Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
11:44
Alright, the queue is open. Feel free and get your questions in now.
11:59
Alright, let's get this thing started.
MK
11:59
Interested in your thoughts on the Nats offseason, it seems they've done a lot of settling for second, third, and forth options.
Dave Cameron
12:00
I think that's probably true. But that's also a hallmark of a disciplined organization, to some degree; teams that decide they want a guy at any cost do things like trade the farm for Shelby Miller.
Drew
12:01
Inciarte, Teheran, and Markakis for Soler and Contreras. Who says no?
Dave Cameron
12:01
Both sides. Cubs don't need Markakis, and Braves probably not looking to give up that much present talent.
sp
12:01
is it me or is there no clear-cut best SS and 2B eight now? Everyone is either on the decline or amazing but way too young.
Dave Cameron
12:02
I think Correa is pretty clearly the best SS at this point. On 2B, it's probably still Pedroia or Cano.
HappyFunBall
12:02
Let's say, for grins, that Cespedes' price comes down and the Nats do sign him. What gives? Does Jayson Werth actually have any real trade value?
Dave Cameron
12:02
No. Would imagine either Cespedes or Harper would play center, Revere would become 4th OF/Werth caddy, and Taylor would go to AAA or be trade bait.
James
12:03
What do you think is more likely to happen next, expansion or relocation?
Dave Cameron
12:03
Expansion.
JCA CPA CA
12:03
Any sort of defense you can make for the Kennedy deal? seems like a very poor move on the Royals part
Dave Cameron
12:04
Yeah, it's a terrible contract. They basically threw $30 million down the drain.
The Dude of NY
12:04
When will you release your top trade value list?
Dave Cameron
12:04
The full list runs during the All-Star break. The shorter off-season update will come next week.
Chris
12:04
ZIPS projects relatively few major holes on the Tigers aside from the bottom of the rotation. Does signing Justin Upton/bullpen changes/Zimmerman keep the window open for another couple years?
Dave Cameron
12:05
I'd imagine 2016 is their last hurrah unless everyone ages really well. But 2017 is probably going to be their transition year where they realize they aren't good enough anymore.
Bork
12:05
Is there any easy solution to Baltimore's rotation issues?
Dave Cameron
12:06
Not really, no. They can throw money at some bounce back FAs and hope to get lucky, but their pitching isn't going to be very good next year, and the offense probably won't be able to make up for it.
MSW
12:06
I know you're strongly pro-Lagares, anti-Cespedes for the Mets, as is Buster Olney, who argued that they don't need to sign him because they can always make a midseason trade. But why would it be better for a team to give up valuable assets from the farm system for a rental when they could acquire Cespedes for nothing but the cost of his contract?
Dave Cameron
12:07
Because Cespedes isn't a CF, and you can trade for something you actually need at the deadline. The Mets don't need another corner OF.
MK
12:07
On the pod you mentioned Josh Donaldson will likely go to arbitration because the Blue Jays are a file and trial team. With the change in leadership do you think that still holds? Is that generally a ownership policy or a GM/President policy?
Dave Cameron
12:08
Shapiro can probably change that if he wants, but it's probably safer to assume that he'll leave that as is until we see evidence that he won't.
Mister
12:09
Which free agent signing do you think has been the biggest bargain so far?
Dave Cameron
12:10
I liked the Zobrist/Lackey deals a lot for the Cubs. Span for 3/$30M will probably be a nice deal for SF. Gordon at 4/$72M was very nice for KC.
kris
12:10
With the J-Up contract, more articles about the opt-out have come out. The argument, again, is if he opts out that means the Tigers got 2 good years and don't have to bear the 'bad' part of the contract at the end. But that also means the Tigers won't get the next couple years (should be not have the opt-out) at below what he'd get on the free agency market, right?
Dave Cameron
12:11
Right. The Upton opt-out is probably the most harmful one handed out this winter, because the Tigers giving him an opt-out means they can't use his good outcomes to restock their franchise as the rebuild begins.
Dundalkian
12:11
As an Orioles fan, I look at the contract signed by Upton and wish they O's had signed him instead of Davis. Do you agree that they would have been better off with Upton and his contract than Davis and his contract. Which contract ultimately costs more, Davis' 7/163 with deferred money or Jupton's 6/133 with an opt-out clause?
Dave Cameron
12:12
Yeah, I'd take Upton over Davis even for the same price. The fact Upton was cheaper makes it an easy call.
Raindog
12:12
Calculating Steamer/600, Austin Jackson projects for 1.4 WAR and Dexter Fowler for 1.6. Jackson's a year younger. Fowler costs a draft pick. It seems like Fowler's gonna get paid a lot more. What am I missing?
Dave Cameron
12:12
Fowler's coming off a good year, Jackson a bad one.
Michael
12:12
Chances lower payroll team like Indians signs Cespedes to a 1 year deal with a high AAV?
Dave Cameron
12:12
Zero. He's going to get $100M plus.
Tim
12:12
Do you think the Jays re-sign one of Bautista or Encarnacion at the end of 2016? Neither? Both? If you had to pick only one, which one would you prefer to keep if you were the Jays?
Dave Cameron
12:13
I would guess they'll keep Joey Bats, let EE leave.
Natitude Adjuster
12:13
Are you all in NC going to get snow from the impending storm this weekend? We're going to get KO'ed in DC, it appears.
Dave Cameron
12:13
We're going to get a few inches, probably. But that will be enough to shut the city down for a week.
libre
12:14
What is the hardest part about having a puppy? How much easier was it made by you working from home?
Dave Cameron
12:15
The time commitment. We got a high energy dog so I was exercising her 3-4 hours a day to get her worn out for the first couple of years. That's down a little bit now, but she still needs a lot of time and attention. Working from home helped with training her to go outside when she needed to take a dump, but probably also made her more attached to me than we would have preferred.
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