JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/6/20

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/6/20

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Chris

12:52

This is the first time you've answered my Kyle Lewis statement different. Usually you just say July. Glad to see you've come around to saying August

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Moore, probably not long-term

Haniger will eventually be back and I don't feel 2020 is as new baseline for him

and there are other fringey guys for the M's to cycle through

and I don't even see him as that good

Human Rain Delay

12:53

How do you feel about future seasons with more double headers but 7 innings each?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

Meh. Seven inning games feels wrong in the majors

caesar_solid

12:54

does time on the 30 man for the first 2 weeks count as normal service time? Because Ashton Goudeau was apparently on the 30 man until today but didn't get a PA and shows no service time

Dan Szymborski

12:54

I believe it should be. These aren't very accurate in-season

Mike Hawk

12:54

My Altuve for his Pearson...in dynasty....have Huira.

Dan Szymborski

12:55

I'm not crazya bout this trade. Pearson has a ton of upside, but ALtuve's already among the best few 2B and there's a great deal of risk with Perason

Guest

12:55

Oh Dannnnnn.... It's Mr. Belvedere time!

Dan Szymborski

12:55

Oh yeah, I said I'd do Mr. Belvedere. Hang on

Human Rain Delay

12:59

How many teams will finish with under 60 games played?

Dan Szymborski

12:59

I'll say 10

Human Rain Delay

12:59

Think mlb will limit teams to 55 games for others to catch up?

Dan Szymborski

12:59

Probably no

1:00

We'll see how deep it gets

Guest

1:00

let's say Ohtani and the Angels decide starting isn't an option anymore. would the new rules prevent him from playing RF, and then coming in as the closer in home games when the angels are ahead in the 9th?

Dan Szymborski

1:00

Eventually they would

Your Name

1:00

You took my deGrom comment in jest, but really- I think he's the perfect embodiment of the idea that player value, while interesting and useful to calculate, can easily be entirely wasted in actual games. Is there any easy way to separate out the value players generate in games their teams win, vs games they lose, to see who creates the most useful/useless value? Am curious about Trout, too.

Dan Szymborski

1:00

WPA attempts to do these things

but it's a hard thing to extricate

I think what you depends on exactly what you're trying to do

Jeremy

1:00

Do you have any idea how teams have historically performed in terms of winning percentage as the away team in their home ballpark? How does this compare to the winning percentage for home teams and away teams in traditional games? The sample size of such games should be very limited before this year, but I think this would be worth revisiting as a potential article after this season ends as we're getting a lot more of these games than in past years.

Dan Szymborski

1:00

I think the sample size will still be quite limited

Home field advantage is already tiny

1:02

Mr. Belvedere

https://soundcloud.com/dan-szymborski/belvedere/s-2TfNeGuJcyI

caesar_solid

1:02

Cubs are #2 in fWAR as a team for starters, and yet Kyle Hendricks, Jon Lester, and Alec Mills have 3 of the slowest FBs in baseball right now, so velo is a SHAM, right? right?

Dan Szymborski

1:02

Velocity is important but it's not everything

But that doesn't make it unimportant

1:03

Like a billionaire being seriously depressed doesn't "prove" that having billions of dollar sucks.

1:04

And if you disagree, please send me your money in an envelope!

The Final Boss

1:04

Re: Velocity... Kimbrel has elite velocity which directly translates into elite hitter exit velocity...

Dan Szymborski

1:05

And on that note, time for me to head out for another week!

Thanks for joining me everyone and I'll see you next time!

We might just make it through the season!

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