JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/9/21

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Darb

12:42

Looks like Marcell Ozuna is going to get off easy. Do you think he plays MLB next year?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

I think he'll serve a stiff suspension, but if he settles without jail time, I can't see him missing a whole year

Appa Yip Yip

12:42

The thing about fWAR and bWAR differentiating so much at times is that it allows you to just pick the number that looks better for your team's players and worse for the other team's players it is win/win

Dan Szymborski

12:42

Yeah, but you shoudln't do that!

Dan’s Emotional Intimacy

12:42

No question but that WAR/Doctor analogy was fantastic.

Dan Szymborski

12:43

Every writer is receptive to ego massaging!

TuffyGoeswich

12:43

Does ZiPS see Riley Greene as capable of being a starter next year for the Tigers?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

I don't want to run it on the fly before translations are done, but I'd be surprised if the answer is no

Maddoning

12:44

Speaking of German, FRANK SCHWINDEL! He's not THIS good, but really, how real is Frank the Tank?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

Color me skeptical

12:44

Semirelated to my other dumb question, how do you/ZIPS see Soto stacking as an all-time great? Feels like his track record is close to unmatched.

Dan Szymborski

12:45

He's WAY up there

Soto fights with Acuna and Tatis for more career WAR remaining

And the other two do have some unresolved injury issues!

If you held a gun to my head and said Cooperstown or no, I'd say Cooperstown

12:46

And then I'd call the police. WHY ARE YOU USING A GUN THIS WAY? They're for fighting dangerous and delicious animals! You could've just asked me.

embracing differentials

12:46

I love watching run differentials for outliers each year. Seattle is -53 and 12 wins over .500. Luck isn't real so how does this happen?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

They have crazy-high offense this year in high-leverage situations

seriously, in BR's high leverage, they're like at .820 OPS

fans and players

12:46

is the computer called strike zone in the near distant future? I HATE seeing this inconsistent strike zone and catchers "stealing" strikes

Dan Szymborski

12:46

I do think so

Big Qs

12:47

Shouldn't the plural form of Luftbaseball and Fastball be the same?

Dan Szymborski

12:47

Probably

My German is only good enough to speak with German relatives.

They probably make fun of my German when we're not talking

12:48

And their English is way better than my German too! So I'm not sure why we usually talk in German

NL west enjoyer

12:48

is this year's NL West the most difficult division ever?

Dan Szymborski

12:48

I'll say yes

New World

12:48

Did you name it Zips because there's also a Z in your name?

Dan Szymborski

12:48

Yes

I was using some of Voros' theoretical DIPS stuff in projections and I was the first one other than Voros to do it, so I wanted it to rhyme.

12:49

(With V-man's blessing)

So I started with Szymborski Projection System. SIPS sounded like a trendy hipster cafe that only served 80s juice boxes.

so I went with ZIPS since that was the next letter in my name.

12:50

And then I went with ZiPs because I liked CHiPs (second favorite as a little kid after Dukes of Hazzard)

Incidentally, my mom swears I learned to read at 3 basically so I could thwart them by reading TV guide when my parents said the Dukes weren't on

12:51

but I kinda typoed it the first time as ZiPS. Jay had picked it up in his blog the day I released it, so I just went with that stylizing.

Yes, this is a stupid explanation and 100% true.

12:52

I didn't realize anyone would give a crap about anything I wrote or did, so I didn't really think that far ahead.

I'm *still* quite unsure why anybody read my work!

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