JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/24/18

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Joseph

12:00

Do you see the dodgers keeping Urias as a RP? How does May and White look based on #s

Dan Szymborski

12:01

I think the Dodgers are going to try to get him in the majors as a starter until he proves conclusively that it's in their interests to not do do.

12:02

They're just being slow right now - if they were on the fence, I think they would have kept him totally relief in the minors until next year

12:02

Who are your two bets for home field in the NLDS?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

I think Cubs or the Brewers if they catch the Cubs have enough of a cushion to be a very good favorite.

Dbo

12:03

Both chicken tenders and boneless chicken wings are just different types of chicken nuggets

Dan Szymborski

12:03

Pretty much, yeah. Chicken consumability and what things are marketed as are mostly a social construct.

12:04

Like wings are a real thing, but there's no boneless wing in a chicken or a nugget or a tender or a fry (chicken fries!)

And wings were considered garbage food until they got popular

stever20

12:04

The AL Cy Young race is pretty much over now right? Snell looks like he's going to lead the league in wins and ERA. last 10 guys who did that won the award, and it's 13/14 since divisional era began(only Boddicker in '84 didn't).

Dan Szymborski

12:06

I think he's got it.

He kinda got a perfect storm of injuries to the other contenders.

Bobby

12:07

Who do you think the Yankees should start in a WC game against the A’s? Is it a diff answer if they’re home v away?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

YOu can make legitimate arguments for several, still, but wins is still a damn important stat for the purposes of the CY, though if nothing else.

I don't think it actually makes a difference.

12:08

Since if your'e smart, the WC is your best pitcher, since the WC is the only game you know going in at the start of the offseason *is* an elimination game.

And switching based on home/road, you're likely to cause more problems in rotation than you get in benefit.

Now, if there's a particular *matchup* there's likely enough of a benefit there in some cases.

ColinNL

12:10

Who's a young player that's jumped out to you this year that maybe isn't getting the attention he deserves with Soto, Acuna, and others setting the 2018 rookie bar so high?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Jack Flaherty? Brad Keller?

You can even argue that Walker Buehler still isn't getting the attention he deservefs

Jeff McNeil?

12:11

Though I'm not sure how the public evaluates McNeil

Dbo

12:11

I'm starting to think that no team really wants to win the NL Central

Dan Szymborski

12:11

Hey, there's an outside chance that all three of the top NL Central teams have better records than the Braves and the NL West winners.

Lilith

12:12

Of all the teams that are going to lose 90+ games this year, which of them is most likely to go to the playoffs next year? Is it crazy to think maybe it's Cincinnati?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

Could be the Rangers.

I think the Reds need a lot of fortune to piece together a rotation.

Adrian

12:13

What kind of market will there be for Markakis this offseason? Think the Braves will risk a Qualifying offer?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

I'm not sure there will be a big one. He's actually been fairly lousy in the second-half and nobody *really* believed he was an MVP candidate.

12:15

I do think there's a reasonable case to make a QO though.

LaLa

12:15

Did the Big Bopper bop?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

I believe that is the case.

tb.25

12:15

When you run your Szym's, how often do you see outcomes you wouldn't have predicted?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

That's not an easy question to answer explicitly - but lots of stuff happens so I'm wrong a lot.

Kevin

12:16

Are you buying what Camargo has done this season?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

To this extent? No, but I think he's a real player now.

Jross

12:17

Why don't more teams trade prospect for prospect?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

Well, you see it occasionally, but it's a challenge trade.

12:18

It's harder to do a surplus-for-surplus trade since you never *really* have a prospects surplus

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