Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:02
Happy Wednesday, everyone. After taking last week off to go to Oregon and buy a house, I'm back in the sweltering heat of the east coast. Summer is the worst.
Summer on this side of the country, anyway. It was 68 in Oregon last week. I'm excited to move.
Anyway, let's talk baseball, not miserable weather.
Gary
12:03
Can you explain the Swanson call up? His Double A numbers are just alright, Braves are going to be bad next year, and it starts his clock. Why are they doing this?
Dave Cameron
12:04
There's no difference in service time between calling him up now and having him start at SS on Opening Day next year. If we assume they weren't going to leave him down to delay his service time next year -- and given that they're going to be opening a new stadium, leaving him down seemed unlikely, since they'll need to put a real product on the field next year -- this gives him some experience ahead of time. I don't think he's ready to come in and perform well right away, but it's better to have him slump at the end of this miserable year than the start of next year.
Mike_C
12:04
Given that it difficult at best to parse the intentions of front offices, are the Braves Promoting Swanson for the right reasons, or is this a desperate attempt to generate ticket sales during a season when revenue has been down?
Dave Cameron
12:05
I don't think Dansby Swanson is going to move the ticket sale needle. They were going to call him up in September anyway, so this gives him a few extra weeks in the big leagues.
Jacob
12:05
I'm pretty sure that you remain the only person outside of Mookie Betts' mother that loves him more than I do. Keep fighting the good fight.
Dave Cameron
12:06
I do love me some Mookie Betts, but I also think its important to make it clear that him doing this isn't a chance for us to say "haha, told you so!". No one saw this coming. This is bananas.
Mike T.
12:06
Dave who is your pick to come out of the AL East?
Dave Cameron
12:06
Boston and Toronto in a race to the finish, Baltimore fighting for a wild card spot.
RD2
12:07
What happens when a player with a vesting option is cut? If it vests after being picked up by a new team is the original team still on the hook for it?
Dave Cameron
12:07
If a player is released, he signs a new contract upon joining another organization, so the stipulations covered by the old contract do not apply. A player's contract is only transferred if he's traded or claimed on waivers.
Mike T.
12:08
off topic - but have you booked a west coast snow ski vacation?
Dave Cameron
12:08
I'm going to be living 20 minutes from Mt. Bachelor; my entire winter will be a snow ski vacation.
Q-Ball
12:08
Apparently the D-Backs have a Aug 31 option decision on Dave Stewart and Co. Should he be fired? How much do you blame Stewart for the really bad year the D-Backs have had?
Dave Cameron
12:10
I think the D'Backs should just hit the reset button, and clean house. LaRussa isn't a guy you want in a position of power in 2016, and his contract is apparently up this winter too. I'd let them both leave, bring in a new president/GM, and let them try to fix what TLR and Stewart broke.
Q-Ball
12:10
538 says the increase in home runs this year is likely a result of a change in the construction of the baseball. Is that your take? Are there any other plausible explanations?
Dave Cameron
12:11
Ben and Rob don't say that outright; they say the evidence they've gathered points to the ball as the most likely conclusion. Alan Nathan has pointed out that there is some data that suggests that the ball may not be different, however. At this point, the best conclusion is still that we don't really know, though the ball being manufactured differently still remains the most likely option, I think.
Q-Ball
12:12
105 runs, or 18% of the Cubs total output, has come in the 13 games they've played against the Reds. Doesn't that inflate the stats and make the Cubs offense look better than it is?
Dave Cameron
12:12
Good teams beat bad teams. It's true for everyone.
Kevins Dad
12:12
What chance would you give Dansby of being an All-Star in 2017? Every team still gets one, right?
Dave Cameron
12:14
Pretty low. Crawford, Seager, Diaz, Russell, Cozart if he's not traded... there are plenty of NL shortstops better than him.
Gerb
12:15
Player 4 has entered the game. Has Betts just jumped his way into the AL MVP discussion?
Dave Cameron
12:16
He's going to get some consideration, but I think there are too many Red Sox having good years for any Boston player to stand out in the way voters like. September can change things, but right now, I think it's Trout for the "best player" voters, Donaldson for the "best player on a playoff team" voters, and then a bunch of guys fighting for third. I could actually see Ortiz finishing ahead of Betts.
Big Joe Monferrant
12:17
Gotta ask about Gary Sanchez, his defense has been very impressive and the bat is everything we expected. Fair to say he SHOULD be the yankees starter next year?
Dave Cameron
12:17
I think the Yankees will be aggressively trying to move Brian McCann this winter, so yeah, probably.
glenn
12:17
What do you think Judge turns out to be?
Dave Cameron
12:18
The Richie Sexson comparison rings the most true. I don't know that he'll ever quite be as good as Sexson was, but that's the upside.
Jon Daniels
12:19
I like you, Dave. It's time you stop hating my team and be my friend.
Dave Cameron
12:19
I don't hate your team. I just think that "win every one run game" is not a sustainable plan.
Q-Ball
12:21
Is Matt Holliday the best $100 mil + FA sign in history, in terms of value? (Excluding extensions)
Dave Cameron
12:21
Maybe. He's been excellent for STL, no question.
Vince Clortho
12:22
I know this is a painfully minor transaction, but roughly 1.5MM seems like an awful lot of money to acquire Kade Scivicque, no? Given Detroit's injury situation, you would think Atlanta wouldn't have to pay so much.
Dave Cameron
12:22
They were going to pay that $1.5M either way.
Jeff
12:23
I get the Braves want to generate excitement, by why not debut Swanson in April next year in exchange for an extra year of service time?
Dave Cameron
12:24
"Hey fans, thanks for this publicly funded stadium that we didn't really need. Please come watch us in our new ballpark. Except you don't get to see that good young SS you've heard so much about, because we've him hanging out in Triple-A to save money." That's not a pitch anyone wants to make.
Brendan
12:24
How would you handle the Coco Crisp situation?
Dave Cameron
12:25
I'd probably just release him and let him catch on with a contender.
Q-Ball
12:26
Is it finally time for Mike Scioscia to go, after 17 seasons?
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