JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/5/2019

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Dan Szymborski

12:01

And thus it begins.

Matt

12:01

So about the zips prospect rankings? When it happening?

Dan Szymborski

12:01

Yup!

Guest

12:02

What do you make of the Yankees missing out on Jhon Diaz and then immediately trading for international spending money? Also does the Yankees reneging on their deal with a J2 prospect impact their ability to make future deals?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

There's perhaps something in the story I have missed as I only know the basics. IIRC, the Yankees ran into cap issues from previous international signing.

I doubt it will affect anything long-term.

Mason Jarre

12:03

Who you seen making it out of the AL WC foursome: oak and Tampa?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

In the ZiPS, the primary difference has been schedule - with the A's getting a significant advantage and the Rays a significant disadvantage (about 30 points of opposing WPCT)

CamdenWarehouse

12:04

a Dan chat on Thursday? I am not prepared. I did not study for this.

Dan Szymborski

12:04

Szym City's army has grown large enough to annex Jay's chats. Or we swapped days. I prefer the one in which I'm a warlord.

Randy

12:05

Is there anything to be excited about with Griffin Canning for next year or is he just a guy?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

I'm still very optimistic about Canning. He was quite solid this year, has a deep enough repertoire to succeed and he managed with very few professional innings.

12:07

Advanced college pitcher or not, it's still a long way, competition wise, from the majors

O's fan

12:07

Should I be happy that the Tigers are worse than the O's or bummed that, terrible as they are, the O's might miss out on the #1 pick?

Dan Szymborski

12:08

A little miffed. Though the O's can only blame themselves; the Tigers had the harder loss environment, being in a weak division.

12:09

The Orioles were admiraby terrible against the Yankees, but they didn't show that same clutch incompetence against teams like the Blue Jays and Angels.

If you're going to finish at the bottom of the league, you can't just lose to the good teams. You have to lose against those OK teams too.

Koba

12:10

What can the phillies do (if anything) to get to the level of the Braves going into next season?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

$$$$$

stever20

12:10

Which do you think is more concerning for the Dodgers? Ryu or Jansen?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Jansen as the bullpen isn't deep.

12:11

Let's also ask the neural network abotu this one!

Which do you think is more concerning for the Dodgers? Ryu or Jansen?

A: The most obvious answer is the Dodgers' closer. With Kenley Jansen's performance so so far, it's pretty easy to pick him. But if the Dodgers' rotation remains the same as last year, they'll need a different starter and bullpen for the playoffs. And if the Dodgers' bench isn't much better in 2017, they'll have little trouble finding help. And if the Dodgers' bench is better in 2017, then they'll need another one. Of course, every playoff team needs a bullpen on a team that doesn't have one. (The Dodgers are 2-0 in the NLDS.) I also believe that a Jansen-esque performance will be necessary for the Dodgers to make their case. For instance, if the Dodgers win the division, the bullpen could benefit.

B: I think the biggest question mark for the Dodgers is their starting rotation. I see the Dodgers trading the No. 3 starter by the deadline, but if I'm the Dodgers, I want a veteran presence behind Clayton Kershaw

bcb

12:11

Why?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

Why not?

12:12

(It's really happening, now the O's are on the way. Why not? We can win this thing, why not?)

Tom F

12:12

Who do you think ZIPS will like more in 2020 Austin Meadows or Danny Santana?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

Meadows.

Surprise Eclipse

12:12

Historically, the Thursday weird bar is a very high one to clear, but I am confident it can be achieved here today.

Dan Szymborski

12:12

Hang on there a minute tiger, I didn't say anything about high bars.

OddBall Herrera

12:14

New rule for September roster expansion: we take the term "Taxi Squad" to heart, and you're allowed to play anyone on the 40 man roster, but you have to call them on the dugout phone when they're needed and they have to drive a taxi to the stadium, death race style, from a sufficiently distant point and within a certain time limit.

Dan Szymborski

12:14

I could endorse this.

Harvey Specter

12:14

How do Scherzer's injuries affect his projections going forward (still 4.1 fWAR for 2020?)? He's something of an anomaly as a late bloomer with a rubber arm so I'm curious how long he can keep this up.

Dan Szymborski

12:14

They probably won't have a huge projection other than moving the IP distribution a little leftwards

Billy Pilgrim

12:15

VerHagen had a WHIP of 1 and a 8.28 K/9 in August. Legitimate improvements or just a hot month.

Dan Szymborski

12:15

He looked good on his Twins start, but that's the only time I think I've seen him int he last month.

12:16

In the Twins start, he didn't leave his slider hanging awkwardly.

At least as far as I remember. Would have to dig into the data to give a better answer.

He always had stuff that should have resulted in a better pitcher than he's been.

12:16

Who's a bigger threat in the NLDS, the winner of the Central or the WC game winner?

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