Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/6/16
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Erik
12:12
Would Freddy Galvis get enough of a return at the deadline to be worth shopping? What sort of return does a light-hitting, solid defense shortstop command? With the imminent arrival of J.P. Crawford, I can't imagine Galvis will have much value for the Phillies in the future, so even one lottery ticket might be worth it.
Dan Szymborski
12:13
Depends on what's going on at the time - much of trade deadline trades isn't based on pure value, but the local situation at the time
Zorak
12:13
Okay Dealin' Dandy, we're gonna pretend you're the Mets GM. How do you fix their infield? Or do you just try to scrape by with Flores and Loney at the corners?
Dan Szymborski
12:14
I think scraping by is their best option right now, especially at third
Bob Dobolina
12:14
Love what Villar's doing, but he's riding a sky-high BABIP. What are you seeing for him RoS?
Dan Szymborski
12:14
I don't think the RoS projections are unreasonable here
Q
12:15
Who do you believe are the top 5 outfields in the league?
Dan Szymborski
12:15
I dunno, some combo of Pirates, Angels, Marlins, Mets, Cubs?
12:16
(Having Trout is super helpful)
Chris
12:16
Are you worried about Andrew McCutchen?
Dan Szymborski
12:16
Concerned
Avi
12:16
Been trying to determine super two cutoffs. When will teams start hitting the cutoff date (as in an actual date)?
Dan Szymborski
12:16
That's almost impossible to determine because you don't know what everyone's service time will be in two years.
There's no magic date - it relies on a whole lot of future decisions.
Miguel Sano
12:17
What is my future position? Can I stick anywhere defensively? Or am I career DH?
Dan Szymborski
12:17
Doesn't look like outfield. Still worth trying Sano at multiple locations since it's in the Twins interest that he stick at a non-DH position
And the Twins season is over yet
Steve
12:18
warriors or cavs?
Dan Szymborski
12:18
I picked Warriors at the start, so being 2-0 isn't going to make me switch
Sorry, meant to keep that for the Lightning Round
The Farthammer
12:18
John gray is sneaky nice this season. Take out two short outings and hes throwing up great ratios and k/9.
Dan Szymborski
12:18
ZiPS has been a fan of Jon Gray for awhile
Ritt Momney
12:19
Is Manaea over the hump yet?
Dan Szymborski
12:19
Cautiously optimistic, but it was the Twins.
12:20
I'm happy he reached the majors so that we got a definitive answer to whether we call him Sean or Seth
Bert
12:20
Is Eovaldi developing consistency to settle in as a solid #3 for the Yanks?
Dan Szymborski
12:21
I think he's a #3, but I always expect him to be inconsistent.
12:22
At half a run worse than his FIP over like 3000 batters faced now, there's some real issues there that have predictive value
Chad
12:22
Do the Rays roll with Steve Pearce at 2B going forward, since Morrison is hitting now.
Dan Szymborski
12:22
The Rays like juggling
greg
12:22
Jay Bruce doesn't necessarily *look* atrocious in RF, but the metrics hate him. Is this just him being slower and not being able to cover much ground?
Dan Szymborski
12:22
Well, he's not fast (but most RFs aren't). I don't get too excited over short-term defensive stats.
El Guapo
12:22
Are you sold on Greg Bird being the Yankees 1B of 2017 on?
Dan Szymborski
12:23
If he's healthy, sure, though there's always a risk
Chad
12:23
Do you see Justin Turner bouncing back to somewhere closer to the guy we have seem for the past 2 years?
Dan Szymborski
12:23
I literally have no idea on Turner now.
The Farthammer
12:24
Any insight if we see one of the young PBurgh arms come up this week? If so, which one? Jameson right?
Dan Szymborski
12:24
Don't know this week, but it's gotta be soon.
12:25
Yeah, they don't want to pay arbitration a year early, but there's a real wild card race and all their starters have kinda stunk except for Cole and they have two of the best high-minors pitching prospects in baseball ready to go
Erik
12:25
Bryce Harper has been slightly disappointing for a while now. Is there any chance the theory that he's been "walked cold" could be true? Could seeing so many pitches outside the zone lead to him swinging at slightly worse pitches or something like that, for understandably human reasons such as boredom?
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