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Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:34
Could I write about baseball in a non-analytical way? I don't think so. My brain just doesn't work like that. I'm not Sam Miller.
Rick
12:35
Are there any AL teams besides the Blue Jays who've seriously diminished their playoff odds?
Dave Cameron
12:35
The Mariners. If Felix and Haniger's injuries aren't minor, they're in a lot of trouble.
Evil Goatee Dave
12:35
Can I buy you lunch before Pitch Talks? Dinner afterwards?
Dave Cameron
12:36
The doors open a few hours before the show starts, so just come to the Howard Theatre early and I'll hang out with everyone before the show. You won't have to buy me food.
Brian
12:37
Dave i work as purchaser for national bookstore chain, what do you want to know about kids books , in exchange for do you think Meadows will get the call up in coming days or weeks?
Dave Cameron
12:37
Give me three books I should definitely be reading my two year old, and I'll tell you that Meadows probably isn't up until June.
Josh
12:38
Who has more trade value today, Ryan Braun or Eric Thames?
Dave Cameron
12:38
It's Thames by a mile.
Outta my way, Gyorkass
12:39
Braun is less than a month from 10/5 rights kicking in, and has sparked renewed speculation about being traded. He's had a nice start - do you think someone not on his current no-trade list pulls the trigger and obtains him?
Dave Cameron
12:39
Sounds like he's willing to waive his no-trade rights this summer, so 10/5 not a big deal.
It would be a bigger problem if he wanted to stay in MIL.
Daron
12:39
Are Statcast probabilities going to lead us towards eventually assigning a specific value to each hit regardless of the outcome? For example if a home run probability on a hit that went over the fence was 33%, is that hit that going to be weighted to a lower value than a non-home run that had a 90% probability of being a home run?
Dave Cameron
12:40
Depends entirely on the metric. If you're building a forecasting tool, yes. If you're building a past-value metric, no.
BrotherMan
12:41
What are some player tools that made you rethink 80 grade (eg Stanton power)?
Dave Cameron
12:41
Hamilton speed, Chapman velo.
Joey
12:41
Based on your Rockies and DBacks answer, you don't feel the Dbacks early success is sustainable?
Dave Cameron
12:41
I think they're a .500ish team.
Rick
12:42
Do like k/9 better than k%?
Dave Cameron
12:42
No.
I use K% pretty much exclusively.
Kevin
12:42
Dave, it is that time of year where very smart people that I listen to say that a 5 and 10 start has to be factored into a team's record and must be included into a current forecast (say a .500 projected team now is forecasted to win 79 games). Don't projection systems at the beginning of the season include this 5-10 stretch just like it has a 10-5 stretch at another point in the season?
Dave Cameron
12:42
Nope. That's the gambler's fallacy.
TBD
12:43
What's up with Car Mar?
Dave Cameron
12:43
Hopefully looking around for a better nickname.
JWR
12:43
What would the Dave Cameron book look like? Any plans to write a book?
Dave Cameron
12:44
Not super interested in writing a book. Most of my friends who have done it have poured years of their lives into it, and I don't feel like I have years of my life to give up.
Josh
12:45
How much does finding a value like Eric Thames accelerate the playoff contention timeline for a team like the Brewers? Would they be more inclined to look for prospects who are closer to the majors at this point if they decided to trade him?
Dave Cameron
12:45
If he turns out to be a true talent +4 WAR first baseman, it helps, but it's only a two win change from what the pre-season projections suggested. It's not like those two wins push them into contention.
JTT
12:45
I don't remember who supplied the quote but some team exec on Maeda supposedly had "the worst medicals I'd ever seen"
Dave Cameron
12:46
That was me.
That's what I was told when he signed.
Grand Admiral Braun
12:46
Conforto > Schwarber now and long-term?
Dave Cameron
12:46
As an overall player? Yeah.
JWR
12:46
Would you rather have a hitter with average Exit Velocity but perfect swing loft or top EV who hit more ground balls?
Dave Cameron
12:47
Well, depends on if the latter guy is open to changing his swing. But Eric Hosmer is example 1 of why EV at the wrong angle isn't useful.
Mike M
12:47
Have you ever made it out to one of the last remaining Blockbusters in Bend?
Dave Cameron
12:47
I drive by it all the time. I don't have any kind of DVD/Blu-Ray player, though, so no real need for me to go in.
JWR
12:48
Next year, Bellinger starts the season at __ for the Dodgers.
Dave Cameron
12:48
Left field.
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