JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/18/22

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Dan Szymborski

12:16

He's made some poor decisions this year

Though people in their early 20s aren't exactly known for being King Solomon

12:17

I certainly wasn't

David Forst

12:17

Who am I trading Sean Murphy to this offseason and why is it the Cardinals?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

There are more teams that ought to have an interest than just the Cards!

Mithridates of Pontus

12:18

Because they’re completely incompetent, I highly doubt this happens, but if the White Sox do the right thing and flip Giolito over the off-season, what kind of return do you expect they’d get? Any shot of getting a decent ready or near-ready prospect or has he tanked his value to the point they’re better off seeing his tenure through til the bitter end?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

I think given his season, it would be selling low.

Guest

12:18

*Insert obligatory “Thoughts on Harris contract?” question here.*

Dan Szymborski

12:18

There's an article in the queue!

Sharp

12:18

What do the Michael Harris projections look like over the course of his contract? Does ZiPS feel like this was a fair deal?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

ditto

Sharp

12:18

When are the ZiPS projections going to be added to Vaughn Grissom's page?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

In-season? 2023. We don't yet have a mechanism for automatic minor league translations.

Jared handles Steamer's minor league translations on his end

Jackson Ingram

12:19

If I create my own projection system can I name it ZiPS 2?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

You have to have a colon and then a cute name afterwards

12:20

And you can't use Electric Boogaloo because that joke is done

Vomit in the mouth

12:20

Even Ben Macdonald was talking about O's fans needing to root Yankees all week. You could tell he was throwing up a little bit.

Dan Szymborski

12:20

It's awkward!

Vomit in the mouth

12:20

Curious about the Zips 3-year forecast adjustments for rookies, especially scufflers like Josh Lowe and Nick Pratto who still look nice.

Dan Szymborski

12:20

Those are preseason only.

Well, except hwen I run them.

BreggyBomb

12:22

League wide K-rates have fallen in 2022 after year-over-year increases every year since 2007. Also, the league wide wRC+ has settled at 100, as opposed to it sitting consistently just below a league average batting line forever ( excluding 2020). Did strikeout rates finally top out? and why is league average offense up?

Dan Szymborski

12:23

I'll give you a hint on this one! Go to the leagues year-by-year offensive stats. Click on non-pitchers and see what happens.

12:25

Strikeout rate actually dropped more from 2020 to 2021.

It's the pitchers

Contact rate has crept up

Yusei Kikuchi

12:26

How will I do in the bullpen now that Ross Stripling and Mitch White pushed me out? Usually people in my position improve their stuff quality with shorter outings, but my problem seems to be more with location than stuff.

Dan Szymborski

12:26

I'm not sure. You've been a mess with your location lately, even ZiPS is coming off that train.

Plenty of garbage innings to get things right in

John Olerud’s Helmet

12:26

Howdy Mr Dan, what day you on Fernando Tatis Sr response about Juniors suspension?

Dan Szymborski

12:27

I wish my mom was as bad as being objective as Fernando's dad!

My mom always jokes she's never understood why nobody's ever punched me in the face. And she's not wrong lol

I grew up in a *very* objective family.

Jon

12:28

But... Why does Gunnar Henderson need that experience?

Dan Szymborski

12:28

Nothing wrong with a liberal arts glove education

Scotty

12:28

Dan! Ever think about doing a ZIPs time warp for Jason Heyward?

Dan Szymborski

12:28

I have

Derek Yeeter

12:29

"Honestly while I'm not involved in any of their conversations about this, I'd be they see lineup stuff as small enough potatoes to not get into a fight"

Are you involved in any of their conversations about anything?

Dan Szymborski

12:29

I mean, I talk about stuff with people in front offices all the time

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