JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/1/2019

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Jaffe rhymes with Taffy

12:18

Happy Canada Day Dan! Turns out Dom Luszczyszyn (aka Dom Smith) does hockey projections. I mean, with the tough last name and projections common ground how do you guys not know each other?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

lol

Szymborski easy compared to that

12:19

Dan, will Austin Meadows ever get the chance to be a true full-timer? He seems to be benched semi-regularly against LHP despite a .278/.297/.472 split and 102 wRC+ against southpaws.

Dan Szymborski

12:19

Probably

Gub Gub

12:19

As much as I like it, I've come to the conclusion that the name Hobart is just a little too yokelly for my future son.

CamdenWarehouse

12:19

Are you going to lead a tour at SABR next year?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

Don't make me do stuff. I'll just be hanging around drinking I'm sure

Xolo

12:19

What would it cost for the Padres to unload Wil Myers?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

Quite a bit - I don't think he'll have a lot of interest

Look at the dismal market for EE

12:20

Now Wil.i.be has more defensive value than EE, but still

Ryan

12:20

What, if any, improvements would you make to the All Star selection process?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

None. The ASG is, for me, the least interesting bit about all-star week.

12:21

Futures Game > HR Derby > Extra vacation day > maybe I get tacos > ASG

James

12:21

I know it’s unrealistic for a player to hold a true talent BABIP of ~.360+. Then I watch Tatis Jr play and I think, “Yeah, he will maintain his .440 BABIP”.

Bosoxboy

12:21

Rafael Devers and Yoan Moncada = legit?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

Tentative yes

scary because Yoan always makes me a believer and then he has a .600 OPS for two months and it feels like Santa left me a letter telling me I'm a loser

pieman

12:22

SNL or SCTV?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

SNL, but mainly because I've seen more and am not old enough for SCTV

SNL when good is very good

Which makes up for the bland musical acts and the generally awful recurring characters

Ya Herd With Perd

12:23

Is "herding" an issue with projections? The ROS projections on Fangraphs seem to fall within a fairly narrow band of outcomes. I feel like we should be seeing more variance between the different projection systems... but then again, I have no good reason to expect to see that.

Dan Szymborski

12:23

It's not like projection systems work DRASTICALLY different from each other

Wylie Burp

12:23

Hi Dan. McKay vs. NYY or Paddack @ LAD? I'll take my answer off the air.

Dan Szymborski

12:23

Paddack

Paul

12:23

Is Kyle Tucker more likely to be in majors playing for Houston or another team by end of July?

Dan Szymborski

12:23

Houston

Martin

12:24

Who are your top minor league stashes for potential hitter impact ROS?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

If actually were called up now, Bichette and Robert

LFC Mike

12:25

Biggest snubs for ASG in your opinion? Shame about Mancini not making it.

Dan Szymborski

12:25

Bogaerts, Sale, Lynn

Morbo

12:26

Dan, last night I took a one piece of bread put peanut butter on one half and jelly on the other before folding it in half. I then proceeded to eat the fold thereby creating two non-conjoined pieces of bread. At what point if any did my snack become a sandwich?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

when you ate the final hinge

12:26

The Knicks NEEDED to give Durant the max, so that he can attract other top FA in the future. I liken this to when Detroit paid Pudge a lot of money so that he could attract other players to the Tigers.

Dan Szymborski

12:28

Would it be churlish to note the Tigers didn't really make any big signings after that?

12:29

The best guys they signed were pillow contracts for Ordonez and Rondell White

Unless II'm forgetting

Eric

12:29

Hey Dan! I really enjoy reading stories where you elaborate a bit on the math of ZIPS, and was wondering if there was a place which gives a detailed mathematical description of ZIPS inasmuch as what you’re willing to share?

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