JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/12/2019

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/12/2019

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Dutch8

12:11

Ramon Laureano has been worth 5.1 WAR over his first 595 career PA, do you expect him to make his way into the top 50 trade values next year?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

That might be aggressive, but I'm a big fan

12:12

But maybe it's not aggressive and I'm overhedging?

AND EVEN THIS IS A HEDGE ROFLMAO

S.S. Madre

12:12

Is this new, improved 2nd half Manuel Margot the real deal? I would love it if the Padres went into 2020 with one less question mark.

Dan Szymborski

12:12

I've been talking up Margot for a long time, so there's going to be some selection bias involved.

12:13

I do think that he was never as bad as he was at his worst.

He may not be a superstar, but I think there's still a chance he'll be Dave Cameron

errr Mike Cameron

Alexander

12:13

The Arizona @ Colorado over/under is at 14. Is it smart to take the under given current wind predictions?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

I am unaware of the wind predictions.

I rarely bet on individual games.

MilwaukeeBeerJays

12:14

Dear Dan: Bo Bichette Bo Bichette Bo Bichette Bo Bichette Bo Bichette Bo Bichette Bo Bichette Boba Fett Bo Bichette Bo Bichette Bo Bichette Bo Bichette Bo Bichette, also please Bo Bichette

Dan Szymborski

12:14

Boba Chette

Russell

12:15

I know it is small sample size but how much has Aaron Civale's 3 major starts and his AAA so far impressed you and ZIPS?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

ZiPS like his minor league performance and I've liked his MLB starts!

Nick Markakis

12:15

Is it actually possible to ban people from your chat?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

I believe so.

Roberto Beers

12:16

What is your favorite in-game baseball scenario? I'm intentionally leaving this a bit vague for interpretation.

Dan Szymborski

12:16

FIVE STRIKEOUT INNINGS

Alex

12:16

Have the A's mishandled the Barreto/Profar situation at 2B?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

I would have liked patience, but in a playoff race, you can understand why the A's are a bit risk-averse

12:18

Barreto should be better than he played in his brief stint this year, but then again, Profar can also make a claim at being surprisingly lousy

Mike from FL (Lance Fan)

12:18

The WAR numbers say Lance Lynn has been the most valuable pitcher in the AL, based on what he's done so far. We know that's retrospective. But where would you rank him in terms of the best pitchers in baseball?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

I'm not sure I'd give him my Cy Young vote (which I don't have, I'm in an NL BBWAA chapter, so I mostly will vote on NL awards and I'm ROY anyway)

But I do think he's made steps that should change our opinion of him.

Our opinions on a player should never be carved in stone.

I can even envision a world in which Ian Desmond is a four-WAR player and I'm on no hallucinogens

IsIt2020Yet?

12:20

In "good replacement" re the Pirates question, my thinking was "how in the world does Bob Nutting convince Chaim Bloom to come to Pittsburgh?"

Dan Szymborski

12:21

Be willing, during the years the team is competitive, to have a $130 million payroll

Rich

12:21

Do the ZIPS ROS standings take into account player injuries in projecting future team win/loss records? I'm thinking specifically about the Yankees and their division odds...seems should be lowered considering the replacement players.

Dan Szymborski

12:21

They use the depth charts which take these into consideration

And they're ZiPS/Steamer combined ROS!

When we're talking about standings

Yo-Yo

12:21

Who is the Cardinals' first $200 million man? Rendon makes a lot of sense, if they are willing to play Carpenter at second base for two years.

Dan Szymborski

12:22

Honestly, after this brutal season, I'm not sure they want to necessarily commit to starting Carpenter anywhere.

He might be in the spot where his best contribution is as a versatile 10th starter

Dbo

12:23

Dan, if a grilled cheese is a sandwich then a quesadilla with two separate tortillas must be a sandwich too!

Dan Szymborski

12:23

There's a certain validity to that point of view

Dbo

12:23

Is two slices of pizza face down on eachother a sandwich?

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