JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/28/22

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Dan Szymborski

12:46

it took RED SOX Miguel Rojas biographical information

12:48

So naturally, when ZiPS was projecting that at the end of the next five years, that Miguel Rojas would have an OPS+ of 130, I had to go back in!

grover

12:48

Hi, Dan. In your last chat you proposed sending Montas to Minnesota for Austin Martin and two injured pitchers. Can we get re-do?

Dan Szymborski

12:48

I like Martin more than most, it seems

The Great Giambino

12:49

I just checked a couple places on odds certain players get moved by the deadline. Frankie Montas is at -145 to stay in Oakland and that feels suuuuuper high to me

Dan Szymborski

12:49

Well remember, the A's don't have to move him RIGH TNOW

Matt

12:49

Everyone seems to be talking about the Guardians selling some pitching, and to be fair they *have* done an awful lot of that lately, but shouldn't they be acquiring pitching? Their rookie position players are enjoying tremendous success so far, with several more still to come. They seem a couple arms short of true contention.

Aaron

12:50

Thoughts on Gordon Solie Motherfuckers ()?

Guest

12:50

The correct answer to "How you weigh?" is "With the scales from Monty Python and the Holy Grail."

Rocco Baldelli

12:50

Is Jose Miranda for real, and has he secured a full time role yet?

Dan Szymborski

12:50

I think mostly

and he ought to

it's funny given how down people suddenly became on him after his first month

12:51

even people who should know better

And if you're stilld own on him, check out how he's played lately!

Guest

12:51

I was clearing my phone the other day and found a screenshot I’d taken in 2016 because something you wrote in your chat made me laugh. Upon reading it six years later, I laughed again. Keep up the good work.
You reckon JD Martinez/Robertson/Chafin would be sufficient/realistic for the Mets?

Dan Szymborski

12:51

Do you remember what it was?

I think the Mets might just roll with JD/Big Dan

Guest

12:51

You've mentioned a couple of times before that ZiPS likes Mark Vientos. Given the dearthy production the Mets have received at DH, should he get a shot soon? Or do you get the impression, like a lot of people in the Twitterverse, that the Mets would prefer to use him as trade bait? At this point, I feel like I'd rather see them part ways with Smith and/or Davis and give him a shot.

Dan Szymborski

12:51

Related question

I know I wrote about this SOMEWHERE

12:52

but I suspect that if the Mets were really high on Vientos, they already have had good opportunities to use him

I think that he's a trade possibility

GA Blood

12:52

Has there been any consideration to feeding zips updates to the 3-year projections section on player pages throughout the season? As a reference, Ben is documenting Jazz Chisholm's projected ZIPS WAR at 2.4 and 2.5 the next two years but his player page says 1.4 and 1.6.

Dan Szymborski

12:53

First off, the three years are only run before the season, not updated

And second, Ben got the privilege of Full Fat ZiPS rather than the low-calorie in-season one that needs to be used daily, for practical reasons

Mordo

12:53

Which backend starter interests you; Quintana, Smyly, or Mahle?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Quintana if he's as cheap as I suspect, Mahle if he's not

12:54

As for Smyly, never trust a dude who, after hearing SOMETIMES Y, uses it twice in five letters

Mordo

12:55

Who says no?
NYY acquires Ian Happ & Mychal Givens
CHC acquires Gallo, Medina, and Yoendrys Gómez

Dan Szymborski

12:55

The Yankees, presumably

12:56

YOu meant Luis Medina, right?

because I imagine if his name came out the Cubs would SHOUT DONE NOBACKSIES midsentence

Kendrys Morales and the Big Steppers

12:56

Do you have a sense of how much Montas' shoulder blip affected his deadline trade value? Could the A's expect a similar return in the offseason if they held him and he proved he was fully healthy and effective? Or is he still likely to be more valuable now?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

I think that's always a risk. Without waiver trades, there's no second shot at picking up a bad contract or something

And two careful starts post shoulder inflammation, I'd be lying if I said it wasn't in the back of my mind

12:58

Castillo had a sore shoulder too, a more significant one

but that was before the season and he's gotten a lot of solid pitching in since

If the A's get offers that reflect some kind of injury risk, I think they hang onto him

Morbo

12:59

I think jon is asking for your favorite output list from your ai naming things series

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