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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/11/16
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AvatarDan Szymborski
12:12
Really depends on the opportunities available. Too-specific targeting is fraught with peril
Erik
12:12
How do 5-years ZiPS forecasts work? The same methodology as one year or different?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:12
Similar to the one year
Though more possibilities.
Since it's a Cone of Ignorance
Pessimistic White Sox Fan
12:12
Are you aware of any research that has been done that ties number of games consecutively played versus run production/run prevention over time? A lot of speculation has been made that that poor play of the Cubs is tied to fatigue and no time off - I'm just curious how relevant that statement really is.
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:13
Not off-hand, but I wouldn't be surprised if I missed something
ShakeYourTushyHasegawa
12:13
Shouldn't Machado just stick at short at this point or do the O's feel like playing him at 3rd will preserve him in the long term?..obviously he's extremely valuable either way, but man, he's great.
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:13
He should be at short.
Jeff
12:13
Thoughts on Byron Buxton potentially putting it together for a big 2nd half?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:13
I remain stubbornly optimistic about Buxton
Colin
12:13
Does Eduardo Rodriguez ever figure it out? And does figuring it out equate to more than a back end starter?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:13
Think he's still a 3/4 guy long term. There was a brief moment that he did get overhyped.
Danny
12:13
Do you think xOBA is a good signal for ROS projections for hitters and do you plan on incorporating statcast data in some fashion into ZiPS?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:14
I've found pbp data harder to incorporate on in-season. Statcast, there's still a lot of work to do.
Erik
12:14
What are ZiPS' biggest blind spots? Is it more accurate for some player profiles than others?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:14
Not really - calibration is the easier part.
Unless you're talking about something like injured players
But that's not really a player profile
Unless you're talking about Steve Ontiveros or something
Ryan
12:15
Do you see Contreras being the primary Catcher next year for the Cubs?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:15
I suspect so.
Vinny the K
12:15
I need Margot for some SBs in an NL only league. Do you see him coming up before Renfroe to man CF for the Friars?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:15
No
Burts_beads
12:15
What are your thoughts on Aledmys Diaz going forward? Seems to make a lot of good contact, he's for real, right?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:15
Not going to say he's real to *this* level, but he's done enough that he's at least "good" now.
mike sixel
12:15
How many fans will get hit in the stands, while staring at their phones, trying to find Pokeman? Quite the phenomena! Let's say that now that Sano is at 3B, Kepler is in RF, and Berrios comes up....the Twins are close to .500 in the second half (a guy can dream), would you plan for next year based on the full year's awful results, or the much better 2nd half results as being the true talent going into next year?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:16
I wouldn't plan based on either - it's kind of a simplistic way of planning.
Bork
12:16
If the All-Stars were turned into vampires and had to fight which all-star would win?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:16
Uh
12:17
I think speed is important for a vampire, no? You don't see big lumbering vampires
So who's the fastest All-Star? So JBJ or Marte?
Zorak
12:17
On behalf of all Mets fans, I'd just like to say, Brandon Phillips, I hate you.
Whats that Odor
12:17
Do you think Puig gets moved? What kind of return would LA be able to get for him?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:17
Not at this stage. There's no purpose to moving him.
phred g sanford
12:18
Have you seen lamont anywhere?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:19
Gene Lamont? Still with the Tigers unless I missed some very low key news over the weekend
Greg
12:19
First big name to be traded this summer?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:19
Lucroy
Maxamuz
12:19
Trumbo to win HRD
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