JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/27/18

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/27/18

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Bread Gardner

12:52

We might have the ninth season in which a team reaches 100 wins but fails to reach the playoffs proper (i.e. LDS, LCS, or WS, not just the stupid one-and-done WC playoff). We could have the seventh season in which there are three 100-win teams, and it would be the first time they all came from the same league. There's even an (extremely) outside shot at four or five 100-game winners, also all from the same league! This is bad for baseball. Exciting! But bad. This paints a kind of damning picture of parity vis-a-vis super teams and tanking.

yawn

2

So, earlier this week I did the WAR math out for two 25-man rosters: one constructed from players of only the top four AL teams (BOS, NYY, HOU, CLE), the other from the other 26 MLB teams. The total team WAR is 106.1 to 96.9 in favor of Team Everybody. Team Everybody has no more than three members from any given team?and WAR advantages only at C, backup C, 1B, CF, UTIL, and bullpen (Team Everybody gets the WAR value of six closers who largely represent their team's only relief threat, and Team Top 4 AL must "make do" with the Yankees bullpen and how it spreads its own wealth). This is bad for baseball. Exciting! But bad.

yawn

2

What would you say is the best type of M&M? There is a correct answer, and it definitely isn't almond.

Dan Szymborski

12:52

The classics

12:53

but almond is good

Dave

12:53

Ugh, I'm sick of Big Lemon

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Justin Upton's Wine Glass

12:53

I would have taco with a Chet Lemon😀

TRANE

12:53

How can a team in 2018 be 1-18 when a certain pitcher starts?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

Badness + Luck = Mets

Richard Hammond

12:54

...and if you attach rocket boosters to a Reliant Robin, it becomes a space shuttle!

WSH

12:54

We talk about how unstable defensive metrics are in the short term with Acuña but we accept that there's no volatility with Bader. How stable is Vader's WAR given his defense being the primary driver?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

We do?

Bread Gardner

12:54

Your car analogy falls apart. I think a more apt comparison would be that removing a wheel from a bicycle does not a unicycle make due to lack of intent (though I would argue it certainly *does* make it a unicycle).

hscer

12:54

just turn the emoji things off next time lol

poo

9

cuee

12:54

Is there any merit to stripping out blowout games when looking at run differential of teams? As a Phillies fan, I feel like their mediocre run differential somewhat underrates their true talent because I feel like they've had more games where they've thrown in the towel and put out a quad A reliever who has given up a bunch of runs than their opponents have.

Dan Szymborski

12:54

No.

Blowouts are the games most likely won by the better offense.

Matt

12:55

So if I add one wheel to my hot dog it becomes a unicycle?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

If you intentionally do it and intend to ride it, it makes a unicycle, just a really stupid one.

TRANE

12:55

Was talking about HOMER BAILEY though

Dan Szymborski

12:55

The weird thing about Homer Bailey is that a homer bailey is where you lock up all the home runs to keep them from happening.

12:56

Homer Bailey should be known as Homer Parole.

Morbo

12:56

It depends if you intend to ride the hotdog

Brian CashGod

12:56

if this chat were a form of wheeled transport, what would it be?

Dan Szymborski

12:56

A Saab story.

Morbo

12:56

ugh not i have that mental image of Matt riding a hotdo

vomit

1

hotdog*

Homer Bailey

12:56

am I a sandwich?

Matt

12:56

Theory: 2 dirty water dogs attached with two strategically places skewers are a steam roller.

David

12:56

Does Austin Riley get a September call up?

Dan Szymborski

12:56

Yes

Bread Gardner

12:57

We're getting into some interesting psychophilosophical territory with this whole "intent" thing. I mean, if I take my hot dog unicycle and accidentally run you over, I'm still the guy who ran you over, regardless of intent.

Dan Szymborski

12:57

It matters for your sentence.

12:58

You have to have the reckless intent to make a hot dog sandwich

vomit

1

hscer

12:58

someone put the crap emoji on my statement about getting rid of the emojis. I find that stupid, and if they do it here that's also stupid

poo

14

Trixie

12:58

Are you surprised the Padres are so bad this year? Looks like they may lose 100 games.

Dan Szymborski

12:58

No

Wild Man

12:58

then its manwichslaughter

Dan Szymborski

12:58

I love the last five minutes of my chats, where everything just falls apart

cool

1

trophy

1

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