JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/20/18

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/20/18

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Eric Blair

12:53

Jays seem to prefer to sell low and then blame AA because they do not have more pitching prospects. True or false.

cool

1

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Erica

12:53

utz are better than nuts

hungery

12:53

the bubble gum food from willy wonka seemed like a bad idea. just stick to amazing chocolate.

Dan Szymborski

12:54

I always liked the everlasting gobstoppers. Not the movie ones, the ones you can buy

Erica

12:54

shut up gerald

cool

2

All Cats Are Beautiful

12:54

What is the r^2 between baseball skill and WAR?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

I don't think you Pearson that up.

Hello

12:54

Is Jeff McNeil interesting yet?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

He's been interesting for months!

Bob

12:55

Jose Peraza, still only 24
2017
518 PA, .259-.297-.324-.622
2018
528 PA, .292-.334-.412-.74

Even Older Than You

12:55

Any fun memories of the good old rec.sport.baseball days that you can share (most of the young guys on this chat would have no idea what we were talking about)?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

There is of course Ronald L. Maynard, who would threaten to report people who mentioend sabermetrics in rec.sport.baseball as off-topic.

12:56

And James Weisberg, who started a three year thread fighting with every 90s sabermetrics guy around at the time about Cobb vs. Ruth.

Bart

12:56

I'll be retiring from my current job soon and will be looking for new hobbies, probably sports related. Any suggestions?

Dan Szymborski

12:56

There are TONS of hobbies! Really just find what you like

Don't pick a hobby because dickhead internet writer stranger suggests it! I don't know what you like!

I like playing video games; hobbies where you don't put on pants are astounding.

CamdenWarehouse

12:56

so you ARE interested in eating soylent made from people?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

I dunno, I am kind of curious.

Dayton Moore Talking Head

12:57

How many Royals losing seasons does it take to offset the one World Series title and Dayton Moore gets fired?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

3?

Dbo

12:57

Crab seasoning is the best seasoning. Is there such a thing as crab chili?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

Seems easier to just cake the crab.

Of course, Utz doesn't call it Old Bay, but we all know that it's Old Bay.

cool

1

hungery

12:57

how much would a gobstopper cost in today's dollars(we are assuming it is not made by apple/igobstopper and therefore costing one million dollars)?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

$50?

12:58

Forever candy isn't *that* valuable; you can lose it or get fuzzballs or cat fur stuck to it or something

Devil Ray Jay Johnson

12:58

Is your joining of Fangraphs a Willy Wonka-like test to see if you can win the WAR Factory?

laughing

2

Dan Szymborski

12:58

WE DIDN'T GIVE TRAVIS AN OOMPA-LOOMPA SONG

love

2

laughing

1

Walt

12:58

Did you develop an aversion to the word "cordially" because of Maynard?

Dan Szymborski

12:58

Heh

Justin

12:58

At what point will it matter that the Astros actually play like a great team rather than being as talented/peripherally sound as one?

Dan Szymborski

12:59

It's mattering right now.

It "shouldn't" be this close. But it is.

Matt

12:59

I understand that I don't know much about the inner workings of the industry, but it seems that the strong majority of talking heads hold the idea that teams shouldn't trade impending-FA player if they have hope to resign them. This idea seems absurd. Even aside form the Chapman example - let's say Harper wants to resign with the Nats, wouldn't it be in his best interest to allow them to convert his current value into future value potentially surrounding him for his next deal?

Dan Szymborski

1:00

Generally speaking, if a trade is done the right way and the player is cooperative, most players are realistic enough.

Though there are exceptions.

I don't think you avoid trading players for this reason.

Unless it's a player you REALLY want back and the player is extremely resistant to it.

Connecting…

James

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3:53

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Does Ohtani win the ROY if he is able to make a few quality starts next month?

1

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Bing Russell

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3:51

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What is your top ten players for a start up Dynasty league

0

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The Bryce is Right

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4:01

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Harper to the Phillies before August 31 boosts the world series chances by ____%?

