Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:01
Happy Wednesday, everyone.
Look forward to seeing all the DC-metro folks at Pitch Talks on Monday night.
12:02
Let's talk baseball (or children's books) for the next hour.
Scott
12:02
I think Gurriel read your article about the Astros needing a first baseman.
Dave Cameron
12:03
Yeah, I've noticed. That said, it's basically all a .500 BABIP; he still doesn't walk and has modest power.
ChiSox2020
12:03
Dave can you please rank the top 5 White Sox pitchers trade values? (Exclude Rodon since he won't be traded)
Dave Cameron
12:04
1. Quintana
2. Jones
3. Robertson
4. Gonzalez
5. Holland
Lauren
12:04
is there anything about the Diamondbacks and Rockies' early success that seems sustainable?
Dave Cameron
12:05
The Rockies bullpen looks legitimately excellent, and was their biggest problem last year. If these guys can continue to hold leads most of the year, that's a pretty significant swing for COL.
Rick
12:05
Dave, I know you arent the biggest believer of Schwarber but so far it seems like pitchers are pitching around Schwarber even though Kris Bryant and Rizzo are behind him. What would it take for you to change your stance? Is a .260/.360/.480 slash line out of the question?
Dave Cameron
12:07
Well, he's currently hitting .224/.359/.395, so I don't know why getting "pitched around" would cause me to re-evaluate anything. And no, that slash line is almost exactly what I expect from him. That's the left-handed Mike Napoli comp I've been using.
Big Tuna
12:07
Are you more concerned by the slow starts of Gausman, Maeda or neither?
Dave Cameron
12:08
Gausman just isn't that great, so I don't think his slow start is concerning; just a symptom of his limitations. Maeda's medicals were apparently awful before LAD signed him, so he's always going to be a bit of a concern.
Big Tuna
12:09
Do you buy the Yonder Alonso launch angle narrative as one that changes his outlook as a player?
Dave Cameron
12:10
It's pretty clear that a hitter can change his power output by implementing these adjustments. The drop in GB% isn't an accident.
Larry
12:10
Concerned about Swanson?
Dave Cameron
12:11
Yeah. Last year's BABIP masked a lot of offensive flaws. He'll probably be fine long term, but he wasn't ready to be as good as ATL hoped.
Seven Costanza
12:11
Having Billy Hamilton and Jose Peraza bat 1-2 every single game has to be the worst 1-2 punch in baseball, right? Even if they were batting their projections (which they aren't), it still seems like it would be the worst.
Dave Cameron
12:11
Well, Reds aren't really trying to win this year. Getting young guys ABs in a throwaway year is probably more valuable than optimal batting order.
Generic Sports Fan
12:12
Let's get the Bellinger question out of the way: To me he seems a lot like Joc Pedersen when he came up, being a three true outcomes type player. What does he need to do to show the Dodgers he has a different skill set than what they've already got?
Dave Cameron
12:12
Joc Pederson is good. You don't need a different skillset.
Having more Joc Pedersons makes the team better.
Jack C.
12:12
Crazy and wild hypothetical. Who says 'no' in this mega deal? Trout to NYY for Torres, Frazier, Rutherford, Mateo, and Andujar. Makes some sense to me I think? The Yankees don't touch their MLB roster and the Angels basically become the #1 system in baseball in one trade. On the surface, I think win-win.
Dave Cameron
12:13
The Angels wouldn't lend you Mike Trout for a week for that offer.
He's worth *so much more* than that.
John
12:13
Hey Dave, thanks for chatting. Who would you rank as the five best defensive players right now (non-catcher division)?
Dave Cameron
12:14
Simmons, Kiermaier, Hamilton, Crawford, then maybe Pillar or Lindor.
Couch
12:15
In regards to Cubs starters velocity drop. If it is because the Cubs delayed and or slow down their spring training routine, is it worth the risk of getting off to a slow start to the season? Or perhaps messing up the pitcher's mechanics/routine?
Dave Cameron
12:15
I think they have a pretty comfortable cushion in the NL Central. If they think this will have a real difference in October, it might be worth it.
Pat G
12:15
Hey Dave, thanks for taking the time to chat with us! Do you think Amed Rosario is closer to Lindor (immediate stud) or Russell (tool bag that always leaves a little more to be desired from statistical production)?
Dave Cameron
12:15
Russell.
Wright
12:16
I know the Coghlan play was awesome but what was Yadi suppose to do in that situation? He looks like he gets the ball and can't try to reach up an attempt to make the tag because he might just kill Coghlan
Dave Cameron
12:16
Yeah, that's a no-win play for the catcher.
Erik
12:16
With the Giants stumbling, there looks to be a very interesting race for the second NL wild card, with the Cardinals, Rockies, and Diamondbacks all having withing a 34 and 39% chance of making the playoffs. Who would you pick out of those three? Or do you see the Giants recovering despite Bumgarner's injury?
Dave Cameron
12:16
I'd probably still take STL out of that group.
The Average Sports Fan
12:17
Is there a market for Jurrickson Profar? It seems there is not PT for him in Texas.
Dave Cameron
12:17
He's nuked his trade value at this point.
Someone would maybe give you an A-ball arm or something, but he's not bringing back anything worthwhile.
Pie
12:17
Yuli Gurriel really turned his hitting profile around almost the second your article on him posted. Do you think the Astro's still need to think long term about 1B, or do you view him as a viable starter for the rest of season?
Dave Cameron
12:18
I think a team with WS aspirations should do better than an average-power/no walk 1B.
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