JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/28/22

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/28/22

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Dan Szymborski

12:13

I think it *likely* means that a Soto deal wouldn't be a Yankee one if it happens now, but it would happen if it's over the winter

Jason Kendall

12:15

Where does Jose Quintana ultimately land, and what does he bring back to the Bucs?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

I could actually see him ending up with the Braves. There's a lot of risk with him, but the team could use a 3/4 inning eater dude

The return will likely be lighter than Benintendi's

Unless I'm REALLY misreading the Quintana market

Guest

12:15

Joey Gallo is still fairly young, he could come back and hit over .200 some year, right?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

Yes

The Ghost of Bobby Thigpen

12:16

Ironic joke trade...

Soto to the Mets...part of the package is the Mets have to pick up the rest of Scherzer's deferred salary!

Zach

12:16

I've heard a lot lately about how teams have a system that assigns value to players, similar to baseballtradevalues.com. I assume this is purely on-field production, so how does a team also value the future monetary value a player brings in based on their stardom?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

It depends on the team, really.

I don't have exact specifics, but I hear enough from teams that I can make educated guesses

12:17

Most, I believe, are a bit less rigit than baseballtradevalues

Jon

12:17

Should the Yankees sell? Given where they are on the win curve and their huge lead in the division, could they shed some players and pick up some long term talent?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

Eh, I don't think they want to make themselves weaker for the playoffs

Jonathan

12:17

If you had ZiPS do a "Top 10 Surplus Value" list based on contracts and projections for the next bunch of years, which players do you think would be on it?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

Honestly, I dont' think it would be that much different than Ben's list

Cave Dameron

12:18

What is the optimal temperature for sipping coffee? Thank you Dan!

Dan Szymborski

12:18

100 or so. I don't like drinks to be really hot

If i have to delicately sip or burn my lip or tongue, it's too hot for me

Jon

12:19

What is your favorite of your cursed OP-AI series?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

I might feel dumb in a minute, but what?

EP

12:21

As it stands right now, who has the higher trade value, Montas or Castillo?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

I would suspect Castillo by a bit

Ozzie Smallbies

12:21

what doez ZiPS think about

Dan Szymborski

12:21

Electric sheep

trophy

4

laughing

2

party

2

HenryS

12:22

What's realistic for Bell to the Astros? One of Garcia/Javier and an average prospect?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

I would be shocked if someone the caliber of Garcia or Javier went in a theoretical Bell trade

12:23

I don't think Bell's value is appreciably different than, say, Benintendi's. It's two months of a B+ starter at a non-premium defensive position

Billy Eppler

12:24

Does Arte Moreno not want to trade Ohtani to me? I offered him plenty of flawed position players and single A pitchers!

Dan Szymborski

12:24

Did you offer someone washed up too? He's got have his name brand dudes

Jason Kendall

12:24

How does Max Meyer's TJS affect the Marlins willingness to add him in a trade ala the Reynolds Rumors from the offseason?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

I actually suspect the Marlins are more likely to sell somebody than buy somebody!

James

12:25

Josh Bell to the Astros just makes sense right?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

I mean it does, but they REALLY love Yuli

Pat

12:25

You flying in for these Camden Yards 30th anniversary festivities? I figured you wouldn't miss a luncheon with Mike Devereaux and Jeff Reboulet

Dan Szymborski

12:25

Is there a lunch? Nobody invited me!

Colton

12:26

Haven't heard much buzz on Mahle, think he'll be dealt somewhere by the deadline?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

I actually suspect no

The Reds seem to want to fire sale but also simultaneously maintain the illusion that they're not

12:27

Kinda like when they dumped half the team and then added Minor and Pham

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