0

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Seattle

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4:09

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Why are we so cursed?

0

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C.J. Cron

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4:10

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Why am I not a Rockie? Fill a brutal need, not too expensive, not a rental and Rays clearly have no regular spot for me.

0

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silvpak

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4:15

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has taillon quietly made the leap this year? absent two starts in april and one in may (where he still went six innings and k'd eight, despite allowing six earned), he hasn't allowed more than three earned in ANY start this entire year, has a sub 3.00 era, and nearly eight and a half k/9. given archer at the top of the rotation and that his various dings early in his career have actually served to not overload his arm/innings until maturity, i think we're looking at a decade of #1/#2 performance.

0

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Over Here

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4:16

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Boston needs a lh reliever. Can they get one via waivers?

0

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Bork

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4:16

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Think Donaldson gets moved? If not, will he even get a QO?

0

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dave in slc

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4:16

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are any of miami outfield sierra, galloway, or dean worth spending $5 of my remaining $11 of faab money on to replace pence as a flier they could be something or sit tight w the $ for now?

0

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AKA22

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4:16

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Any relievers left in the August trade market you would go after if you were the Braves GM? They still seem weak in the pen.

0

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Dbo

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4:17

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Cincinnati chili is with cinnamon and sometimes dark chocolate, there's also Mexican chocolate chili

0

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AKA22

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4:19

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Dusty Baker retroactive manager of the year 2017?

0

Reply

lee

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4:20

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The plan in LA seemed to be handing C over to Barnes (or Ruiz, or Smith in a year or two) after Grandal's contract expires, but with Grandal a top 3-4 catcher and Barnes's bat going all Chris Davis on us, what do you think the next 3 years of Dodger catching looks like?

0

Reply

$11 Worth of Taco Bell

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4:20

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This offseason how many years do the O’s give Trevor Cahill?

0

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Jeffy

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4:20

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The pitcher after the "Opener" is the "Follower"

0

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Bort

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4:21

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Any players come to mind that you'll be looking to buy low on next year?

0

Reply

$11 Worth of Taco Bell

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4:22

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Which AAAA hitter has the best chance of breaking out into at least an average MLB player if given the chance?

0

Reply

Jose Iglemirez

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4:22

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Ideas on who the second PTBNL in the Fiers trade will be? Better or worse than Blackwood?

0

Reply

Marshall

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4:22

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Suppose you wanted to trade Kershaw (current ERA+ of 160, but likely only 150 innings for the year) for a pitcher with 200+ innings. What's the lowest ERA+ you would accept for the pitcher you get back?

0

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jake

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4:23

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is this the new amed rosario?

0

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Chuck

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4:23

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How do you feel about Nathan Eovaldi going forward for the Red Sox? He's had a few great starts and a few not-so-great starts so far.

0

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Better career?

-

4:27

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Brian Anderson or Harrison Bader?

0

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Josh Nelson

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4:27

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What is ZiPS projecting for Michael Kopech in 2018?

0

Reply

Justin

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4:29

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You think JD beats Betts? But Betts is so much bett(s)er!

0

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CamdenWarehouse

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4:30

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didn't you have that mammal question two weeks ago?

0

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Bo

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4:33

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Re: ad bars during games, other sports have begun to use this as a way to keep viewers watching during "downtime." I've seen football broadcasts show a live feed of coaches, players, etc alongside commercials. Win-win.

0

Reply

AKA22

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4:33

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You heard it here first - DeGrom for Cy Young and Scherzer for MVP. COULD IT HAPPEN??

0

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David

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4:33

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Isn't a long reliever a failed starter anyways??

0

Reply

All Cats Are Beautiful

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4:34

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What's the r^2 between the current fWAR formula and a perfect measurement of a player's value? Where is the most room for improvement? Defense? Intangibles?

0

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Moltar

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4:36

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Forget not marketing Mike Trout enough, why don't more people know about Mookie Betts? He plays for a first place Red Sox team! He's young and talented and fun! I'm an NL fan and I feel like I hear him mentioned once or twice a month at most.

