JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/12/2019

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/12/2019

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Dan Szymborski

12:51

Astros

Matt

12:51

First you get the khakis, Dan. *Then* you get the job. And then you get the chicks.

laughing

1

Dystopian Future

12:51

I've noticed you, and the comments section in your article, were quite hard on the Marlins new regime, and I don't quite understand why. As opposed to the sloppier previous Loria regime, this Marlins FO seems to be much more inclined to investing money in every channel; they're making better draft choices, better trades, and investing some in J2 players. It's also kind of handwaved away that the Marlins did pretty good trading Stanton and Ozuna (coming off of peak years, year early rather than a year late, getting out from under Stanton's albatross contract) and that Yelich and Realmuto forced their way out of Miami. As much as I liked Zac Gallen, his HR/FB% is going to catch up to him and trading a pitcher for a prospect when rebuilding is exactly the kind of thing analysts advocate for when rebuilding. I'm not saying that they're a good or bad ownership/management group, but give them a chance before you keep burying them.

Dan Szymborski

12:52

Let's see if they invest money when we're talking about REAL money.

And the way they hatched jobbed Stanton, saying it wans't about money and that he didn't want to be a part of things was bush league.

Respect is earned, not granted until proven otherwise.

Big Joe Mufferaw

12:52

Babe Ruth led the league in WAR 10 out of 12 years, interrupted by Harry Heilman and … Red Faber?!

James Paxton

12:53

I got my ERA under 4!

Appa Yip Yip

12:53

If you had 15 WAR to spread across five starters, how would you do it? 3s across the board, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, more front loaded?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

I'd want it spread fairly evenly but slightly front loaded for playoffs

but not too much that I have all my marbles in one dude

Kosch

12:53

Rockies, Cubs or Red Sox...who has been the most disappointing relative to expectations?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

Probably Rockies - neither Cubs/Red Sox are going to miss projections by >10 games

Slothrop

12:54

Hey Dan do you ever let the cats outside? Mine stays inside but sometimes I worry that he's missing out and would enjoy some outside time

Dan Szymborski

12:54

I do not.

12:55

I do try to give them lots of activities inside.

Big Joe Mufferaw

12:55

Mickey Mantle was pretty undisputed from age 20-29 as well. It is FREAKY just how similar their careers have been to date!

Chef Boyardee

12:55

How dank are my meatballs?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

My advice: don't eat Spaghetti-O's as an adult becuase you fondly remember them as a kid

crying

1

12:56

Also: before I kept a spare laptop on the nightstand, I used to keep a notepad. I once woke up and saw that I had written this chilling message sometime during the night

Rafe

12:56

How much of a gap is there between the Dodgers and the Braves?

Dan Szymborski

12:59

OOPS

1:00

accidentally dragged the Indians, not the Reds

Maybe put Brewers in B without Yelich

EL

1:00

Should the Giants bring back Pillar? His arbitration salary might be a lot, but they have a hard time even finding average/below average hitters.

Dan Szymborski

1:00

Depends where they actually want to go

Did you do any research?

1:01

Re: Stroman with the Mets- have you watched any of his starts with the Mets, or did you just reflexively barf "Clownshoes defense" because that was the concern when they traded for him? Yes, the defense isn't great, but he's also struggled with control and given up a higher line drive percentage. I feel like you have a narrative that you want to see reality conforming to, instead of looking at what reality is.

Dan Szymborski

1:01

How about this: you can include the answer to your question that you want me to give. That way, you can always be happy?

tongue

1

CamdenWarehouse

1:01

You should try walking the cats

Dan Szymborski

1:02

I tried walking Galileo when he was little with a harness. It consisted of him being on his back and fighting the leash while I dragged a cat through grass.

laughing

1

PS

1:02

How much optimism should one have for the Jays' young core? How likely are they to pull off what the Braves are doing?

Dan Szymborski

1:02

Very, but they have a long way to go to have the depth that the Braves do

Daniel

1:02

Say “Ight Imma Head Out” instead of your normal outro

Matt

1:03

I was reading an old Deadspin article about the purchase of the Cubs by the Ricketts. It was mostly just factual reporting via story telling, but there was a few asides, and one in which the author made a comment saying that rich people who want teams but don't have money know they can just create new revenue streams and charge the fans. But don't they have it backward...isn't that exactly why the teams are increasing in value? Because fans are willing to expand their expenses on these revenue stream that increase the likelihood of increase in asset value thus allowing leveraged buys? I mean, I'd argue its a bubble, but this article seems to have a misunderstanding of basic economics.

Dan Szymborski

1:03

I'd have to read the article to say for sure.

I think it's too hard to draw generalizations from how people got money.

Rafe

1:03

forgive my ignorance, what does the "S" stand for?

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