JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/5/24

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Dan Szymborski

12:49

Not meaningfully, just shaded down a bit

person

12:49

if tearing up a bit = crying then I'm a veritable John Boehner

Dan Szymborski

12:49

Well, I only teared up a bit at the video game

I cry cried about losing my buddy

mmddyyyy

12:50

How many employees does an MLB org have?

Dan Szymborski

12:50

I'd guess somewhere aroudn 500

mmddyyyy

12:50

Which time zone are you in?

Dan Szymborski

12:50

Eastern

12:51

I'm from Baltimore but have lived in Ohio since 2007

I've never lived in a different time zone

mmddyyyy

12:51

Do we already know the end of season voters?

Dan Szymborski

12:52

I think only Jack O'Connell in the BBWAA knows *all* the voters

I did get my assignment of NL ROY a few weeks ago

mmddyyyy

12:52

How many people are in the chat right now?

Dan Szymborski

12:52

143

Fewer than usual after the slow start

at 12:05 it was at 11

Thanks to me screwing up the post

Guest

12:52

For lack of better phrasing, what are the error bars like for rookie defensive projections? I asked a few months ago why ZiPS didn't like Colton Cowser's defense when he was T3 by OAA, and his defense has gradually gotten more and more average since then. Same thing with Masyn Winn, but the other way!

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Surprisingly, they're very similar to the error bar for all defensive projections, which surprised me. Very large

person

12:53

if, back on july 1, ZiPS only knew the future W/L record til now of one of either BAL or NYY, what would it have predicted the division odds of the other team to be?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

I can definitely not do this on the fly!

Guest

12:53

Why doesn't wOBA treat IBB's just like regular walks? Is it because they're considered context dependent? It seems like for most hitter's it would be a small enough number to not really matter and for someone like 2004 Bonds it feels weird to exclude them from his offensive profile.

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Well, someone had to decide one way or the other

12:54

I'm unconvinced, though IBBs are messy because of their context dependence

Red Sox, but from blood

12:54

Kutter and Houck have both been rough last few months. Do you believe either will turn it around and finish strong?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

I'm more bullish on Houck

angels 202?

12:54

should i even care about the angels at all?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

person

12:55

don't robots also gamble on sports though?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

Yes, but there's advertising and robots don't get moderate-to-severe conditions that you have to ask your doctor about

12:56

Though I'm still wondering why I'm supposed to be asking my doctor if a drug is right for me. I would assume that the doctor had already considered it

Like you wouldn't go to the fire department and ask them if they though about using fire hoses

12:57

"Ask your French restaurant if butter is right for you."

12:57

Has ZiPS' outlook of PCA changed from this season?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

It had faded a little earlier, but it's back to where it should be

well, back to where it was

the philosophical statement of what PCA projection is morally superior is a theological question I cannot answer

Phil

12:58

With Roman Anthony moving up the prospect lists and Campbell not far behind, what should the Sox do with all their outfielders? O'Neill will presumably move on, but do they trade another guy?

Dan Szymborski

12:58

I think you just see hwo things shake out

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