JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/2/2020

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Dan Szymborski

12:38

Of course they're in a position to lie. If you have a mic, you can lie.

They didn't make up a figure and say "MLB teams make $200,000 in profit every game!"

Walt

12:38

I'm curious how ZIPS is going to project minor leaguers next year. Will it basically just be their 2021 projection from pre-2020 (assuming they don't play in the majors) since you won't have any additional information?

Jimminy

12:38

Also, why did everything about the negotiations get published? It seems that if they came to the same conclusion by doing everything in discretion and not trashing the other sides we could be coming into the season with much more appreciation.

Dan Szymborski

12:38

Because owners talk to Bob

12:39

Walt, the weighting will be considering less for most recent season

Guest

12:39

Dan what happens when a month from now 20% of players test positive for Covid-19 and they cancel the season, do they still get a year of service time?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

Yes

Jimminy

12:39

They do lie, but not regarding team finances.

Dan Szymborski

12:39

YOu wanted me to take the owners side in a *debate over finances*

Jimminy

12:39

They also trashed the owners for some necessary and some unnecessary reasons.

Dan Szymborski

12:40

There's a difference between lying and being mean.

Jimminy is a big poopyhead = mean

I'm going to tell a reporter that Jimminy stole my wallet = lie

A Tribe Called Kipnis

12:40

If safe to proceed, how would the Arizona Fall League work this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

god only knows

Tony

12:40

How long do you think in season we will see pitchers go 6-7 innings?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

Not very. I think even top pitchers get a lot of 5 inning specials

Bigfoot Erotica

12:41

With so many guys getting the virus just staying home, theoretically living their normal lives, does it seem like playing pro sports would be any *more* risky right now? I realize traveling a lot adds a wrinkle, but you also have access to testing and monitoring everyday that you wouldn't have at home. It seems like the risk is high doing about anything, so why not get paid.

Dan Szymborski

12:41

As I said, I think the people who think that baseball having COVID positives represents a failure in itself is missing hte point a bit

Jimminy

12:41

Woahhh, Dan. I'm a big fan and I will return your wallet.

Dan Szymborski

12:42

MY SUBMARINE HOUSE LOYALTY CARD BETTER STILL BE IN THERE

Jimminy

12:42

I'll read up a bit more and do a better job articulating the positives and negatives of both sides.

A Tribe Called Kipnis

12:42

How much of this is Rob Manfred being over his head and how much is Tony Clark hiring Don Fehr-protege Bruce Meyer to take over as lead negotiator for the MLBPA?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

Hard to say. I talk to people on both sides about things, but I'm not there day to day

Pizzalonso

12:42

If baseball expands to 32 teams, where would you like to see those two teams located and how would you re-align leagues and/or divisions?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

Gross

No realign league or divisions

12:43

If I'm the dictator, I'd put a team in NY, a team in NC, and stick them both in the east divisions

Tony

12:43

Do think some teams might go with a 4 man rotation later in the season when push for playoffs come

Dan Szymborski

12:43

Not unless innings are lower

Guest

12:43

Can you explain to me why the MLBPA would’ve accepted any deal from the owners? Whatever maximum games the owners offered (here 60), if the players didn’t accept, how would the owners have been able to back down from that number without opening themselves up to a grievance ?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

Well, for one, their representative not announcing to the press that they were never actually willing to negotiate the number

Acub

12:44

Hey Dan,
from your point of view, which language would the best one to code a projection system like ZiPS? Talked today to a Data Analyst at my company, and he surprised me a lot by suggesting SQL.

Dan Szymborski

12:44

Python

But I'm not a coder

Guest

12:44

Maybe this explains that strange meeting between Clark & Manfred. (btw not condemning the MLBPA it was a good tactic)

A Tribe Called Kipnis

12:44

If you got one of those crowd cardboard cutouts, would you use your spilled french fry photo?

Dan Szymborski

12:45