JotCast | Dan Szymborski Fangraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski Fangraphs Chat - 9/10/18

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Dan Szymborski

12:14

I agree with FG probs at the moment - Atlanta, St. Louis, Chicago, Milwaukee, Los Angeles

Sad Mr. Met

12:14

fabgraphs needs an essay entitled “Jeff Mcneil is Wade Boggs”

Jedidiah

12:14

Austin Barnes was awesome. Now he's terrible. Give me hope that this is some sort of aberration.

Dan Szymborski

12:14

200 PA seasons are going to be erratic season-to-season

Airport Banana

12:14

Could Cubs fans stop complaining about their schedule? I get that it’s hard on the players and their families, but every team has had similar stretches like this, most without the benefits of expanded rosters.

Kevin

12:14

Will there ever be a way to account for base coaches in a player's BsR? What if the third base coach is just bad and constantly sends guys when he shouldn't? Maybe it evens out over time, but it doesn't seem fair to the player, since they generally don't even decide whether or not they should advance.

Dan Szymborski

12:14

It would be an interesting experiment.

Dbo

12:14

Since you're Ingredient Purist/Structural neutral sandwich guy, what is the most definitive sandwich that you've ever eaten in this category? Have you eaten a Chip Butty?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

whoa whoa whoa

12:15

I'm structural purist, ingredient rebel.

Josiah

12:15

Why is Brad Boxberger still allowed near the ninth inning for the Dbacks? The fact that Lovullo is saying things like this in 2018 is baffling to me: "I'm going to do the same exact thing that I've done every single day," Lovullo said. "I'm going to follow the same process that I follow. I might mix the cards a little bit here and there, but I feel like in this time I need to be as consistent as possible. I can't pull things off the wall and throw them around. It's going to confuse the guys.

Dan Szymborski

12:16

The really weird thing is that super-negative ZiPS projection for Boxberger that even I had trouble extracting a reason from turned out to be good so far.

Bork

12:16

After Grichuk's head meeting stool incident last night, should the MLB change all security staff's stools into bean bags?

Outta my way, Gyorkass

12:16

Why doesn't Bumgarner get more press about being kind of a jerk? I get that Ryan Braun isn't the most likeable guy in MLB, but man, that sequence of events seemed like nothing more than stupid, hotheaded bluster for MadBum, and came back to bite him in the ass, hard.

James

12:16

Alex Bregman has hit .313/.410/.628 since early May. Could he sustain that pace over a whole season?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

It's a pretty crazy pace - I expect his real level of play is a bit lower than that, but he's emerging as a real superstar

squeeze bunt

12:17

What do the Padres have to do to make the playoffs next year, or at least be in the race?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

Have better pitching.

Fewer stupid things.

Alooph

12:17

Got any emojis for Aaron Rodgers?

zurzles

12:17

What do you make of Giolito? Really looked like he turned a corner before getting whipped by DET, though it was his third start against them in a few weeks.

Dan Szymborski

12:17

His velocity *is* up a tick.

12:18

I don't think his fastball plays at all at 91/92, it becomes batting practice

Outta my way, Gyorkass

12:18

Thoughts on the Yankees/Red Sox objections to the Donaldson trade? Seems like if they were upset he went to a fellow contender, the answer is that one of them should have upped their ante, right?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

It's a little tricky given the rules about injured players and waivers.

I don't *know* the true state of Donaldson's health at the time he was placed on waivers.

Vslyke

12:20

Cedric Mullins' defensive ratings have been... less than ideal. Do you think he can stick in CF?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

I wouldn't worry yet about very small sample defensvive numbers, whether good or bad

BenM

12:20

Without knowing what happens in the offseason, predict how the NL East standings shake out in 2019

Dan Szymborski

12:20

I think fairly similar actually, Phillies closer to Braves based on today's standings

The Nats lose Harper, but they're underperforming also

Person

12:20

Any theories for this:
https://www.si.com/mlb/2018/09/10/new-york-mets-citi-field-jacob-degro...

In short the Mets have consistently had the biggest BABIP differential between home and road.

Dan Szymborski

12:21

I don't get BABIP park factors as that extreme for them.

Big Joey

12:22

Do you think Gerrit Cole will get even better? Like the next Scherzer?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

He's damn good right now!

The 40% K bump is nice.

12:24

Scherzer had bumps too

But expect a guy to BE Scherzer is hard

Dbo

12:25

How essential is it for the Cubs to take the upcoming series with the Brewers?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

Not essential, but it's an important series for both teams - the playoff % variance is high since these are the only wins that ensure losses for the other.

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