JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/5/2019

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/5/2019

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Dan Szymborski

12:43

Yes, but barely

TronJavolta

12:44

Hey Dan - James Karinchak seems under the radar except in Cleveland. Is this because he doesn't project well at his age?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

He interests me - it's not like he throws 86

12:45

Command's iffy at times, but anyone who strikes out *that* many guys has my attention, no matter the size or age

Older relief prospects don't tend to get much interest

Sicne it's not like they'll come in and be four-WAR starters.

CamdenWarehouse

12:45

Is Scherzer a HoF lock at this point?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

I think he's nearing there.

12:46

I don't think he gets in on peak if he gets hit by a car.

But I think he's at the point where simply putting some bulk into his numbers gets him over the hump

If Scherzer retires and becomes a monk, he has the Johan Santana Hall case.

12:47

*I* would have strongly considered Santana on my ballot (I don't have 10 years in BBWAA yet).

But most BBWAA members did not.

12:48

Coming into the season, ZiPS had Scherzer finishing at 243-133, ERA+ of 129, 3256 innings and 76 WAR. I think he would get into the Hall with that.

v2micca

12:49

Lots of young Talent and a solid farm system. How bullish (if at all) are you on the White Sox 2020 season?

Dan Szymborski

12:49

Moderately so. They've had some pithcing injury setbacks.

12:50

There seems to be too much wheel-spinning at the MLB level at times too.

I don't know why they were so determined to give Jon Jay as many AB as they could when he was healthy

12:51

Thankfully, they bought Mendick's contract

CamdenWarehouse

12:51

The Cy Young is Verlander's to lose, no?

Dan Szymborski

12:51

It probably is now

12:52

Though it would be a tougher vote for me

Verlander isn't *obviously* having a better season than Cole or Morton in my eyes

I know...

12:52

...the Astros are AL favorites and for good reason. But the version of Tanaka/Paxton/German that's been around the last month, plus the bullpen, I don't think it would be some absolute shock if the Yankees won, though that seems to be the consensus.

Dan Szymborski

12:52

Short series! It wouldn't be a shock if the O's won a 5 or 7-game series or two

Guest

12:53

Dan, I don’t completely understand your focus on letting young players play at the MLB level to see what they have. Isn’t that what the minors are for? How much more valuable is MLB data than AAA data.

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Not sure if this is a repeat question or I answered this question above without printing the question.

thecaptain99

12:53

Who do you see landing Gerrit Cole in the Offseason?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

I don't think it would happen, but I'd LOVE to see the Twins go after him with the vigor they went after Darvish before 2018

Syndergaardengnomes

12:53

What do the Mets do with Edwin Diaz next year? They can't just pencil him back in at closer, can they?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Of course they will

Guest

12:53

Your Wu-Tang name: VENTURER RAPID

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Let's see what transformer says!

12:54

Completion
Your Wu-Tang name: Wu-Tang Clan

Where you come from: Oakland

You grew into it: A year before joining Wu-Tang, A Wu-Tang Clan's album "Ride Wit Me" topped the hip-hop charts.

What's the best thing about your childhood and how it changed your life?

There was a lot of drugs that my parents did to get me in trouble. They did drugs all the time so they thought I was in trouble when I was really not.

What was your upbringing like?

We had to put my dad through medical school for me. My father always had a hard time going to school. He was a heavy smoker, so he had to go through medical school for me.

How did you get your hair cut?

I'm not sure.

I'm not sure Transformer understood.

laughing

1

Billy Beane

12:54

Dan, if you, as a warlord, took over Jay's chat, but in doing so lost your own chat, then that seems like a pyrrhic victory. You're a pretty mediocre warlord.

Dan Szymborski

12:55

But what if I'm still the feudal overlord over Monday and now have a secret alliance with Jay?

J

12:55

Does ZiPS have a way for accounting for run environment? Like can it do conditional projections if the ball is unjuiced next season? Or do you just consider everything relative to league average?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

ZiPS uses the recent year averages.

Jim Leyland Palmer

12:55

I know Anthony Rendon still isn't discussed enough by the general baseball fan populous. But can baseball writers put a moratorium on (seemingly reflexively) calling him underrated every time he is written about? (i.e. "Anthony Rendon, who is criminally underrated, plays baseball for Washington"). We get it! There hasn't been an article written about Rendon in the last couple years that doesn't have the word underrated in it. How can a player be underrated when every baseball writer thinks he's underrated?

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