JotCast | Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat

Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat

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Dave Cameron

12:48

I wouldn't assume they all leave.

Mile High

12:48

Rockies deadline predictions if they are in contention?

Dave Cameron

12:49

Coors masks it, but that offense needs help.

TKDC

12:49

When you say the Braves could move Kemp, do you mean that they could move him without eating a lot of his salary? I find that hard to believe, even though it would be great.

Dave Cameron

12:49

The Braves only took on 3/$27M when they picked him up from SD.

putting on my Dombrowski hat

12:50

Most pressing need for the Red Sox: a 3B who's better than Josh Rutledge, a depth starter who's better than Kyle Kendrick, or an 8th-inning reliever who's better than Matt Barnes? I'd argue it's the last one.

Dave Cameron

12:50

I'd agree. They probably hope that guy is Carson Smith, though.

Philbert

12:51

Justin Smoak is third in baseball in Z-Contact% at 95.5% after being among the worst at 82.2% last year. His K% spiked to 32.8% last year and is currently at 19%. He's also hitting for more power than he ever has before.

Dave Cameron

12:51

This is the year of the disappointing 1B prospect breakout. Maybe he and Alonso can compare notes at the All-Star game.

Matt

12:51

Hypothetical - Ohtani comes over this offseason. Considering he'd be signed to a standard minor league deal, how does a team handle him? Straight to the majors? AAA for a start or two? Bring him through the whole system?

Dave Cameron

12:52

Pretty sure part of the signing negotiations will be "I want a promise that you won't send me down."

Porcho Villa

12:53

Putting aside their creative use of the DL, the Dodgers also seem to be keeping starters with injury histories on low pitch counts. Alex Wood, for example, was pulled from his Coors start last week after throwing 6 shutout innings sitting on an 88 pitch count. Do you see this as an intentional/long-term strategy, and do you think it could catch on with the rest of the league? Or is it unique for the Dodgers with their deep, but injury-prone rotation?

Dave Cameron

12:53

It's intentional. They have no real reason to push starters deep, and want to keep arms as fresh as possible for October.

Grand Admiral Braun

12:54

More likely trade-candidate for the Cubs this offseason: Baez or Schwarber? Honestly, neither would net an amazing return. The Cubs are on the hook for Zobrist for two more seasons, and he's their "super-sub" who really can't play much defense. And eventually there's Eloy Jimenez, so aren't we looking at Schwarber deal?

Dave Cameron

12:55

It's hard to see Theo selling low on either, but given how high they are on Schwarber, I would imagine Baez would go first.

JTT

12:55

Jeff mentions Jason vargas almost daily. He just mentions how he refuses to believe he is suddenly interesting and that he is doing his best to avoid writing about Jason vargas

Dave Cameron

12:55

Okay, great, I'm telling Jeff to write about Vargas.

Grand Admiral Braun

12:55

Does the aforemetioned Rhys Hoskins have a comp that comes to mind? Right-handed Rizzo if all falls in-line?

Dave Cameron

12:56

I'd say more Goldschmidt, but that's obviously the 99th percentile outcome.

A more realistic version is probably Belt.

Or maybe Carlos Santana.

Sonny

12:57

Least relevant question but just curious. Let's say Matt Kemp gets traded and as part of the deal his new team pays 50% of what Atlanta is on the hook for, does he receive 3 separate pay checks or is it all rolled into one?

Dave Cameron

12:57

He gets one. The teams pay each other the amounts they remain on the hook for.

TKDC

12:59

The Braves took on 3/$27 million extra when they got Kemp (over Olivera salary). The Braves owe him $18 million this year, 2018, and 2019.

Dave Cameron

12:59

Ah, that's right, it was an offset deal, not a payment-from-SD deal.

1:00

I'm very impressed you eat for only $3k a year. you sir are a frugal man

Dave Cameron

1:00

You're surprised that an econ major who writes about ROI on baseball contracts is generally geared towards getting value out of his food purchases?

tout

1:01

If Dahl is just an average outfielder, isn't that extremely valuable in a trade, considering service time? He doesn't have to live up to his tools/prospect hype to be a good trade chip.

Dave Cameron

1:01

He has to be healthy, though.

Elton

1:01

I eat more than $200 month just in cereal.

Dave Cameron

1:01

I would recommend seeing a cardiologist.

1:02

Okay, on that note, I'll bid you all adieu.

We'll do it again next week.