Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:01
Happy Wednesday, everyone. It's Trade Value week, so we'll probably chat about that to a large degree, but with the deadline a few weeks away, plenty of trade rumors to digest as well.
So let's get to it.
Fred
12:01
I know you aren't a prospect guy, but as a concerned Braves fan, I see Dansby Swanson as a solid player, not a great one. Am I missing something?
Dave Cameron
12:02
This was basically the Diamondbacks rationale for trading him, so no, I don't think you're that far off. He doesn't have the upside of some of the other top prospects in the game, it doesn't seem.
Jack C.
12:02
It sounds like Alex Bregman will FINALLY be called up this weekend. Everything I have read has him playing 3B once he gets called up, but do you eventually see him taking over SS and having Correa move over to 3B?
Dave Cameron
12:03
My guess is they'll stick with Correa at short. It probably doesn't matter enough to make a story out of it.
PL
12:03
Dave, I'm itching for trades to get started. Does Rich Hill get dealt immediately after his start on Friday?
Dave Cameron
12:04
I wouldn't be surprised if the A's waited this one out, since there are so few other available starters, they don't really have to worry about someone jumping in and stealing their thunder.
Jack C.
12:04
I was pretty confident both Braun and Lucroy were going to get dealt by the deadline. Now, I don't think Braun gets traded until the offseason. But Lucroy has to go, right? I mean, Boston, Cleveland, Texas, and Houston could use him right about now. Thoughts?
Dave Cameron
12:04
Lucroy will be traded. Braun may go in August.
Zonk
12:04
As August pointed out, the Cubs DID just play a really mediocre month of baseball. If you were Theo would that change your deadline plans? Other than LHRP, do they have an urgent priority, in your opinion?
Dave Cameron
12:05
Not really, no.
Pale Hose
12:05
Hey Dave. Roughly how many spots in trade value should we expect a player to fall due only to losing a year of control?
Dave Cameron
12:05
Depends on how many years of control they have left. If they go from six to five, it's not a huge deal, maybe 5-10 spots. If they go from 3-2, or 2-1, they'll probably fall far enough to go off the list entirely.
Michael
12:06
What percentage would you put for Josh Reddick getting dealt?
Dave Cameron
12:06
99%
Joe
12:06
Jon Schoop didn't make the list and wasn't included in any of the honorable mentions, but he is a guy you considered?
Dave Cameron
12:07
Not really. He's pretty clearly behind a lot of the guys who ended up in the honorable mentions section, in my view. For instance, I don't think he's particularly close in value to Brandon Crawford or Brandon Belt.
Dat Guy
12:07
Which is more likely, Benintendi traded or Benintendi called up?
Dave Cameron
12:08
Called up, by a lot.
Jack
12:08
Yoan Moncada gets called up in ________ of 2017, and he plays _______.
Dave Cameron
12:08
June, 3rd base.
Erik
12:08
Is there always a fear of lockout/strike with every round of CBA negotiations, or would we have heard rumors by now if there was a chance of things getting ugly?
Dave Cameron
12:08
There's always a chance of that, but the odds this time around seem extremely low.
Zonk
12:09
We all chided the Indians for doing nothing to upgrade their OF, and here they are.....one of the top OF WAR in the majors. Even Marlon Byrd was good. Are the Indians smarter than us?
Dave Cameron
12:09
The answer to your question can be yes without the Indians having foreknowledge that this group was going to perform like this.
JD
12:09
Sounds like Andrew Miller is available. Team most likely to get him and how much will they have to give up?
Dave Cameron
12:11
Cubs. They have plenty of guys they can move and the most glaring need.
BravesWin
12:11
Future Games observation: Alex Reyes will will ROY in the NL THIS SEASON if the Cards bring him up NOW and put him in the rotation.
Dave Cameron
12:11
Corey Seager exists.
hscer
12:12
With 2 arbitration years left and a very good but still underwhelming first half, should we not be surprised if/when Bryce Harper ranks outside the top 3 in trade value this year?
Dave Cameron
12:12
No, you shouldn't.
mtsw
12:12
What would you estimate the odds that Mike Trout is traded in the next 13 months to be?
Dave Cameron
12:12
Probably 5%. But if you stretched it to 18 months, to cover the 2017 offseason, I'd go higher, maybe 25%.
Noah
12:14
What's your opinion on the young relievers from the Brewers this year going into the deadline?
Dave Cameron
12:15
I think they are in a great position, especially if Smith has a good few weeks leading up to the deadline. They could potentiall restock an entire team's relief corps.
Brett Lawrie's Empty Redbull Can
12:16
Hey Dave, enjoying the trade value series as always (obligatory "what about Player X!?!?" gripe). Wonder if you'll be doing the Anti-trade value series again this year as well?
Dave Cameron
12:16
I will. Probably run it next week, most likely.
Daniel
12:16
When discussing trade values with those in the game, do you actually phase discussion as "Would you do a 1-for-1 trade involving these two?" ever?
Dave Cameron
12:17
Yep. Had a lot of discussions with guys with various teams about what kinds of swaps they'd make.
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