich's 2018

Houzer

12:51

Who do the Paadres not re-sign .. Clevinger, Musgrove, Manaea?

Dan Szymborski

12:51

I think Manaea most likely to be a rental

Random Cards fan

12:51

If Goldschmidt hits like Zips has him projected for the rest of the season, is that an MVP worth season? Or is it a case like Vlad Jr. last year where really great 1st baseman loses out to player with better positional value?

Dan Szymborski

12:51

I think he falls short

Houzer

12:51

wonder if Correa is still going to demand 300M+ and 10 years?

Dan Szymborski

12:52

He might, but I'm not sure he would actually get it

Appa Yip Yip

12:52

The year is 1932, you are George Washington Carver. What hitherto undreamt of use for the peanut do you come up with?

Dan Szymborski

12:52

Mr. Peanut sex robots

Steve O

12:52

Gleyber actually has a career high in xWOBA and batted ball data. His wRC+ is basically the same as those juiced ball seasons and he's at ~34 HR/650 PA pace. He's good and is still just 25 years old.

Kyle

12:52

Re: ZiPS 600. Yes, I know that there is a ZiPS DC. I'm directly asking if we could do a ZiPS 600 if you were to be so kind? It's puzzling to me that the projection industry doesn't use 600s to isolate true talent. PT somewhat obscures this.

Dan Szymborski

12:52

I could do that

Isaac

12:52

Will contact hitters still be in baseball in 10 years? (Astudillio, Tapia, etc)

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Yes, there's always room for guys who make contact, especially at prime defensive positions

Jeff

12:53

Do physical anomalies like Oneil Cruz create any special problems for Zips? Or does size not matter...

Dan Szymborski

12:53

I've found dsize not to be very helpful

Seamus

12:53

As long as he's a Padre, it's gotta be "Holy Joe Musgrove". It also means he can only ever change teams if it's to join the Angels or Cardinals.

TomBruno23

12:53

Can Vinny Pasquantino become the next Kila Ka'aihue if everything breaks right?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Ouch

TomBruno23

12:53

Are you a football guy? I have season tickets for St. Louis City SC (starts in 2023) and would love to host you and ZIPS for a match. Impossible White Castle Sliders on me for the tailgating.

Dan Szymborski

12:53

I'm not, unfortunately

12:54

I tend to like sports based on how I enjoyed playing them as a kid

(except hockey, though it's been a long time since I followed)

And I really did not like playing soccer as a kid

There was simply too high a ratio of running to fun stuff

12:55

Baseball, there's a lot of standing between the running

and football, there's some fun violence

RTJ

12:55

Have you ever been contacted by casinos to help with setting lines or odds?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

I have done some consulting, but I can't go into specifics, though I can say nothing this micro, more macro things

Who's Fabio?

12:55

Hey Dan - curious if you know about any research into synthetic/bionic pitching arm ligaments. Is science trying to develop something to last longer than humans have pushed things?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

I don't, but it's something I expect to be a bigger deal in coming decades

Printable ligaments WILL be here at some point

12:56

and I expect that it'll be something that becomes a standard procedure for prospects while in college or minors

Morbo

12:56

Dan, I don't see how dsize would in anyway be relevant to baseball ability it isn't even strongly correlated with height. On second thought, how the hell did you get dsize of MLB players?

Dan Szymborski

12:56

oh god, did I have an unfortunate extra character?

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