Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Bork
12:16
Jeff Sullivans article this morning on pitch framing brings up an interesting question. With the game advancing more, can we expect pitch framing to decline because of umpires becoming more aware of it?
Dave Cameron
12:16
Yes. I think this is one of the reasons teams have refused to pay for framing; they don't know how long it's going to last, and umpires are certainly aware of the reputations of strike-stealers, so they may be starting to compensate.
Natitude Adjuster
12:16
What are your thoughts on the Upton deal with Detroit?
Dave Cameron
12:17
Fair-ish for DET, given that they're about to crash hard and need to try and win before the long winter.
MikeMilligan
12:18
I'm curious why the Dodgers haven't shown any interest in Cespedes. Their outfield is one big ? And even assuming Puig and Pederson improve there is still a hole in left field
Dave Cameron
12:18
Ethier/Van Slyke is a solid platoon. They'd only be in on Cespedes if they had a Puig trade lined up.
davels
12:18
What team do you feel has had the best off-season so far?
Dave Cameron
12:18
The Cubs.
mshirk
12:19
While in a large jumble of teams, your early projected standings seem to like the Yankees. With their lineup so dependent upon ancient players (especially for power) can you tell me what it sees in the team? Depth maybe?
Dave Cameron
12:19
Lots of above average players, no holes.
12:20
Kind of similar to the Dodgers, just without a Kershaw.
Robert
12:20
What series of events and/or legal action would it take to end baseball's blackout policy?
Dave Cameron
12:21
The blackouts are the result of MLB taking a lot of money from cable networks and those networks not wanting cord-cutters to be able to watch MLB games without going through them. So the cable cash has to dry up. That will happen, but not soon.
TJ
12:22
Do you think Rays will make a trade with some of their pitching ?
Dave Cameron
12:22
Yeah, I still think Rays/Cubs end up matching up on some kind of deal that sends an SP and McGee or Boxberger to CHC, probably for Baez.
Alex
12:23
The Cardinals at 84 wins? Oh, come on.
Dave Cameron
12:23
They were an 89 team without sequencing luck last year, and I think everyone agrees that losing Heyward makes them worse.
DD
12:24
Aaron Sanchez just announced he put on 25 lbs of weight over the offseason in hopes to add durability and become a full-time starter.
Dave Cameron
12:24
Unless he put on 25 pounds of command, it won't matter.
Nelson
12:24
Do you have any human emotional reactions to the ongoing stock market crash?
Dave Cameron
12:25
This isn't a crash. The worst thing anyone with money in the market can do is overreact to short-term swings.
Roan
12:25
Fangraphs has Dodgers at 90 wins. Do you see that as conservative, or can trend up based on how pitching holds up?
Dave Cameron
12:25
That doesn't include Maeda, who isn't in our DB yet, so it's probably a little low.
Matt
12:25
Your article about insider/non-insider data made me wonder about advanced stats in general. Lots of strides were made in the last 30-40 years with finding meaning out of the raw data, put together in innovative ways to find good measures of value, production, wins on the field, etc. Looking forward, what new frontiers are there? How close are we to a point of diminishing returns where there isn't essentially anything significant to learn? Or will we ever get to that point? I'll hang up and listen.
Dave Cameron
12:26
We're nowhere close to that point. I think the next big advancement will be in development rather than acquisition. How did Matt Carpenter become Matt Carpenter? There's a crazy amount of potential value for the team that can figure that out.
Bill
12:27
Back in November you predicted that Chris Davis wouldearn 26 million per year. He wound up with 20-23 per year depending on hoyu calculate it. Did you over estimate the market or did Orioles get a good deal?
Dave Cameron
12:28
AAV and years go on a sliding scale. He took a lower salary to get more years. My 26 AAV was based on a five year deal.
The Orioles definitely did not get a good deal.
Ringtone Composer
12:28
Thanks for hosting that great article on "The Gap Between Public and Private Information." Is the main takeaway that new datasets are exciting, but not necessary to drive new insights?
Dave Cameron
12:29
Yeah; I think it's important to remember that we shouldn't just stagnate our ability to learn now while waiting for larger samples of tracking data to learn what we can't know for a few more years.
Matt
12:30
What do you think Ajax ends up getting? Am I crazy to think he's pretty much a younger, cheaper Span with less injury red flags, and teams are overlooking him big time?
Dave Cameron
12:30
Yeah, he's not as good as Span. He's a younger Fowler.
Guest
12:30
Seems like a deal centered around Marisnick and Soler would help both sides no?
Dave Cameron
12:30
Astros have Springer and Rasmus locked into their corner OF spots, and Marisnick isn't worthy anything like Soler, so no.
Gila Monster
12:31
If you can buy Rodon as a #2 starter and have a bit of hope for Lawrie, aren't the White Sox quite decent? If they signed Cespedes, they really wouldn't have that many scrubs.
Dave Cameron
12:32
The back of their rotation sucks. They don't have a shortstop. If they sign Cespedes, they aren't starting Garcia, who also stinks, but that's a big if. They're still a very weak team at the bottom of their roster.
Luke
12:32
Any guesses as to where Dexter Fowler ends up?
Dave Cameron
12:32
Baltimore.
Adam
12:32
Dave, please assuage my fears here: as a Red Sox fan, I'm terribly worried (especially after the Margot deal) that Dombrowski is going to mortgage the farm in order to add Lucroy.
Dave Cameron
12:33
Lucroy isn't a Dombrowski-type, I don't think.
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