Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:20
The Blue Jays, maybe.
12:21
Depends on what happens with some of their older stars, but if Bautista/Martin/Tulo decline and they play .500 ball this year, hard to see this team continuing to push to keep aging group together for another run.
Could throw the Orioles in there too. If they don't win this year, and can't re-sign Machado, they basically have to trade him next winter.
And then you're rebuilding.
Bubba
12:22
If Gsellman turns into Degrom 2.0, do other teams start trying to poach the Mets' pitching coaching staff?
Dave Cameron
12:22
Do we think coaches are the ones making these guys throw harder?
Erik
12:23
If the White Sox are lucky enough to have hit on all four of Moncada, Kopech, Giolito, and Lopez, do they have a shot at contention in 2018?
Dave Cameron
12:23
Well, yeah. But you could say that about almost any team.
bl27
12:23
Logan Forsythe is probably the leadoff with LAD. A full time job or Chase Utley will play vs (almost all) RHP ?
Dave Cameron
12:24
Utley's a bench guy this year.
Sterling Mallory Chris Archer
12:24
Regarding untapped markets, do you think that the MLB should invest more heavily in the lower income areas of the US? I know they have RBI, but couldn't that program be even bigger? I can't imagine how many young athletic kids could be stars in the MLB now that football is losing a bunch of youth.
Dave Cameron
12:25
RBI is widely considered a joke within the game. Yes, MLB needs to do more to promote the game for people who can't afford to put their kids on travel teams.
v2micca
12:26
I'm a fan that actually worries about competitive balance and fangraphs recent article regarding the potential end of it concerns me. What could MLB actually do to address it?
Dave Cameron
12:28
I'm not as concerned about it, given the flattening payroll structure MLB has seen, and how there aren't really any teams anymore who really can't afford to keep their best players. But if things flip and we get back to a place where the Yankees and Dodgers are just winning every year, expanding the playoff pool is probably the magic bullet. It degrades the value of putting a great team together in the regular season, since it increases the luck required to win a World Series, so the incentives aren't there to spend an extra $100 million to move your WS odds by a point or two.
Sterling Mallory Chris Archer
12:28
Curious: how does it feel to be one of the smartest people in the office?
Dave Cameron
12:28
Well the other people in my "office" are a dog and a two year old, so not that impressive.
Matt
12:29
Was the "analytics revolution" in baseball a bit of a harbinger for how important analytics would be become universally? I feel like the field has really opened up in every industry over the past decade.
Dave Cameron
12:29
I think it was more of a symptom than a cause. Access to data and computing power have changed the world.
Robbie
12:29
Patrick Corbin pitched 85 very good innings in 2015 after coming back from Tommy John surgery, but then was abysmal last year as a starter. Who do you think he really is?
Dave Cameron
12:29
I think he needs to figure out how to get RHBs out.
12:30
If he can do that, he's great.
If not, well, then he's a back-end starter.
Eric
12:30
The Mets were supposedly considering a Conforto for JD Martinez swap. Would that have been the worst move of the offseason?
Dave Cameron
12:30
That rumor doesn't pass the smell test.
Mike
12:30
Who do you think ends the season as the Nats closer?
Dave Cameron
12:30
Someone they trade for at the deadline.
v2micca
12:31
If Andrelton Simmons could produce a 115 wRC+ while maintaining his defensive ability, would he be an MVP candidate?
Dave Cameron
12:31
Easily.
J. Peterman
12:31
Let's say David Wright shows that A) he can still hit for average and power, and B) he cannot be relied upon to stay healthy while fielding. Could DH-ing in the AL be in his future, or are he and the Mets stuck with each other? Hard to imagine him in another jersey.
Dave Cameron
12:31
If he can't throw, I would guess the Mets would probably talk to him about pulling a Prince Fielder.
Chester
12:31
Isn't asking Haniger to have a monster all-star like year asking a lot?
Dave Cameron
12:32
Not if you buy the swing changes he made last year and the idea that he's a legit CF playing a corner. If he runs a 120 wRC+ with a +10 to +15 UZR in right or something, that's a +5 WAR player. That's Yoenis Cespedes, basically.
Chaco Chicken
12:32
Will MLB end their antiquated local tv blackout restrictions? Would that have a positive impact on younger demographics?
Dave Cameron
12:33
They aren't MLB's blackouts; they're the TV networks. The sport's financial boom has been held up by giving exclusive rights to a dying industry, so MLB is squeezing the last bit of blood out of a turnip before the cable industry dies and they pivot to direct over the top sales of their product themselves.
elephantine castle
12:34
Hi Dave, at what point do you think the Blue Jays given Osuna a trial as a starter? His scouting reports, and performance suggest decent secondaries, but with closer prices being what they are do you think he sticks there or is moved once Estrada/Happ are finished? Thanks
Dave Cameron
12:34
He's a reliever now. I don't think he ever moves back.
Phantastic
12:35
re: higher velocity. If velocity ticks up so much that, say, in 20 years 50% of pitchers are throwing 100+ and average velo is in the upper 90s, does MLB consider moving the mound further from home plate? other changes?
Dave Cameron
12:35
I'm guessing they would have to consider some real structural change to give hitters a better fighting chance, yes.
Jack
12:36
Re: Schwarber leading off-- isn't there merit to ensuring he gets a 4th/5th PA while allowing for an early-ish defensive replacement...
Dave Cameron
12:36
Sure. I hadn't thought of that. If that's really how Maddon handles it, then okay.
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