Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/12/16
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Dan Szymborski
11:56
Gravy fries!
11:57
Not eating any, just felt like saying it.
For those that don't remember, I'm saving off-topic Qs for the Lightning Round.
Steve BartMandelay
11:57
DOOM AND GLOOM; DOOM AND GLOOM; etc.
Erik
11:57
The Cubs may set the BABIP-suppression record while shifting the least among everyone in the league. What's going on there? Would they have an even better defense if they shifted more, or have they discovered a flaw in shifting that the rest of the league and all the analysts haven't found yet?
Dan Szymborski
11:58
I think that the hoopla around shifting is a little overheated. It's good, but it's not a game-changer type of thing generally.
Becuase it's something hitters, over time, can react to.
gooey jello
11:58
since they seem to be several years away still, should the twins trade dozier in the offseason?
Dan Szymborski
11:58
They should at least listen to offers.
12:00
If he keeps hitting a billion home runs, the Twins won't be able to afford him after 2018. And if he doesn't, well, then not trading him loses value.
Fast Eddie
12:01
Any high-achiever projection left for Archie Bradley? What is it about him that we should have known before the hype?
Dan Szymborski
12:02
Minor-league walk rate is significant. And a lot of guys simply don't lose that extra walk or two.
Guest
12:02
Are you able to chat the whole time or will Carson pull you after 7 perfect answers?
Dan Szymborski
12:02
We must stand up to the darkness in this world.
Ronnie
12:02
Any chance we will ever get play logs for defensive stats? Especially curious about players like Braun who DRS (+29 career in LF, +6 this year) & UZR (-23 career in LF, -3 this year) disagree upon.
Dan Szymborski
12:04
Probalby not, but it's possible as statcast data gets more useful that other providers become more open with data.
natsfan
12:04
First off, welcome back Dan! Where would you see Gurriel playing next season presuming Astros give Bregman the reigns at 3B? Across the diamond?
Dan Szymborski
12:04
Astros are playing it by ear - they probably don't know yet, so I certain'ly don't
Jake
12:05
How encouraging is Carlos Rodon's strong finish to the season?
Dan Szymborski
12:05
Very, though I was already optimistic.
Patrick
12:05
Is the value of a middle infielder who can hit 20+ homers reduced because of the huge spike in HRs this year, or do you think this is a one year aberration?
Dan Szymborski
12:05
It's hard to tell. Home run bumps usually stick more often than not, the Dale Sveums tend to be the exception.
Erik
12:05
Kris Bryant is 2nd in the league in WAR, but only 16th in WPA. Should that factor into the MVP discussion? Is he providing value in slightly less important moments, and if so, would you dock him for that?
Dan Szymborski
12:06
I think the stat is more interesting than useful.
Julio Pepper
12:06
Any opinions on Hill situation? Would you let him try to finish?
Dan Szymborski
12:06
It's a tough one, becuase it really comes down to what the manager is seeing in his pitcher that a more distant observer might not.
12:07
I think I would have kept him in until he lost hte perfect game, but that's a 60/40 thing, not something I'm sure about.
Ronnie
12:07
Kal Daniels had 129 batting runs in 2,739 career plate appearances. Bryce Harper now has 129 batting runs in 2,710 plate appearances. Is Kal Daniels the greatest hitter of the last 30 years no one has ever heard of?
Dan Szymborski
12:07
Kal Daniels was really damn good.
12:09
He had crippling knee problems. If he was 5 years younger and could stay healthy, he'd have 5 or 6 all-star appearances.
But he had the double punch of injuries and being done right before serious analysis became mainstream.
Plus, he peaked ina very low-offense period right before a high-offense period.
JJ
12:10
Whats your opinion regarding Cistulli having a 4.5 out of 5 star rating according to Rate My Professor? Several students have sung his praises regarding his ability to relay information and he even has a chilli pepper implying that he is "hot".
Dan Szymborski
12:10
The Old Ones have strong effects on the minds of man.
Gary
12:10
Does Adrian Beltre not get enough love? He's putting up another 5 WAR season like clockwork.
Dan Szymborski
12:10
Yes. It's a disease of 3B.
End The Drought
12:11
I'm a believer in the Bochy Magic Touch, but why can't he see Santiago Casilla for the disaster he is. Law, Strickland
Erik
12:11
ZiPS uses historically similar players to determine likely career arcs, or something like that, right? Have any players had a career arc similar to Bryce Harper that you can think of? wRC+ of 115, 197, and 119 in consecutive seasons seems like it would be incredibly rare, making him a tough case to project.
Dan Szymborski
12:11
Yeah, but the year-to-year oscillations don't tend to be particularly meaningful in this context.
Watty
12:11
USELESS STATS DEPT MEMO: Curtis Granderson is on pace to have the lowest RBI/HR ratio of all-time
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