Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:01
Happy Wednesday, everyone.
Let's get this party started.
Mike D
12:01
What're the chances Soler is traded by the deadline for pitching this year?
Dave Cameron
12:02
Would guess that either he or Schwarber don't finish the year in Chicago. The one who doesn't hit will probably be trade bait.
Mike D
12:02
How do some non-speed guys always beat BABIP averages?
Dave Cameron
12:03
They hit the ball hard and on a line. Guys like Miguel Cabrera square up a lot of pitches, and hard-hit balls are caught less often than balls that are hit up or down. Guys who can avoid infield flies also don't give away free in-play outs.
Bruce Bochy
12:03
Chris Heston or Clayton Blackburn when Matt Cain inevitably hits the DL?
Dave Cameron
12:03
Heston.
RK
12:03
Thoughts on the S. Perez contract?
Dave Cameron
12:04
Not exactly a bargain for KC, given Perez's workload may very well have him worn down before the new years kick in.
12:05
But given that they probably didn't want to have a disgruntled catcher in the clubhouse, maybe worth doing. Hard to say.
Joe
12:05
Do any of the available OF's make sense for the Orioles? They currently have only one OF (Jones) who has ever played a full season in the big leagues.
Dave Cameron
12:05
Trading for Bruce seems inevitable.
primantis
12:06
Dave, if you were made GM of the Royals today would you tell Ned Yost he can't bat Escobar leadoff?
Dave Cameron
12:06
I think telling the manager what he can and can't do is a good way to dissolve that relationship.
Ryan
12:07
I have a bad feeling that Bronson Arroyo starts the season in the Nats' rotation instead of one of Ross/Roark. Please tell me I'm wrong?
Dave Cameron
12:07
It probably doesn't matter. If he's good, then hey, neat. If he's bad, then the young kid will be up quickly, and innings limits probably mean neither of those guys were going to make 30+ starts and be available for the postseason anyway.
Ethan
12:08
Do you think that top pitchers or top hitters are more likely to have been top prospects coming up? While a lot of top pitching prospects flop, it seems like it's harder for mid level pitching prospects to make the jump to ace than it is for a mid level position player prospect to become a star.
Dave Cameron
12:10
I think the opposite is true, actually. Guys like Kluber and Keuchel happen more often on the pitching side of things.
Andrew
12:10
Hi Dave, first off wanted to say that THT article was fantastic, so thanks. My question is regarding relievers and leverage. I understand implicitly what is meant by a high leverage situation, but can't really articulate it. How would you define leverage, in a baseball sense?
Dave Cameron
12:10
The outcome of the play has a larger impact on the outcome of the game than the same play at another time.
Guest
12:11
Even Astros beat writers seem to be discounting Mike Fiers, but I'm not really sure why. He was a really solid major league pitcher last year, and he even threw a no hitter which usually gets peoples attentions. What do you expect out of him this year? Where does he rank as a number 4 in baseball?
Dave Cameron
12:11
He throws 88-92 and doesn't have any kind of dominating off-speed pitch. He'll always be discounted relative to guys with better stuff.
Joe
12:12
On the Free Agent Tracker, there's a column for 2016 WAR. Which projection is this using? It appears to be inconsistent with Steamer, ZiPS, and the Depth Charts.
Dave Cameron
12:12
It's using Steamer/600, so it's showing what that projection believes a player would do with full season playing time.
lunch
12:13
what are the chances someone other than trout or harper puts up the highest WAR total for 2016? who might it be?
Dave Cameron
12:14
Wouldn't be that hard for me to see a guy like Machado, Correa, or even Mookie Betts having an absolutely monster year. Lots of great young talent out there.
Bloomquist
12:16
I want the Mariners to be really good sooooooo bad, but I am terrified about bandwagoners when they do. Seahawk mania has been so unavoidable these last few years, any fraction of that with the Mariners would drive me crazy because so few people have cared over the last 10 years while I have been suffering and hoping. Advice?
Dave Cameron
12:16
Why does other people getting interested in the thing you're interested in reduce your enjoyment of the thing?
Hank G.
12:16
I’ve read or heard a number of people say that the current baseball salary structure, with its “cost-controlled” talent, is necessary to allow smaller market teams a chance to be competitive. Even if this were true (and I don’t think it is), why should young players, many who will never get the chance to sign a market-rate contract, be the ones who should have to make the sacrifice to make baseball competitive? Can you think of an alternative structure that would allow younger players to get paid more in line with their value and still allow smaller market teams a chance to compete?
Dave Cameron
12:17
If you don't think it's true, think of it this way; if every player made something closer to their market value, how would teams with $100 million payrolls compete with teams with $200 million payrolls?
12:18
In an efficient market, budget would be a significantly larger factor in determining the winner.
klenphak
12:19
march predictions for manager of the year?
Dave Cameron
12:20
John Farrell and Dusty Baker.
Bork
12:20
Who would be the most hilarious/unexpected player to do a retirement tour such as Jeter and Mo's?
Dave Cameron
12:21
Muni Kawasaki.
David
12:21
Do you think there's that big a gap between Donaldson and Bautista/Edwin/Tulo?
Dave Cameron
12:21
Yes.
Zorak
12:21
If you could, would you go to the game in Cuba?
Dave Cameron
12:21
Yeah, it sounds like a blast.
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