JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/5/2019

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Dan Szymborski

1:05

Occasionally. I like to go wtih random ones.

Kiley DcManiel

1:05

I would love nothing more than Charlie Morton, Cy Young winner

Dan Szymborski

1:05

It's too bad I'm not an AL CY voter because it's a fascinating one.

Though I'm NL ROY this year, which shoudl be fun

CamdenWarehouse

1:05

The Orioles home runs allowed has been the cruelest of jokes

Dan Szymborski

1:05

The best you mean.

IsIt2020Yet?

1:06

Saddest, best looking ballpark you've ever seen?

I don’t run the Pirates. If I did, this look a couple minutes before first pitch would scare the hell out of me:

Dan Szymborski

1:06

The Pirates aren't in a good place right now.

And PNC Is mildly scary because in the press box, you're halfway in the clouds.

Matt

1:06

Any idea what the record is for most HRs hit on a Tuesday before 7:30 EST? Season or career, either is acceptable.

Dan Szymborski

1:06

I'm not sure, but it's probably held by the Yankees against the Orioles.

Billy Beane

1:06

Dan would you ever want someone to teach you enough Python to make ZiPS able to be updated in real time or in actual code instead of an Excel monster? That seems like a good use of your time during an offseason.

Dan Szymborski

1:07

It's something worth doing; I'm working on a simpler model that FG can automatically update.

CamdenWarehouse

1:07

I do have a word fetish. Every words has its own little shape, its own little town and timbre. I just have to use it so often. I'm sure other people will recognize that there's a great similarity there, right?"

"There isn't. And it's hard to talk about it, not that I don't want to talk about it."

"But it's like you and me. You're the one who's always saying it. Like you can't speak your mind and get away with it. I know that because I know who you really are. You're like an angel of a person who doesn't really talk, so it's more comfortable for you to hide it and pretend like no one really knows about it, then make people wonder if you do."

"I am not hiding it! Why is that your main point?"

"I'm getting ahead of this line, but I have one. Your eyes, like mine, don't show too much emotion. That's why some people have trouble telling people your feelings. So if they ask, it just doesn't come out right. But that's okay. For you

Dale

1:07

"Because he was born in this Corvette. He's got a Corvette's heart." What a line.

Bill

1:07

Timbre is a nice written word but the English pronunciation is too annoying to use out loud.

Dan Szymborski

1:07

You hear it a lot in music

stever20

1:08

Did you see that Sale was transferred to 60 day IL on Sunday? What are your thoughts on him for next year?

Dan Szymborski

1:08

MIld worry

Roger

1:08

So you're saying the Twins should go hard after Cole; fail to sign him; and settle for signing (again) Anibal Sanchez?

Dan Szymborski

1:08

I said SHOULD, not will

The year's turned out well for the Twins, but they shouldn't have entered the season with a lower payroll than last year

Meno

1:08

Who will win the NL Cy Young and why is it Sonny Gray?

Dan Szymborski

1:09

I don't think Gray finishes in the top five

1:10

finishing in top five requires beating at least one of Scherzer/Strasburg/deGrom/Buehler/Ryu and there are a few others.

Matt

1:10

Am I the only one who thinks the term "base hit" needs to be reserved for singles? ITS NOT PLURAL

Dan Szymborski

1:10

Why add base hit

What other kind of hit is there that doesn't get you a base?

Now, there's such a thing as a base out (fielder's choice)

Dan Szymborski

1:11

On that note, it is time for me to head off for another week! Thanks for joining me everyone!

Dan Szymborski

1:11

I LIKE WHEN PEOPLE DO MY WORK FOR ME

Matt

1:11

There was a tweet (article?) floating around asking *might* the Verlander media spat affect his Cy Young votes. While I think it's unlikely, it was amazing how many writers jumped on it needing to be the first to say that THEY ARE UNBIASED DAMMIT. Heyman even interjected, citing the reporter's previous votes for Verlander (ignoring the actual question of whether the recent spat might have changed his mind). You're a pretty objective, level-headed guy. Am I crazy to think that *maybe* it could have an impact on at least a few people?

Dan Szymborski

1:11

It might, but I'd hope those people would turn down voting.

1:12

If Mike Trout murdered my family, I hope I could still vote him for MVP and if I didn't, I hope that I could recuse.

For example, if I had been asked to vote in NL MVP last year, I would have recused as I had a preseason prop bet for Christian Yelich.

Bill

1:13

Daniel John Szymborski is an American writer of sabermetrics primarily known for his work with baseball projections and minor league translations. In 2002, Szymborski was hired to the New York Yankees research and development department. Following that, he helped produce a version of the "Baseball Prospectus" for the New York Mets, providing baseball data for the first time to the public. It was at that point that he began his love affair with sabermetrical projections and in the years following, he has developed a "projection engine" for baseball players. In this article, we'll explore the development of this engine in great detail and see how it works to forecast future performance. While we are still far from an open book on this subject, we think this will be a useful, and informative, discussion for sabermetricians and baseball fans alike.
The development of Sabermetrics The development of sabermetrics (also known as statistic science or advanced statistics) has been a long and arduous process.

Dan Szymborski

1:13

I think there's a miss there from Transformer!

Matt

1:13

What if it was the actual awe of Mike Trout's awesomeness that killed your family...then it'd probably be a bit easier, right? It being unintentional, and all.

Dan Szymborski

1:13

In fairness, my family is kinda small in the US (most of my living near relatives are German) and they don't run very fast, so it wouldn't be hard wiping out my family.

stever20

1:14

you sure Buehler would be close to the top 5 right now for Cy Young? I sure as hell don't think so. He'd be frankly lucky to get a vote.

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