Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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TP
12:48
Was the Mets' picking up Bruce's option a fundamental misreading of the market or just a willingness to tolerate a muddled CF/RF situation?
Dave Cameron
12:48
It was a hedge against losing Cespedes that they thought would only cost them a couple million if they had to move him. Then the market for bat-first guys crashed.
I don't think anyone thought these types of players were going to get paid what they ended up getting, so I don't blame the Mets for not anticipating it either.
Sean
12:49
Would you consider the Dback's hirings of Bradenhop and Haren to fit into your post yesterday, a la communication between the field and the analytics?
Dave Cameron
12:50
Definitely. I think we're going to see a bunch of former players move into this kind of role. Cole Figueroa probably could have kept hanging around as a utility depth guy, but he's got more upside to the Rays in the front office.
Jay
12:51
RE: Surprise AL Central winner - Obviously injuries (maybe besides Salazar) are unpredictable but the Indians won the division without getting anything from Brantley, any catcher, long stretches of Carrasco and Salazar. Kinda hard not to think even even with some injuries they're still that much better than the rest of the division, no?
Dave Cameron
12:54
Well, sure, they're clearly the best team in the division. But let's not pretend a lot of things didn't go their way in 2016 too. Jose Ramirez just put up a +5 WAR season. Tyler Naquin ran a 135 wRC+. They got almost 300 IP from Salazar/Carrasco, so they didn't really miss that much time last year. Dan Otero was a relief ace out of nowhere.
If you lose get something closer to 100 IP from Salazar/Carrasco, Ramirez stops playing like a superstar, Brantley doesn't come back healthy, Naquin regresses...
Adge
12:55
Angel Pagan, 1/3, Toronto Blue Jays. Why hasn't this happened yet?
Dave Cameron
12:56
He should get more than that.
Morbid
12:56
Tool grades from Long-in-namen going to be update on player pages?
Dave Cameron
12:56
Yep.
Curtis
12:57
Of the perennial non-contenders, which 25 man roster has the fewest holes?
Dave Cameron
12:57
The Brewers have a billion not-terrible-but-not-great players.
So they don't really have holes. They just lack the stars necessary to make a good team.
Ted Lerner
12:58
Seriously, what do the Nats do now?
Dave Cameron
12:58
What do they actually do? Probably make a spring trade for a closer.
What should they do? Address their terrible bench.
Jon Daniels
12:59
I've talked about a similar implementation inefficiency as you propose. That's why I took Bannister from the Pirates. Would superior buy-in account (to some extent) for exceeding projections/Pythagorean last couple of years?
Dave Cameron
12:59
If you have an explanation for how Jeff Bannister/buy-in wins you the most one run games in MLB history, I'd be all ears.
Papers Please
12:59
With the PECOTA projections coming out yesterday, do you feel any team was under/over valued?
Dave Cameron
1:00
Like everyone else, I'll take the over on the Royals at 70 wins.
v2micca
1:00
What kind of shape are the Nationals in once Harper leaves for New York/LA?
Dave Cameron
1:01
Depends on how he leaves. If they actually let him just walk, then not great. But if they get to next winter and know he's not going to stick around, trading him might give them a chance to re-stock a bit.
Curious fan
1:01
Is romo an upgrade over Blanton?
Dave Cameron
1:01
I'm not sure about upgrade, but they are probably not too different.
python-r
1:02
Better to have Eaton in CF Harper in RF or Harper in CF Eaton in RF?
Dave Cameron
1:02
Probably Eaton.
1:03
Not sure it matters a lot either way.
Matt
1:03
Seems like most folks are skeptical of the Angels projection too. Maybe an opportunity for a thoughtful piece on how the "eye test" still differs from projections?
Dave Cameron
1:03
Jeff has already done that to some degree. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-angels-path-to-contention/
Prich
1:04
How much is Jerry Dipoto going to regret giving up anything for Gallardo (let alone an asset of some value in Smith) when he could have signed Hammel for almost the same amount but spread over two years?
Dave Cameron
1:04
Rumor is Hammel turned down 1/$10M from SEA.
If a player doesn't want your money, not sure how long you wait and hope he doesn't have a choice.
1:05
Okay, off to do some writing. Szym will be here in an hour. Thanks for hanging out, everyone.
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