Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
powered byJotCast
Dave Cameron
12:00
Happy Wednesday. Let's do this.
JCNY
12:01
Am I crazy to think Adam Wainwright could still be a Top 12 starter this year? His '14 was fantastic and he had basically a whole year without wear on his arm. He's not young, and he's coming off a major lower body injury, but still...
Dave Cameron
12:01
Your body still ages even if you're not pitching. With all the great young arms in the game now, it's hard for me to see Wainwright cracking the top dozen pitchers.
Hooha
12:01
If Trout got hurt (god-forbid), would the Angels be the worst team in baseball?
Dave Cameron
12:02
Not even close. Have you seen the Phillies?
Outta my way, Gyorkass
12:02
Leaving out mediocre teams who are trying to contend but probably should not be (sorry, Marlins, Rockies, Orioles, etc.), which true NL contender holds the highest probability of utter collapse this season? How about the in AL?
Dave Cameron
12:04
I wouldn't put the Marlins in that group; they have a chance to be a Wild Card contender. Highest collapse potential is probably the Mets, given how reliant they are on pitching. If they lose any two of their big four starters, they could be a .500 team, and having two pitchers go down isn't unusual at all.
12:05
In the AL, it has to be the Royals, right? Heavily dependent on sequencing, a rotation with serious question marks, Salvador Perez's workload...
RK
12:05
Have anything in mind you think the White Sox should do at DH? Would Morneau make sense?
Dave Cameron
12:06
They'll probably just play Avisail Garcia there.
Stuafoo
12:06
Are high contact/OBP/speed guys like Altuve the type of player it makes the most sense to extend early on in their careers? (Covering the peaks of their speed at more reasonable rates).
Dave Cameron
12:06
I think those are the guys it makes the least sense to extend, given that their skillset doesn't get paid as well in arbitration, so you don't get hurt as badly by a big breakout.
the lion
12:08
AJ Reed is a serious AL rookie of the year ?
Dave Cameron
12:08
For sure. If he hits like people expect, he could put up some good numbers on a contender.
ken m
12:09
Are the A's in any real danger of being contracted in the semi near future?
Dave Cameron
12:09
I see baseball expanding, not contracting. There's a good argument for adding teams at this point.
Ben
12:10
in 3 years from now is Miggy Cabrera what Albert Pujols is now?
Dave Cameron
12:11
Pujols has aged worse than you'd expect.
I'd put Miggy on the Frank Thomas path. Probably a very good hitter until he retires, but health will limit his playing time.
Outta my way, Gyorkass
12:12
What's the first MLB team your little youngin' is going to attend a home game at?
Dave Cameron
12:12
We took him to Nationals Park last year.
Justin
12:13
What team are you *least* interested in for 2016?
Dave Cameron
12:13
I can't see myself watching a lot of Braves games this year. The other bad teams have more interesting young talent to watch.
Catcher Homerunball
12:15
Would milwaukee be willing to move will smith to closer so he would have higher trade value or is his value already high enough as it is?
Dave Cameron
12:15
I don't think his trade value would necessarily get a big bump from closing.
Josh
12:15
Even if the Brewers are hoping Lucroy reestablishes his value by performing well in the first half, wouldn't the lost half season of production for a potential trade partner offset the gains made in his rebound? In other words, is there really a benefit to the Brewers waiting until mid season to make a trade?
Dave Cameron
12:16
It's a tough call, mostly because there aren't a lot of examples of teams trading for catchers mid-season. At most positions, you can argue that there's some merit in waiting because prices go up at the deadline due to teams having a larger incentive to make acquisitions as they are closer to the postseason, but that might be offset by the fact that teams could get Lucroy and their pitching staffs some practice time together if they make a deal now.
Fan9
12:17
Meanest sports fans? Which MLB team
Dave Cameron
12:17
Columbian soccer.
No baseball fans have killed one of their own.
Eric Weinstein
12:19
First of all, Amen to your Bryce Harper article. Loved it and couldn't agree more. But on to BaseRuns, do you think there might be a connection between the types of teams that are more likely to overperform BaseRuns and the types of teams that overperform in the postseason compared to projections? You have identified high contact rates as a common thread on BaseRuns overperformance, and it seems that the same is true for many of the postseason success stories (the Royals, recent Giants and Cardinals teams, the Angels a decade ago).
Dave Cameron
12:19
There have been a bunch of studies on contact and the postseason and there's been no real link found.
Ben
12:19
If you were making the decision, would Trea Turner start Opening Day for the Nats ahead of Danny Espinosa? Is there anything more you need to see from either of them to make that decision? Or is it a hard-and-fast service time decision?
Dave Cameron
12:20
It's a bit complicated by the fact that Turner got some service time last year, so they'd have to keep him down longer to get the extra year. I might lean towards just using him on Opening Day.
Erik
12:21
Does the holding elite prospects back until May issue get addressed in the next CBA at all? It seems obviously to be hurting players, and everyone in baseball knows exactly what's happening, despite any excuses teams make for each individual case.
Dave Cameron
12:21
Yeah, I think they'll take a stab at fixing it. I could see the owners significantly reducing the number of days required to qualify as a service year as one of their major concessions.
Jesse
12:22
Am I crazy to think of Noah Syndergaard in the same class of pitcher/strikeout stuff as Kluber, Cole, deGrom, et al?
Dave Cameron
12:22
Not at all. His stuff is among the best in baseball.
Fan of Baseball
12:22
Dave, I'm heading to Phoenix this week. What's the best local ST venue I should check out for a game. Team/matchup unimportant.
Dave Cameron
12:23
Salt River is the nicest facility, if you're looking for something comfortable and modern with lots of shade.
Load More Messages
Connecting...