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Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:26
No. The deferred money theoretically lowers the value of the franchise, as it's basically debt on the books. So if the Lerners want to sell at some point, they'll get less for the franchise than if they hadn't deferred the money.
Shawn
12:27
The braves most obvious trade chip is Vizcaino. Knowing he will not create a return that Ken Giles produced for the phils, could the braves still get a top 100 prospect for him?
Dave Cameron
12:27
Sure. Prices for relievers at the deadline are very high, and he's both cheap and controllable. I would think a top 100 guy and some other stuff might be on the table if there's a bidding war.
James
12:29
Is Clayton Kershaw a literal god on a diamond
Dave Cameron
12:29
Over the last 365 days, he's been worth nearly +12 WAR. That's an inner-circle all-time great pitching season. This is peak-Pedro.
Paul
12:30
What team is most likely to get desperate enough to pay the price to land Teheran?
Dave Cameron
12:31
Well, the trick is going to be that Coppy has said they're going to want MLB players back, not prospects. I think he's pigeonholing himself and will get a worse return if he sticks to that requirement, because it limits the number of potential buyers. Texas is one of the few teams that will be in the market for an SP this summer and has excess MLB talent to trade.
Bryan
12:31
Do you feel that Rodon has the stuff to eventually become an ace?
Dave Cameron
12:31
Not really.
ssimo02
12:32
Dave, do you believe that Brandon Nimmo is a fair return for Danny Valencia?
Dave Cameron
12:32
No, I think the A's could get more than that. I just mentioned Nimmo as an example of the type of prospect that the Mets have that would appeal to the A's. I'd imagine it would have to be Nimmo+.
JJB
12:33
In the long term, do you think Maikel Franco looks like this year's version, or last year's version?
Dave Cameron
12:33
I've never been a huge fan. Lots of flaws there.
PaulyOH
12:33
What would be a realistic return the Reds could get on Jay Bruce? Figure an American League team more likely to get him?
Dave Cameron
12:34
Yeah, he'll fit best with an AL team. He and Beltran will have the same market, probably.
Tony
12:35
I like Valencia, but wouldnt Nimmo benefit the Mets more? Solid defense, 5+ years of control, OBP. 400+, Slg 500+ in AAA.

Valencia, often injured, not that great 3b defensively. Will Valencia's hitting out value his defense AND Nimmo's projected MLB performance?
Dave Cameron
12:35
You don't want to get too excited about hitting lines in Vegas. Nimmo is still an underpowered OF who relies on walks to drive his value at the plate. Odds are good he ends up as +1 to +2 WAR player.
Jeff Gannon
12:36
The Dodgers are 21st in pitcher-adjusted wRC+. You said in your last chat that they might want to trade for a pitcher, but don't they need another bat?
Dave Cameron
12:37
I don't know where they'd put another hitter. You can't really bench Gonzalez and there aren't many great 1Bs available. Turner, Seager, Utley, and Pederson are producing. Puig, Thompson, and Ethier give them corner OF options that should be decent. I guess you could swap out Grandal for Lucroy, but that's not going to fix things by itself. Essentially, the Dodgers need Gonzalez and Puig to hit.
Thwerve
12:37
Cameron, walk-off single for the managing editor. Can we just call you Chief? Emotionally, how did it feel? What was your approach in the final at-bat? Did you go up expecting to get a hit or did you just try to put a good swing on it and put your trust in the statistics?
Dave Cameron
12:38
I was trying so hard to hit one to right field, because I was so pull heavy early in the game that Team RotoGraphs had all their defenders on the left side. I took the most extreme closed stance possible, tried like crazy to hit it to the right side... and still pulled it.
Aaron
12:39
If the Braves ate all of the Markakis contract could they net a solid prospect? Even Kelly Johnson landed a intriguing arm.
Dave Cameron
12:39
They could get that level of intriguing arm, maybe. He's not worth much.
Guest
12:40
I came to baseball through sabrmetrics, so I have never not subscribed to the idea that lineup protection is a false concept. But you yourself have written about "challenging" hitters who haven't shown they can make a pitcher pay. Why isn't the decision to "challenge" a hitter influenced by context?
Dave Cameron
12:41
The argument for protection is that a hitter will perform better because pitchers are scared of the guy on deck. But if the result is that the batter in front of the great hitter gets on base *more often*, then the pitcher is actually setting himself up for even more trouble when the great hitter comes up. The entire theory rests on the idea that pitchers are stupid. They aren't.
JTT
12:41
Does demond sign as a CF for his next contract or does he move back to SS?
Dave Cameron
12:41
The OF transition has been so successful that I don't see any reason for him to ever move back.
Rainier Beer Comes Out Here
12:43
Any update on the CBA negotiations? How do you think the Qualifying Offer system will change (if at all)?
Dave Cameron
12:43
I'd guess it will go away or be significantly crippled.
Brian
12:43
If you're the Braves, do you continue to settle for far-away prospects in trades or is it time to try and start adding controllable MLB help
Dave Cameron
12:43
You just get the best return you can.
Mark L
12:44
Pick one for the rest of their career- Thor or Jose Fernandez?
Dave Cameron
12:44
Thor.
CamdenWarehouse
12:44
Will the number of strong shortstops hurt their individual trade values?
Dave Cameron
12:45
No.
Sean
12:45
Brandon Drury to the Mets as an alternative to Valencia?
Dave Cameron
12:45
Sounds like Arizona is still very high on Drury, so unlikely.
Thatguy
12:45
Could you make an argument for Arenado to be the 5th best player in the big leagues?
Dave Cameron
12:45
Not a realistic one.
Phil
12:45
Is there a real chance Kershaw wins MVP again? I can't believe how amazing this man is
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