Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Nick
12:02
If you were Coppy, how would you handle Atlanta's trade deadline?
Dave Cameron
12:04
I would absolutely trade both Teheran and Vizcaino for the best packages on the table. The risks of keeping both and seeing their value decline are simply too high. Moving both now for the best package of talent they can get is the right move for where the Braves are at.
Greg
12:04
What kind of return could Vizcaino give the Braves? I don't think anyone expects a Giles-like return, but what's reasonable?
Dave Cameron
12:05
It won't be a Giles-type package, but he'll be in high demand. I could see him going for more than any other non-Miller reliever available.
James Dean
12:05
Do you think a Beltran to the Astros trade makes sense, and what type of prospect would he fetch?
Dave Cameron
12:06
That could be a decent fit, though I imagine a bunch of teams will be looking at Beltran.
Mark
12:06
Dodgers or the field on signing the next big international free agent?
Dave Cameron
12:07
Well next big IFA should be Yuliesky Gurriel, and while this didn't stop them from signing Olivera, they don't have a spot for him. Turner is still a good third baseman and looks healthy, while Utley has been plenty productive at 2B.
Toss in Kendrick and I don't know where he'd play there, and presumably, he wants to play.
Daniel
12:08
Pick a shortstop for the next decade.
Dave Cameron
12:09
It's so hard. There are so many of them. I leaned Correa pre-season, but might be slowly switching to Lindor.
But then there's Correa and Bogaerts. And you could probably keep Machado at short.
So many shortstops...
Ronnie
12:09
What do you think Yuliesky gets? 3-4 years, 45ish million seem about right?
Dave Cameron
12:11
He's 32 and hasn't played in two years. I think the Olivera bust will hurt him. I'd bet it will be something like three years with an opt-out after two, maybe at $10M per year or something.
Ethan
12:12
If the Pirates keep struggling and fall further back in the chase for a Wild Card spot, what do you think a reasonable return for Melancon, Freese or anyone else you think they could shop? Thanks!
Dave Cameron
12:13
Melancon will be their primary trade chip if they sell, and they should get a real prospect for him, given that they could hit him with a QO if they don't move him. Freese, Feliz, and Rodriguez will bring back lower level guys.
Slurms McKenzie
12:13
Mets could really use a super-utility player but finding a decent one with a plus-bat is almost impossible...but say the Pirates are out of it and decide they're sellers, what would it take to get Josh Harrison? What other options are there really, maybe Emilio Bonifacio for basically nothing? Alexi Amarista?
Dave Cameron
12:13
Danny Valencia. It's easy.
Kyle
12:13
What starting pitchers will be dealt this year? Market is super thin for quality rentals.
Dave Cameron
12:14
I think the A's will trade Gray if he keeps pitching well over the next month. He'll become the big fish.
Chuck
12:15
Have you started work on the trade value series yet? Looking forward to it.
Dave Cameron
12:16
I have. Spent some time with Sean Dolinar over the weekend working on making it more visually appealing, and am already working on who is making the cut. Think the top 10 this year is going to be much more difficult than usual. You have the great young shortstops, young stars like Bryant and Betts, the greatness of Syndergaard, underpriced aces like Sale and Bumgarner, plus some guy named Trout.
It's going to be crowded up top.
James
12:17
Top 5 players in baseball in descending order, go.
Dave Cameron
12:18
Trout, Kershaw, Harper, Machado, Arrieta
Or maybe Donaldson over Arrieta, depending on the day.
thisisforreal
12:19
It used to say in the FanGraphs glossary that GB pitchers do poorly against FB hitters and FB pitchers do poorly against GB hitters. Why is this?
Dave Cameron
12:20
When a GB pitcher throws a pitch up in the zone, he's more likely to have missed his spot, so it's got a higher probability of being a centered pitch instead of a well located high fastball. FB pitchers command better up in the zone than GB pitchers, since they throw there more often.
Bork
12:20
How much is Bautista's off-season stock lowering with this trip to the DL? Apparently he could be out for 1-2 months.
Dave Cameron
12:21
The fantasies of a five year contract are gone now. He might not even get four this winter.
Zorak
12:21
When considering signing Reyes, do you think the Mets are emboldened by looking over to the Bronx and seeing how little heat they've taken for Chapman?
Dave Cameron
12:22
Perhaps. But I still don't know what Reyes does for the Mets. If they want to move Walker to third, just call up Herrera, who is better than Reyes. If you're playing Reyes at 3rd, that's a downgrade from Flores. Besides nostalgia for what he used to be, I don't know why the Mets are considering Reyes.
Outta my way, Gyorkass
12:23
What does a hypothetical (and reasonable) Will Smith return look like?
Dave Cameron
12:23
Depends on how healthy teams think his knee is. The pitching through injury thing is going to lower his value, but if he's dominant for the next month, they'll get a nice haul.
Sir Nerdlington
12:24
The players have so many things they could go after in the new CBA (luxury tax, season length, salary minimums, rev share, etc.) but what do they really have to give in exchange? They've already agreed to drug testing/suspensions and domestic violence. Is this why there is no PR jockeying outside of service time manipulations? Players dealing with a weak hand?
Dave Cameron
12:24
International draft. The league really wants this, and can't do it without the players.
Outta my way, Gyorkass
12:24
How do baseball postseason revenues get divvied out between players? Proportional to their salaries, or does each player get the same set amount per game?
Dave Cameron
12:25
They have postseason shares based on the team's extra revenues (which depends on how many games they play), and then the players vote to determine who gets a full share, a half share, or no share.
J6takish
12:26
Can/Should MLB do anything about Lerners heavy use of deferred money to pass the buck onto the future owner?
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