JotCast | Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat

Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat

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Dave Cameron

12:38

"Do we want children?"

More seriously, I think parenting philosophies are something you probably want to talk through before you have to make real-time decisions.

Wes

12:39

Do you see Moncada staying in AAA for the majority of the year or is Hahn just doing typical front office speak?

Dave Cameron

12:39

He'll be up after the Super Two deadline.

Sonny

12:40

How early would a team like Toronto, who had October aspirations, sell to try to set the market? Is there any precedent for sell offs before say the end of June?

Dave Cameron

12:40

They'll wait as long as they can. Teams that sell early are usually ones who knew they were going to be bad.

HappyFunBall

12:41

How more bullpen implosions do you think the Nats tolerate before Victor Robles starts looking for apartments in Chicago or KC?

Dave Cameron

12:41

They have a big enough cushion in the NL East that they can afford to wait.

Daniel

12:42

Cody Bellinger is better than Adrian Gonzalez. What will happen there?

Dave Cameron

12:42

Well sounds like Toles is out for a while, so Bellinger to LF.

HappyFunBall

12:42

When you say that the ROS projections update every day ... do you mean that ZIPS and Steamer actually recalculate? Or that preseason projections are simply re-balanced for expected playing time ROS?

Dave Cameron

12:43

ZIPS and Steamer ROS projections are updated projections based on in-season performance being taken into account. It is not just a playing time adjustment. Go look at the forecast changes for a guy like Ryan Zimmerman to see the differences.

12:44

The Jays, at 10.5 games back at this point and with their injuries, look like they can't realistically get back in it. Do you foresee a full out fire sale or would you expect them to keep Donaldson and build around him in the coming years?

Dave Cameron

12:45

I don't think they'll nuke the whole team, but I do think they'll listen on Donaldson, and Estrada probably goes.

12:45

Asked this question in a few chats--if you're a GM with your choice of Judge or Conforto, who do you take? Jeff said Judge, no question. Travis said Conforto who he believes to be a budding superstar. What's say you?

Dave Cameron

12:45

I'd take Judge.

Kosch

12:47

How come the Leaders by team by position list all the PA's for a player? For example, Marwin Gonzales has 86's total for the season, but when you sort by OF it shows that he has 86 PA's for the outfield when that is not true? http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=of&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&t...

Dave Cameron

12:47

It's a leaderboard, not a split. It's showing you the performance of all the players who have played enough to qualify at that position. If you want to see performance while playing a specific position, use the splits dropdown to pick "As LF"

Trey

12:47

True or false, once Amed Rosario gets called up, he'll be so good (relative to Mets SS) that Met fans will be like wtf was this guy doing in the minors all season

Dave Cameron

12:47

False

Jake

12:48

Can even the Yankees afford both Harper and Machado in 2019? We're talking about committing somewhere between $800 million to $1 billion over ten years for just two players.

Dave Cameron

12:49

No, no one is getting both.

Trent

12:49

you say (and other pundits have said) the Reds have an awful rotation... but isn't that kind of antiquated concept as Starters and Relievers, Rotations and Bullpens are starting to merge together. Consider how Bryan Price is using their entire pitching staff... it seems misleading to say they have a terrible rotation when really their overall pitching is probably closer to average or mediocre

Dave Cameron

12:50

Even with relievers carrying a larger load, the Reds only have three good RPs too. Most of their pitching staff is terrible, including the guys who throw the most innings.

Sonny

12:50

In D Laurila's piece yesterday on Jed Bradley Jed mentioned he never regained velo lost while transitioning to pro ball, is it common for amateur pitchers to throw harder outside of org ball (regardless of injury history) and any insight into why?

Dave Cameron

12:51

Yeah, that happens to almost everyone. You pitch once a week in HS. It's much easier to throw harder with a reduced workload.

Erik

12:51

With homers at an all time high, why is no one making a run at the record? Seems like every other year someone was making a run last time homers were this high

Dave Cameron

12:51

This HR surge is about the low-end guys finding power, not the high-end guys adding more.

Brian

12:52

Is Giolito really struggling, or are we just scouting the stat line? I've read that the stuff is still where it needs to be and he's working through some things. So, while the results aren't there, changing anything now might be an overreaction.

Dave Cameron

12:52

The stuff is down, the results are bad, and he's been overrated for a while now.

Sterling Mallory Chris Archer

12:53

Could you share a behind the scenes story of Fangraphs? What's something fun that we don't know about?

Dave Cameron

12:54

The story of how Carson came to get hired is great. He was recommended to us by Jonah Keri, who warned us we were going to get an email from a guy who wanted to write for us, and that it was going to be different. It was certainly different.

troke

12:54

Are there more injuries this year than usual, or does it just seem that way because 1/3 of my fantasy team is on the DL?

Dave Cameron

12:55

There are more DL stints because of the 10 day instead of 15 day change.

Phil

12:56

Assuming Kershaw and Hill (when healthy) are locks for the rotation, which 2 of Maeda, McCarthy, Ryu, Wood, and Urias gets pushed out of the rotation? And do the Dodgers just pretend Kazmir is dead for the rest of the season?

Dave Cameron

12:56

They'll just rotate those guys through, with different convenient injuries.

caesar_solid

12:57

who are the Cubs more likely to trade before July: Candelario, Happ, Baez or Schwarber?

Dave Cameron

12:57

Candelario is the one with absolutely no future in Chicago.

You can make a case for trading any of the other three, but Candelario is a clear trade chip.

Daniel

12:58