Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Shawn
12:45
With the return the braves get for Teheran, would it be smart to flip that for the likes of a Wil myers, or just keep the return?
Dave Cameron
12:46
Some kind of three-way trade might make the most sense if ATL does decide to move Teheran. Myers is an interesting option.
Turbo
12:47
Can you get Cistuili to pay less attention to painfully obscure minor leaguers and focus more on pitchers who are getting close to or who are in the majors? He has been fantastic at finding guys like Kluber, Shoemaker, Keuchel, etc and I'd love to learn more about the next wave.
Dave Cameron
12:47
Cistulli doesn't really do what I tell him to do, unfortunately. If he did, I'd start with "Buy some new shirts."
Thompson
12:47
What pitcher are the Rays most likely to trade away?
Dave Cameron
12:47
Odorizzi seems like the one they'd get the most for that they'd be willing to give up.
Justin
12:48
Could Kolten Wong or Grichuk still be a trade asset at the deadline?
Dave Cameron
12:48
For sure. There are plenty of teams who would happily buy low on those two. STL is probably too smart to sell at this point though.
Q-Ball
12:48
Apparently, Kyle Schwarber is off-limits in any trade talks. Do you feel that's a wise position for the Cubs? Is he THAT good?
Dave Cameron
12:49
No. He doesn't really have a future in Chicago, it seems to me.
Guest
12:49
carpenter > bryant, true or true
Dave Cameron
12:50
False, but he's really great.
jon
12:50
Any way Soler+ gets Miller?
Dave Cameron
12:50
Depends on the +. Don't think Soler is that valuable a trade chip right now, given the lingering lack of hitting and injuries.
SMac
12:52
Most overrated player in baseball and why?
Dave Cameron
12:52
It used to be easy to answer this; just find the bat-only RBI guy who didn't get on base much and couldn't play defense. Ryan Howard or Juan Gonzalez were easy answers, but those guys have been heavily devalued by the move towards analytics, and there aren't that many of them anymore.
Frank
12:54
It's not much of a secret that the Braves need hitters. But how do you actually see them getting the hitters? There doesn't seem to be any obvious way to do it.
Dave Cameron
12:54
They're likely going to have to sign some free agent bats, but unfortunately for them, it's a terrible winter to be signing free agent hitters.
A. Reitz
12:54
Herrera, over Vince Velasquez? Injury worries aside...don't get that one. Herrera is a nice player, but will he ever be an all star? VV, has more ace potential than Nola.
Dave Cameron
12:55
There's more to life than ace potential. I'll happily take the nice safe above average player over the guy with a 90% bust rate.
Untitled1
12:55
When the Yankees talk about Aaron Judge needing to work on more things before he's called up, is that just blowing smoke or is there really something to it?
Dave Cameron
12:56
There are very few players Judge's size who have been good big league hitters, and he has a long history of contact issues. He is exactly the kind of guy who benefits from more work in the minors refining his game.
Sleeper Star
12:57
I'm a Sox fan, so I'm biased, and I understand all positional adjustments are based on some sort of statistical analysis, but the negative defensive adjustment for a DH just seems to be too much... Over his career, David Ortiz has been worth an absurd -240.4 defensive runs (which, I believe, means 24 wins?)... Shouldn't there be something here where it's understood the team is better off having the player not play defense, thereby the player isn't hurting the team and not costing them any runs?
Dave Cameron
12:58
Do you remember Manny Ramirez and Hanley Ramirez in left field? Do you think that cost the Red Sox actual runs and actual wins? Do you know why Manny and Hanley had to play the field? Because they had David Ortiz. DHs cost their team runs by not allowing the team to DH other bad fielders, so yes, they're being properly punished for their inability to play the field.
Brian
12:58
If Andrew Miller costs X. What percentage of X do: Chapman or Doolittle cost?
Dave Cameron
12:58
60%, 70%.
Miller is on another level in reliever value.
Brandon
12:59
Hey Dave, are the Rangers the best team in the AL?
Dave Cameron
12:59
Nope.
Zonk
12:59
Assuming Kershaw gets Cy Young and not MVP, would you buy Kris Bryant as early NL MVP favorite?
Dave Cameron
1:00
The problem for a Cub in the MVP race is they have so many candidates. Easy to see people looking at that roster and saying "eh, they'd have won the division anyway"
Andrew
1:00
Refinancing student loans...am I better off with a 5.3% fixed interest rate or a 4.0% variable? It's a 5-year loan.
Dave Cameron
1:00
No one can predict the future, but it's hard to imagine that rates are going up significantly any time soon, especially after the Brexit. I'd take the rate cut and my chances.
el crapo
1:01
quick and dirty way to adjust a batting line with crazy BABIP? e.g. "100 points above expected babip will inflate wRC+ by 30 points"
Dave Cameron
1:01
Depends entirely on a player's other skills. If he's a high-contact guy who doesn't walk (Ichiro, basically), then BABIP will drive huge swings in wRC+. For a three true outcome guy (Chris Davis), it matters less.
Zach
1:02
Should the Padres trade Wil Myers?
Dave Cameron
1:02
I would, but I'm also not hosting the All-Star game and I didn't just call my team embarrassing in public, so I don't have to worry about keeping fans watching.
Kevin
1:03
Who do you think has made the biggest leap in the Trade Value rankings? Who has made the biggest drop?
Dave Cameron
1:04
I've got the preliminary names for the list finished and have started working on ordering them, so I can actually answer this! I had Stanton at #21 last year, and he's not going to make the list this year.
1:05
Cutch is also going to take a big fall from #9.
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