Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:00
Welcome to 2016. Let's have our first chat of the year.
Ben G
12:01
Is 2017 a realistic goal for the Braves to try and compete?
Dave Cameron
12:02
If guys like Swanson develop quickly, they could probably rise to the definition of "contender" that has developed the last few years; 75-80 wins with a crack at the mid-to-high-80s if they get a lot of breaks. But they're way behind WAS and NYM.
Pale Hose
12:02
Hey Dave. Can we expect an offseason trade value update, or is that off the table?
Dave Cameron
12:03
You can! Because Jonah Keri also does his own version of the series, and Jonah and I are friends, I'm holding my update until after he releases his. His new version of the list should go up at Sports Illustrated towards the end of the month, and I'll do a refresh of mine then.
Ray
12:03
Any idea why the Dodgers would hire Alex Anthopolous? Any truth to the talk that there is discension in the LA front office?
Dave Cameron
12:05
Why wouldn't an organization want a smart, hard-working guy to help offer a fresh perspective? And I wouldn't put much stock into anything the LA media says about the Dodgers front office. The contempt for these kinds of executives runs deep with guys like Plaschke.
Bill Heywood
12:05
Does four years for Gordon make Cespedes getting six any more likely?
Dave Cameron
12:05
Probably not the terms of the deal itself, but the fact that Gordon didn't go to CHW or LAA probably helps Cespedes.
Baloo
12:06
So Gordon has signed with the Royals, what should the Tigers next move be now? Are Fowler or Span a big enough upgrade over Collins, or since it would probably require Ilitch going over AA's head anyway, might as well go for broke and get Cespedes? Screw left field and grab Chen/Gallardo?
Dave Cameron
12:06
I'd go for Cespedes if I were them.
Jon
12:07
In which world does one Mike Leake cost less than one Alex Gordon?
Dave Cameron
12:07
You mean more than, but yeah, the prices that teams are paying to pitching this winter, relative to similar or more valuable hitters, is a little nutty.
David
12:08
The Chris Davis negotiations seem strange as reported. Why are the Orioles offering $154M and why is Davs turning it down? Those both seem crazy.
Dave Cameron
12:08
Boras is very good at playing overly involved owners against themselves. He's likely confident he can outwit Peter Angelos. He's probably right.
Caveman Jones
12:09
Are you surprised Gordon didn't get a better deal? If so do you have any ideas why he didn't?
Dave Cameron
12:09
I would bet he took less than the highest offer to stay in KC.
BenJ
12:10
Of Davis, Upton, and Cespedes, which will sign at the biggest discount?
Dave Cameron
12:10
I don't think any of them is going to take a big discount. They'll all clear $100M.
Jordan G
12:11
Dave! What should the value of what a RP does be compared to a SP? Clearly the value is all over the place. But, is it as a simple as the number of outs they get, or is there a huge premium on what outs they get?
Dave Cameron
12:11
Leverage definitely matters. I'd say RPs are about 30% as valuable as SPs, overall.
some guy
12:11
On the FG Team Depth Charts page, players are populated with a WAR that differs from the ZiPS projections that The Digital Dandy provides. What numbers are used in the Depth Chart projections pages?
Dave Cameron
12:12
Steamer. ZIPS will be added in to those and they'll blended together when the full ZIPS sheet is released in March.
CTMike
12:12
Scott Kazmir deal seems very good for Dodgers. They get a Steamer projected pitcher with 2.7 WAR for one year at $16 million plus a compensation pick after the season. Net cost roughly $5 million for 2016. What am I missing with the negative takes on the deal?
Dave Cameron
12:12
The fact that they guaranteed him three years and $48 million?
Kylo Ren
12:13
Any chance the Cubs re-up Austin Jackson as a 4th OF or insurance?
Dave Cameron
12:13
Possible. I'd bet they sign someone like him, or Denard Span, if they don't trade Soler for a guy like Bradley or Inciarte.
Tom
12:14
Does WAR take into account park effects to the extent that we can say that Larry Walker’s 70+ WAR, including his great 97 and 98 years, were not a product of Coors Field?
Dave Cameron
12:14
Park factors deflate the value of his raw stats in Coors, yes.
Concerned White Sox Fan
12:15
If you were Rick Hahn would you enter the season with Erik Johnson and John Danks as your 4 and 5 with the possibility of adding an SP mid-season if necessary or would you look for an upgrade now?
Dave Cameron
12:15
They absolutely need another SP.
$$$ Bill
12:15
Do you think B Harper could/will get the ARod clause in his contract making him the highest paid player by $1M for x # of years?
Dave Cameron
12:16
Maybe. Or maybe he'll just get an opt-out after every two years of the contract for the life of the thing, so that he can always opt-out and demand raises. Lots of options for what that deal looks like.
Andrew
12:17
Sonny Gray for Kyle Schwaber who hangs up and why.
Dave Cameron
12:17
A's aren't doing that.
Grant
12:17
I keep hearing for NL Central race: Cubs - *sizable gap* - Cardinals/Pirates. Does that go something like 93/87/87 wins?
Dave Cameron
12:17
Or maybe 95/89/88, or something like that.
Bork
12:18
First team to blow up the roster during the course of the 2016 season is...?
Dave Cameron
12:18
The Brewers, maybe. If Lucroy and Braun have strong starts to the season, they could have a big firesale in June.
John
12:19
Realistically will the Indians make an impact move? It's really difficult to watch them hold onto prospects during their window of contention while they have big holes on the team.
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