Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:01
Okay, the queue is pretty full, so let's get this thing going.
Alex
12:01
Don't the Braves feel like a natural fit for Corey Dickerson? Tons of pitching prospect in the Atlanta system, and the Braves are desperate for young, controllable hitters.
Dave Cameron
12:02
Dickerson doesn't strike me as their kind of player, honestly. I'd imagine if they're going to give up arms, they'd rather do it for a guy with more upside.
Tripping Olney
12:02
Did you read Buster Olney's article, where he basically said that your article on teams tanking is way off base, and everyone within the industry thinks it's a serious problem?
Dave Cameron
12:03
I did not. I did read the numerous messages I got from people within the industry thanking me for the piece I wrote on Monday, though, so I'm pretty sure not everyone in the industry thinks its a serious problem.
Bubba
12:03
Mets or Nats? Do you think it'll be a close race?
Dave Cameron
12:03
It's a coin flip at this point, and probably comes down to pitcher health.
Ulysses
12:04
Fowler or Jackson a better fit for the White Sox?
Dave Cameron
12:05
Fowler's better, but the draft pick and the expected price difference probably makes Jackson a better deal, especially since they need more than one more player. SS/SP also need attention.
Guest
12:06
What do you think about Doug Fister to the Astros? He fits the bill perfectly of guys who know how to pitch but dont throw it hard. Brett Strom has worked miracles with McHugh/Keuchel the last 2 years, and if he sucks Feldman is a fine number 5 guy. Seems like a no lose situation for the Stros to me
Dave Cameron
12:06
Agreed, but the huge velo loss and DL trip probably mean that the medicals are going to be the key issue for any signing team, and we don't know what those look like.
groucho
12:07
What MLB team do you think would be the most likely to relocate going forward?
Dave Cameron
12:07
It would have to be the A's, right?
Travis
12:08
How much merit do you put into the idea that players "will see better pitches" based on who is hitting around them in the lineup and therefore will be expected to have better production? It seems we hear this a lot (but not exclusively) about #2 hitters. I'm particularly talking about Justin Upton moving to the Tigers lineup where speculation is that he will hit #2 ahead of Cabrera. Do the stats back this up in baseball?
Dave Cameron
12:09
Protection is a myth, and the whole premise fails once you think about it logically. If pitching a #2 hitter because you're scared of the #3 hitter allows the #2 hitter to get on base more often, then it's having the exact opposite impact of the supposed plan, and pitchers would stop doing it.
Paul
12:10
What do you think of Yasiel Puig?
Dave Cameron
12:10
My guess is he's peaked.
Mike_C
12:10
There are rumors that the Braves already have a handshake agreement in place with International Free Agent Kevin Maitan, which is a violation of the rules. Why isn't the MLB investigating this?
Dave Cameron
12:11
Every team has agreements in place well before July 2nd. Do you think those deals that are announced within a few hours of the calendar flipping to July 2 are negotiated from scratch that day?
Mike_C
12:12
There appears to be more support for the National League adopting the DH every year. Which season do you see it finally happening?
Dave Cameron
12:12
I bet it gets phased in during the next CBA negotiations. So maybe 2019 or something.
Matt
12:12
Hey Dave, what are the types of moves the Braves should try to complete to finish off the rebuild? Something like Teheran for Benintendi, Brian Johnson, and Vazquez?
Dave Cameron
12:13
Well, sure, if they could trade a mediocre pitcher for an insane package of talent in return, they should do that. But the Red Sox would have to mix heroin and cocaine with some pop rocks and dr pepper in order to agree to that.
Jake McGee
12:14
Is Corey Dickerson actually good, or a product of Coors? He has a career 165 wRC+ at home, and 89 on the road.
Dave Cameron
12:14
There's plenty of evidence that playing at Coors messes up your road performance. You shouldn't judge COL hitters by their road stats.
Mike_C
12:15
Jason Heyward opts out of his deal following the 2018 season. The Braves looking to make a push for the 2019 NL East crown and flush with new stadium money, bring Heyward back home with an 8 year deal. How much of a fantasy land am I living in right now?
Dave Cameron
12:15
I don't see the Braves ever acquiring Heyward again.
Drew
12:15
Is the park adjustment for wRC+/ERA-/FIP- only for the home stadium? A la if one pitcher pitches in Coors and another from the same rotation doesn't, they'll still have the same park factor applied?
Dave Cameron
12:15
Correct.
The Boat
12:16
Do the Pirates need another starter? If so (and it seems that they do), why did they ditch Morton for salary relief? Will the $8 million he was owed buy something better than the back-end starter that Morton was?
Dave Cameron
12:17
They feel like the obvious landing spot for Latos, right?
Dale
12:17
400M for Harper is quite insane. I wouldn't put all my eggs in one basket.
Dave Cameron
12:17
It's insanely low. He's worth a lot more than that.
Bork
12:18
With the weak FA class next year, if Strasburg maintains status quo, what kind of contract do you think he'll be looking at?
Dave Cameron
12:18
8/$200M, something like that.
Marc
12:19
How do you feel about the prediction that Niese will have a better 2016 than Happ?
Dave Cameron
12:19
I could see that. Niese has been underrated for a while now.
The Dude of NY
12:19
Why are so many people acting as if it's a forgone conclusion that Cespedes opts-out of his contract (assuming he stays healthy)? If he has the 2.6 WAR season Steamer projects him to have, he'd be crazy to opt out of his deal, right?
Dave Cameron
12:20
He'd be walking away from 2/$50M, so even with a mediocre year, he could probably get a larger total guarantee on a longer deal if he was willing to take a lower AAV.
Jay
12:21
Thoughts on if there is actually anything going to happen between the Cubs and Rays? Constant talk about a match of hitting for pitching. Cubs could use Odorizzi.
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