JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/14/22

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Dan Szymborski

12:03

Welcome to chat!

12:04

Feel free to flood with questions, no matter how goofy, because this didn't appear on the site until five minutes ago, so my queue is looking rather ribsy.

12:05

Where is the FG draft week coverage?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

That's Eric's department! I'm sure he has stuff planned

Greg

12:05

Is run differential more or less predictive if you remove the most extreme outcomes on either side of the spectrum (i.e. remove 5 biggest wins and losses for a team and then calculate run differential). Thinking about teams like the Pirates who have some sizable losses but very few sizable wins. Are they more like a -125 run diff team or a -85?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

I think generally, considering how many games there are, it wouldn't really change things much

I would actually expect more predictive by a very slight margin

Appa Yip Yip

12:07

What do you think the difference in trade return is between a hypothetically vaxxed Benintendi and the actual unvaxxed Benintendi? No AL team is gonna touch him.

Dan Szymborski

12:07

I think it might be significant depending on schedule

Like the in-season games aren't important for the Yankees

12:08

but the possibility of acquiring a player who would be unavailable for half of a Toronto series? That's tough. It's a few games, but they're incredibly high leverage ones

Greg

12:09

Is anyone covering the draft or doing any pre-draft coverage for Fangraphs?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

I'm not really involved in that sphere so I haven't been in the discussions. I do see Eric's final mock draft in the queue, which will appear before the draft

Appa Yip Yip

12:09

The Jays fired their manager then won 8-2 while pulling off two successful hit and runs. I don't have a question this is just going to be fodder for the terminally online fans with the worst baseball takes I am sorry the Jays did this to y'all

Dan Szymborski

12:10

I dunno, Earl Weaver hated the hit and run and I'm not going to like stuff he did not!

Insert Witty Name Here

12:10

Recently rewatched office space and I couldn’t help but be reminded of you when Milton was on screen. How far off base am I?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

In terms of working, probably. But I'm actually disappointingly well-adjusted generally without any real social issues other than my general laziness about social things.

And I like my job!

Rob

12:11

What path do you recommend the Orioles take for the trade deadline? Trade Lopez and Mancini? This win streak seems to have fans excited (myself included) but as a pragmatic fan this was never going to be their year and their roster has some major flaws.

Dan Szymborski

12:12

I think they'll wait as long as they can to make a decision

12:13

If they're still with a non-zero wild card chance in two weeks, they probably stand pat and might even make a low-key acquisition or two

Lopez can likely be traded at another time

and Mancini's not going to really fetch *that* much in return

Dayton Moore Talking Head

12:13

Why is it always the Royals?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

Guest

12:14

Which bat are the padres going to focus on the most on the trade deadline? If you say Gallo I need to go lie down.

Dan Szymborski

12:15

I think they make a push for Laureano or try and convince the Pirates to not hang onto Reynolds any longer

Guest

12:15

Pick one to roster vinne pasquantinfo, laureno, Nate lowe, or Christopher morel.

Dan Szymborski

12:15

If you need the position, Lowe is the safest

AJ Preller

12:15

Better target if you’re the padres? Ramon Laureano or Adolis Garcia?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

Laureano

Dayton Moore Talking Head

12:17

I know you dig Pratto but are any of the other Royal Replacements interesting?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

I haven't seen the whole confirmed callup list yeat, but Michael Massey, Brewer Hicklen, and Nate Eaton would be interesting at least

Honestly, these are the types the Royals should be looking at to see what they can do rather than hanging desperately onto the husks of legacy Royals like Whit.

12:19

If they were interested in being the best team they could be as quickly as possible.

Insert Witty Name Here

12:19

Thoughts on The Mars Volta? I know you’re a classical guy, what do you think Beethovens review of Deloused in the Comatorium would be?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

I've listend to them, but not really enough to really judge. I'm not really a prog rock guy.

Owen Miller

12:20

Hey Dan - almost at the ASB and my line (.246/.300/.369) is almost identical to what ZiPS had me at (.248/.298/.371) - great work! Any idea why on Earth I still have a job?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

In fairness, I projected an easier league to hit in

Chris

12:20

What’s your take on O’s plan w DL Hall? Any chance he comes up after the break to help out?

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