Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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yanks fan
12:23
chapman for reynaldo lopez - who's wins that trade?
Dave Cameron
12:23
The Yankees.
JD
12:23
When do you think all of the trade action really begins? We've had a couple of deals, but no frenzy like I always anticipate in the last couple weeks of July
Dave Cameron
12:23
I'd bet stuff starts to happen this weekend.
Oliver
12:23
What do you suspect the Cards punishment will be?
Dave Cameron
12:24
Loss of something like 3-5 first round picks, but bans on signing international free agents for some extended period of time, and a huge fine.
Mike
12:26
Zack Cozart seems like a good trade piece but can't seem to find a fit. What are your thoughts on value and potential fit ? Maybe off season target ?
Dave Cameron
12:26
Yeah, no buyers really looking for an SS right now.
Anthony
12:26
Buy/Sell/Hold: Pirates at 19% to make the playoffs?
Dave Cameron
12:26
Sell.
Erik
12:26
The trade mystery that you wrote about--is that the sort of thing that happens all the time and always falls through, so we rarely hear about it? Or were the Cubs really up to something noteworthy and weird and potentially big?
Dave Cameron
12:26
Lots of teams try weird stuff that doesn't work.
Nelson
12:27
In your Espinoza article you stated that his value lies lower than his 15-ranking due to how far away he is, but dont prospect ranking take risk into consideration? If he was doing what he is doing at AAA he'd be top 10.
Dave Cameron
12:27
Prospect analysts undervalue risk. And yes, if he was pitching in Triple-A as an 18 year old, he'd be a monster prospect, but he's not. That's like saying if Andrew Benintendi had Bryce Harper's power, he'd be in the big leagues already.
LarryA
12:28
Espinoza may fall into the 11-20 bucket of prospects, but with the minor league season 2/3 done and 3-4 propects expected to graduate before the next preseason list (depending on list criteria) barring a devestating injury in the final month and a half, he will definitely be closer to 9 than 20 on the next list.
Dave Cameron
12:30
The BA midseason Top 100 excluded all 2016 draftees, so a decent chance a few of those guys jump in front of him. And, realistically, Espinoza hasn't done enough to justify even being ranked as highly as he is now, much less being ranked in the top 10. The risks here are astronomical.
Bruce
12:31
We like to make a lot of fun fake trade proposals for 2 players from one team getting moved together (Lucroy+Braun, Chapman+Beltran, etc) but is there any real precedent for 2 good players getting moved together at the deadline?
Dave Cameron
12:31
Samardzija and Hammel to the A's.
Eric Weinstein
12:31
Do you think the Cubs would trade Schwarber for Teheran? Your trade value list would imply that they should. But I highly doubt that they would. (you've always been low on him IMO)
Dave Cameron
12:32
The Cubs don't need an SP, so there's no real incentive for them to make that particular trade. But if they just cared about value, they should absolutely make that deal. Cubs fans can think I'm low on him all they want, but he's reached the point where he's the most overrated young player the game has seen in years.
Michael Scarn
12:33
Your defense of the Pommy deal was definitely reasonable, but as a Red Sox fan, it's crazy to me that we've won 3 World Series in the past 12 years, and yet we're still making huge win-now moves that indicate ownership needs to see a deep playoff run this year. Outside of any strict analytical analysis of the deal, I'd rather see a really exciting top prospect like Espinoza rise through the system and potentially be a franchise star, rather than have a 5% better chance of winning the WS in 2016.
Dave Cameron
12:34
I'm pretty sure you're in the minority on that one.
Rick C
12:34
Given the return for Pomeranz, what would you now see as a realistic return for Teheran?
Dave Cameron
12:34
I don't think the Pomeranz trade did anything to change our valuations; it was a fair trade based on both players value. The Braves asking price for Teheran continues to be unreasonable.
Grant
12:35
What about Matz in the rumored Pomeranz deal? Pomeranz is probably a slight upgrade for this year and with Matz's injury issues combined with the rest of the rotation's injuries, I could see them being nervous about relying on him.
Dave Cameron
12:35
Mets aren't flipping Matz for Pomeranz.
Guest
12:35
Should the Mariners do a full blown rebuild?
Dave Cameron
12:36
Don't think they can stomach tearing it down while they still have Felix, Cano, and Cruz producing. Once those guys stop being good, then they'll blow it up.
JD
12:36
I am very glad that the cubs are being very hesitant to give up Baez and Schwarber, both are potential super stars and pretty high floors, which makes them very valuable for near future. Definitely more valuable than a relief pitcher, even though they need one badly.
Dave Cameron
12:36
Javier Baez is now a high-floor player? I'm sorry, Cubs fans, but you've descended into madness on the valuation of your young hitters.
Krombopulous Michael
12:37
Personally I see Lucroy going to the Red Sox along with a reliever. Where do you see him ending up?
Dave Cameron
12:37
Boston or Texas.
Jim
12:38
i really want Lucroy and random Milw RP X in a Red Sox uniform to make the run for the division. Doesn't Swihart Devers form the basis for that to be reality ?
Dave Cameron
12:38
Yep.
Dunt
12:38
Could Miguel Gonzalez or Zach Duke return a useful piece at the deadline?
Dave Cameron
12:38
Duke definitely could. Gonzalez, not really.
Joe
12:39
Dave, why does Carson pronounce the "lead" in "lead prospect writer" like the element and not the pronoun? It's driving me nuts
Dave Cameron
12:39
He's trying to drive you nuts.
I love when you call me big papi
12:39
I know he is a DH who can't run and already gets a lot of attention, but can we admire David Ortiz's absurd run over the last year+? Even just saying "yep, he is really good at hitting" in chat. Thanks!
Dave Cameron
12:39
Yep, he is really good at hitting.
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