JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/10/20

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Dan Szymborski

12:02

Let's get this party* started!

12:03

Disclaimer: There may not be an actual party

Travis

12:03

SSS or has Acuña taken the next step?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

I'm optimistic. Dude's 22!

12:04

Especially amazing given where he was after the first week

Peter Thomas

12:04

What do we think about Zach Davies? .248 ERA, 4.29 xFIP, 4.28 SIERA

Dan Szymborski

12:04

He's more or a less an inning-eater. Sometimes ERA will beat the FIP

Scotty

12:04

As I was reading your ZIPs time warp on Pujols, it got me wondering. It's been long rumored than he is older than he reports. Lets say he's 2 years older than is reported, how dramitcally would that effect ZIPs expected career numbers?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

Quite a bit, obviously, but not so much that it wasn't still a dramatic dropoff.

Peter Thomas

12:04

Re: Davies. Are advanced stats just too focused on strikeouts and have trouble with guys who put the ball in places where it's hard to hit? Or has Davies just been really lucky?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

It's not that advanced stats were "chosen" for a particular focus on strikeouts; the evidence drove the development of the stats.

12:06

And ERA hasn't changed to be as predictive as FIP. Nor has BABIP become less volatile in recent years.

(With the usual knuckleballer caveat)

Your Name

12:06

Do you trust Keegan Aiken with a double start in week 1 of fantasy playoffs, or would you rather have a single start of Morton or Eflin?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

I'd rather go with Morton unless you *really* need to gamble and get multiple starts

Turkey Jizz

12:07

So, Mize and Pearson suck, right?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

They should be traded to the Orioles to teach them a lesson!

Johnny Walker

12:07

Dan, give me a spicy political take so I can screenshot it, post it on Twitter, and distort its context to fit my liking and agenda.

Dan Szymborski

12:07

Vote me for local office and I will make you pay!

12:08

Guest

12:08

The thing with calling Van Wagenen "Brofist"-- it feels personal. Have you had unpleasant interactions with him yourself, or is he just someone that, when you look at him, it makes you feel better to call him Brofist?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

Twitch culture has just destroyed my brain that most of my thoughts involve video game related memes

Balls in the dirt

12:10

Have to play one in my MI spot next week. Who do you play out of Gleyber, Semien, Dylan Moore? Thanks!

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Gleyber looks healthy!

YardGoat

12:10

Cat update please. Also, have you ever had a Bengal cat? Seem like fun pets

Dan Szymborski

12:10

I have not had a Bengal cat.

12:11

Justinian's on my office couch having a bath. Cassiopeia was here but she had words with Justinian and stomped off. Constantine was sleeping in the spoon in the cat tree in one of the upstars rooms last I saw. And last I saw Mercutio, he was hiding under a bed because he saw the landscaper through the living room window.

Me, A Dumb Person

12:13

Can you explain how pitch movement is measured? Looking at the Pitchf/x measurements and the Statcast measurements, there's a lot of difference. Also, I understand that the Pitchf/x measurements are on a coordinate system, which gives negative values, but shouldn't every pitch have negative vertical movement with that system? Sorry if this is too convoluted for a chat.

Dan Szymborski

12:13

It's relative to the trajectory due to gravity.