JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/9/21

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Big Joey

1:14

Do you think Bellinger bounces back in 2022, or is he cooked? Got him in a dynasty league

Dan Szymborski

1:15

I think he'll bounce back, but I'm worried

Like KG said yesterday, his bat looks SLOW

Joe

1:15

It's my birthday so you have to answer: Is Ryan Mountcastle good?

Dan Szymborski

1:15

Good? Yes.

David

1:15

How much does a bad/very bad rookie year (Kelenic) weigh into future zips reporting? Looks like he was looking at 1.8 WAR for next year in Zips, fair to expect that to drop quite a bit?

Dan Szymborski

1:15

He'll get his minor league performance while will help the projection from bottoming out!

And I haven't checked his zstats lately

Thunderclap Jackson

1:16

For mcratsandwich, Effectively Wild recently covered some of the rule changes on episode 1738 with RJ Anderson discussing his article on the how its gone in the Atlantic league

shawshank

1:16

any insight on why the nl is dragging their feet on the dh other than more higher paid jobs?

Dan Szymborski

1:16

Like me: inertia

Big Joey

1:16

Is it crazy to comp Wander to Tony Gwynn but with more pop?

Dan Szymborski

1:16

He's not going to hit for average like Gwynn

shawshank

1:16

when do you start running zips for the following season in general? does it change season to season?

Dan Szymborski

1:16

I'm always working on SOMETHING

There are usually versions of ZiPS that are 2-3 years from me being confident enough to make the "current" build

1:17

I like a couple years of additional new data before *any* aspect goes live

I've been working on pitcher percentile calibration for four years and I'm still not completely happy

1:18

On that note, it's time for me to take off for another week!

Thanks for coming everyone, it's always appreciated!

1:19

Surprisingly on-topic for a SzymChat!

(Playing Final Fantasy IV pixel remaster btw)

Non standard dice

1:19

including d3, d5, d7, d14, d16, d24, and d30, plus the normal d4, d6, d8, d10, d12, and d20.
https://www.amazon.com/Unusual-Approved-Dungeon-Crawl-Classics/dp/B00Y...

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