0

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Devil Ray Jay Johnson

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4:37

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Do the O's make the playoffs again before or after Mars colonization?

0

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The Shell

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4:39

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How come no one talks about those old projection systems like Marcel and Oliver anymore

0

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Andrew

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4:39

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The NL award season is going to be interesting. With a weak field for MVP, I've heard talks of deGrom/Scherzer this year, and not to mention the Cy Young race. How likely is it that the voters start breaking from tradition and give deGrom a shot for one or both awards?

0

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CubFan

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4:40

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You a fan of Taylor Ward ros, 2019?

0

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Tom

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4:41

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NL chapter, eh? Will you give Matt Carpenter a good look despite his slow start?

0

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CubFan

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4:43

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Not that it's overly important in the grand scheme of of things but who's catching on the south side of Chicago in 2019, Castillo or Narvaez?

0

Reply

Mark

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4:43

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Is Keegan Akin an option for the Os rotation next year? Leading Eastern league in ERA and strikeouts

0

Reply

Al Avila

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4:44

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Should Tigers fans trust me

0

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Jim

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4:44

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Daniel Murphy a good fit for the Yankees with Didi out?

0

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HappyFunBall

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4:45

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The pitcher who comes in after the "opener" is the "headliner". Just like with a rock concert.

0

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Dan's Parents

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4:48

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We have never taken it seriously.

0

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David

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4:48

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If you were the braves, and only have the funds to lock up 1 player to a long term contract who would you give it to? Freeman or Acuna?

0

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Dusty

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4:49

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When you say a lot of questions need to be answered about Wander Javier, do you mean by me about him or about him that he has to prove?

0

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Lunar verLander

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4:50

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In-season turnaround HAS to go to Kole Calhoun...right?

0

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Confuzled

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4:50

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When minor league players have a projection that only has like 1 PA, is that predicting what they would do if in the majors currently? How seriously should I be looking at those?

0

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Jim

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4:50

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Thoughts on Mike King from the Yankees?

0

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David

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4:51

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Will Julio Urias ever pitch like he did as a prospect?

0

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Fan

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4:51

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Projections like the Dodgers in terms of playoff success. I don't. Do you?

0

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Hello

-

4:51

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When should the Mets start worrying about Rosario?

0

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Matt

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4:52

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Dan. Save me.

0

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Bob

-

4:53

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Jose Peraza, still only 24
2017
518 PA, .259-.297-.324-.622
2018
528 PA, .292-.334-.412-.745
Thoughts on his future outlook ?

0

Reply

Bort

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4:56

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Does Austin Barnes have a starting job next year?

0

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Joey Bart

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4:57

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Should the Tigers have picked me #1 overall?

0

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Oyster Burns

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4:58

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think gleyber is still hurt or slumping? the hip stuff can be scary

0

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NC GO STL

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4:59

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Harrison Bader's upside?

0

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David

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5:00

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How crazy is this offseason going to be?

0

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Dbo

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5:01

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Nashville deserves an expansion team

0

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Hello

-

5:01

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Great, then should Jeff McNeil be the Mets' 2019 starting 2B?

0

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Bread Gardner

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5:01

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So what did ZiPS say about the number of alien babes Kirk and Riker will sleep with?

0

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David

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5:03

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Charlotte!

0

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James

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5:03

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that was quick

0

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Bread Gardner

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5:04

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Which one (current or historical) major leaguer would you want on your beer league softball team?

0

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Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe

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5:04

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Re: $300 per Orioles run scored, whiskey per run allowed, what if the rules were that the moment you became incapacitated/unable to keep drinking, you'd forfeit the rest of the season? How many games do you think you could make it? Could you last through a grand slam? What if a three-run homer happened later in the inning? You could die before you earned a single dollar!

0

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Matt

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5:05

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What about great GMs as flawless clams? Sans-sand, if you will.

0

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