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Dave Cameron
12:40
Valencia isn't a free agent this winter.
Bullish A's fan.
12:41
Over/under for Marcus Semien's home runs is 29.5 what do you take?
Dave Cameron
12:41
He's at 18, right? So 11.5 more ROS? That actually sounds about right.
baltic wolf
12:42
Vogelbach: does he get traded? The Cubs aren't going to let him rot in their system are they? (Sorry if this question got asked twice, something happened when I tried the first time and the question disappeared.)
Dave Cameron
12:43
He probably does get traded, but he's not worth that much. A 23 year old bat only guy who projects as a league average hitter isn't really a particularly valuable player, and even if you think the bat improves some -- not a given, with his body type -- the upside is Billy Butler or something.
Greg
12:43
Assume the Nats were willing to deal Giolito. Who would the Yankees have to add on top of Chapman to make it happen?
Dave Cameron
12:44
Every valuable thing they have.
Brandon Belt
12:44
Should I start a grassroots movement to end all-star fan voting? Maybe have a fangraphs staff vote instead?
Dave Cameron
12:44
The fans do a better job than the players.
Alfonso
12:45
Could Bartolo actually draw a QO? If mets decide to move a pitcher this offseason, Bartolo would probably be worth it at 16/1yr if he continues to pitch at a similar caliber. right?
Dave Cameron
12:45
Don't think there's a big enough market for a 42 year old pitcher to generate that kind of bidding war.
The Cincinnati Kid
12:46
Could you give us 3 surprises in the Top 50 for the Trade Value Series?
Dave Cameron
12:47
I haven't ordered the list yet -- going to work on it on my flight to Boston this afternoon -- but I will note that Mike Trout only barely has the best ZIPS five year forecast; there's a player expected to pass him as the best player on the planet in a couple of years.
Other thing I found interesting: Joe Ross has a better five year ZIPS forecast than Julio Urias.
Shane
12:48
Who do you think is the best starting pitcher traded before the deadline?
Dave Cameron
12:48
Sonny Gray.
West Coast Wreck
12:48
Including Inciarte would allow the Redsox to depart with Benintendi + Swihart + 1other guy to snag Teheran as well.
Dave Cameron
12:49
Well, yes, they could lose their minds and make a disastrous trade like that, but they won't.
E
12:49
Do you follow basketball? Thoughts on Durant going to the Warriors?
Dave Cameron
12:51
I follow it to some degree, but not enough to be any kind of expert. I do wonder about whether adding another offense-first player is really going to improve GSW that much; every shot Durant takes is one that Curry or Thompson don't get, most likely, so it's not like there's going to be a big improvement in scoring.
hscer
12:51
when's the trade value series come out again?
Dave Cameron
12:51
Next week!
Guest
12:51
how's the move coming along?
Dave Cameron
12:51
Not moving until the fall. The house sold the first day on the market, though, so that worked out nicely.
brawdley
12:52
given their position on the win curve, how aggressive do you think Boston will be at the deadline?
Dave Cameron
12:52
You don't bring in Dave Dombrowski because you're thinking long-term.
Billy Beane
12:52
Any chance I hook up with Zaidi in LA on a Rich Hill trade if the injury bug keeps biting? LAD has a lot of prospects and I have the best rental pitcher.
Dave Cameron
12:53
With Norris added, McCarthy back, and Ryu close, the Dodgers probably don't need Hill at this point. Kershaw/Maeda/Kazmir/McCarthy/Norris/Ryu/Wood is a very good rotation, with two arms to spare.
Dave P
12:54
Could the Padres find a trade partner for Kemp if they ate $45M of the remaining ~$70M owed? And if so, is there anything of value coming back?
Dave Cameron
12:55
I don't know who would take Kemp, at this point. The Rangers are the only contender who really needs a DH, and even they could just play Gallo instead.
Adam
12:55
Hey Dave, can you name the player with the highest WAR total, whose wRC+ is less than 100?
Dave Cameron
12:56
Probably Addison Russell, right?
Or maybe his recent hot streak got him back to 100?
Adam
12:56
Lorenzo Cain - 98 wRC+ - 1.9 WAR
Dave Cameron
12:57
Okay, so it was Russell before yesterday.
Adam
12:57
as of yesterday, when I asked this to august, the correct answer was Kevin Pillar.
Nolan
12:58
If the Rays could go back in time and scratch the Nationals out of the Wil Myers trade, they do it in a heartbeat, right?
Dave Cameron
12:58
For sure.
Pooneod
12:58
At what point is segura good in your estimation? You don't like him - we get it.
Dave Cameron
12:59
He has 2300 career plate appearances and a wRC+ of 83. He's been worth ~+1.5 WAR per season. He's not good.
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