Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:02
Happy Wednesday, everyone.
We get to chat while Lance McCullers destroys the Marlins.
This should be fun.
Hector
12:03
Should the Pirates trade Cole soon? If they should or do, what would a return look like for the Pirates?
Dave Cameron
12:03
Unless they get hot soon, yes, he should be on the market this summer. They pretty clearly waited too long to trade Cutch, and can't risk making that mistake again.
striker
12:04
Quintana + Jones for Dahl, Rodgers, Hoffman, Amonte, Pedro Gonzalez.
Dave Cameron
12:04
I wouldn't take that if I was the White Sox. That's an injured maybe average player, an overrated prospect, an okay pitching prospect, and some stuff. They could do better.
The Average Sports Fan
12:05
How big a problem are Diaz's struggles for the Mariners?
Dave Cameron
12:05
Huge. That bullpen is garbage without him.
It's not very good with him either.
Jeb
12:05
What should the Pirates do with Cutch? He has the third worst BABIP in baseball right now, so you would assume some sort of bounce back. But, trading him probably won't net the Pirates much of anything.
Dave Cameron
12:05
At this point, you have to hold him and hope for the best. No point trading a franchise icon for pennies on the dollar just because.
Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
12:06
What's your take on Tampa Bay sending down Blake Snell?
Dave Cameron
12:06
Guys with 13% walk rates don't last as MLB starters. He's got work to do.
Blackburn
12:06
If you were the Pirates what would you do? Trade off pieces (Cole, Cutch, Harrison, Watson) over the next year? Total rebuild? Or hold? Thoughts?
Dave Cameron
12:07
Watson goes this summer, basically regardless of what the team does between now and July; they can't afford to keep him just for the hope they can make a Wild Card run. Cole you probably take offers on, and Cutch depends on how he hits over the next two months.
Kevin
12:08
A genie appears and you are presented with 2 options: you either never need to pay for food again for the rest of your life (restaraunts, groceries, etc.), or you are given a lump sum of cash. What is the amount of money where you draw the line i.e. any more you choose the cash, any less you choose the food?
Dave Cameron
12:09
My food budget is something like $200 per month, maybe $250. Let's say $250 just to make it $3,000 per year. If I think I'm going to live ~50 more years, that's $150,000 in expected food costs, not accounting for inflation. But I could probably get a better ROI from a lump sum than simply keeping up with inflation, so maybe $100K?
12:10
Plus time value of money and all that.
I guess the thing that isn't included in that scenario is that I could dramatically change my food budget if all food was free, but eating insane tasting menus every night doesn't appeal to me, so I'll stick with my answer.
Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
12:11
The Rays are an impressive 5th in baseball with a 108 wRC+, even without Ramos and Duffy. They're also running away with the K% record, with 27.0% to the 25.5% of the '16 Brewers and '13 Astros. They have a three true outcomes approach, but I feel like we have a good handle on how valuable a home run or walk is. Serious question, are strikeouts the new 2%? In other words, are other teams "overvaluing" the negative value of a K?
Dave Cameron
12:11
I don't think so; I think part of the HR surge is teams being willing to accept the Ks to get the rest of the power.
12:12
I think the uptick in league-wide K% means that the Rays aren't as big an outlier as they might seem.
Big Tuna
12:12
Podhorzer suggested that Moreland might be due for a HR surge. Do you agree?
Dave Cameron
12:12
Well he has, what, 1? Pretty easy to say he should hit more than 1 over the next 6 weeks. Does that count as a surge?
Ralph
12:13
how will barreto, chapman, nunez, olsen fit into the A's line up in the future? What happens to plouffe, lowrie, healy
Dave Cameron
12:13
Not all of those guys will develop, and the latter three aren't good enough to block anyone of note.
AJ
12:13
Hi Dave. Any chance that the Nationals continued bullpen meltdowns push them to do something rash? Maybe an over pay for Kahnle and Robertson? Same question regarding Boston's 3rd base situation and Todd Frazier. Thanks.
Dave Cameron
12:14
The Nationals moved Erick Fedde to the bullpen yesterday, so they have an internal flamethrower on the way. I'm guessing they'll still trade for a closer, but Fedde might end up being the second addition that we talked about them needing.
12:15
For the Red Sox, more and more the answer just looks like Devers. He's now running a 183 wRC+ in Double-A as a 20-year-old. And this isn't a Moncada situation, where the Ks make it likely it won't translate. Pretty good chance Devers is already something like a league average 3B with upside beyond that.
Crazy 8
12:15
Who's the better hitter, Bellinger or Joc?
Dave Cameron
12:15
Bellinger
Xmx
12:15
I know you were the high guy on the Yankees coming into the season. Where do you see them ending up? Buyers at the deadline and for whom?
Dave Cameron
12:16
Imagine they'll be in on every SP out there. You add a Darvish or a Cole to that rotation and they're scary in October.
Dustin
12:16
I've been a fan of moves Milwaukee has made in recent years to set itself up for future success. How much of the Brewers' good start this year is the manifestation of those good moves, and how much of it is a team simply playing a bit above its head over a relatively insignificant sampling of games?
Dave Cameron
12:16
Both. Obviously betting on Thames was smart, but they didn't think he was going to hit this well.
im peach
12:16
How many games back from a playoff spot do the Royals have to be for Dayton Moore to sell off his impending free agents?
Dave Cameron
12:17
I think if they're under .500 in July, they'll sell.
Nats fan
12:17
With all due respect, weren’t you being overly kind to Mike Rizzo (“ Rockies…outbid the Nationals for Greg Holland over the winter”)? Rizzo, who has never had an aversion to taking risks by signing high profile TJ pitchers, lost Holland on a one year $7 M deal but just 3 weeks later gave $21 M to Matt Wieters for a position where he had signed Norris to be the starter just 3 months earlier.
Dave Cameron
12:17
Rizzo didn't sign Wieters. The owners did.
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