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Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:01
Happy Wednesday, everyone.
Or pre-ACL reconstruction day for me. This is my last day with mobility for a while.
12:02
So let's talk about players whose knees aren't about to get cut open.
Blah
12:02
Dave, The baseballs are juiced/changed right? I don't think there is even a debate anymore.
Dave Cameron
12:02
There's definitely still a debate. There's circumstantial evidence that suggests the ball is different now, but it isn't a fair reading of the evidence to suggest we've removed all doubt.
12:03
I think the ball probably is different. It makes the most sense. But we don't *know*.
Mike
12:03
While the yankees' recent losing streak isn't a true barometer of what they are, does it reflect that the earlier hype was premature? Is their true ranking somewhere in between? Or is this just random bullpen mishaps making it an outlier?
Dave Cameron
12:03
By BaseRuns, they are the best team in baseball and it isn't close.
They're really good, recent losing streak or not.
AJ
12:03
Hi Dave.  The White Sox have very little payroll committed to next year (and 2 of their big contracts are Robertson and Quintana who may be traded). The Yankees need another starter, but are clearly not interested in rentals and would like to get under the $195M mark. If the White Sox agreed to take Ellsbury, would the Yankees be more inclined to trade from the top of their farm system?  Maybe, Frazier, Mateo and Sheffield for Quintana?  Would it be worth it from both sides?  Thanks.
Dave Cameron
12:04
Yeah, the White Sox should definitely be trying to buy talent by taking on bad contracts.
Whether that's something the Yankees are interested in is less clear.
Dustin
12:04
This "Freddie Freeman to third base" talk can't be something the Braves' front office is seriously considering, can it? I just can't imagine any other course of action for a still-rebuilding club besides dealing Matt Adams while his value is as high as it's been in years.
Dave Cameron
12:04
I think you're probably overrating how much the league would react to Adams having a hot month. He got traded for nothing not long ago; teams aren't going to think he's suddenly great now.
The idea that Adams could be flipped for some kind of real return is probably false.
Sonny
12:05
Pablo Sandoval is no longer trusted offensively or defensively late in games for the Red Sox, how does the team work around this and why should they?
Dave Cameron
12:05
They just need to cut him.
Dombrowski is being overly stubborn on this.
Bernie Brewer
12:05
Lance Lynn has had an ERA below his FIP/xFIP for the past few years, but this year it's even more extreme.  Is this sustainable?
Dave Cameron
12:06
Tony Blengino wrote about him and his contact suppression for the site today. He's throttling contact, so yes, while he's allowing this kind of weak contact, he's better than FIP thinks.
Orange Whips
12:06
I know the Twins aren't playoff caliber just yet. But have you seen enough from their young core this season to think they're on a good trajectory?
Dave Cameron
12:07
There's some promise there. With Buxton looking more like Billy Hamilton, though, I wonder if they've got enough high-level players. A lot of these guys like Kepler, Grossman, and Polanco look like guys you don't mind having, but not really core pieces.
Sano is really good. After that, I don't know.
Murdoc
12:07
Which is a worse idea, Matt Adams in left or Freddie Freeman at third?
Dave Cameron
12:08
Adams in left. Freeman was an average-ish first baseman, maybe even above average, with a strong arm. If he's a -10 3B, okay, well, that's still better than what they had.
And it's not like -10 3Bs don't get played.
Matt
12:08
Does Mookie's past life as a second baseman factor into his current/future value? Would the Red Sox/another team ever consider moving him back to the infield, or is he an OF from here on out? Does that versatility have any impact on $$?
Dave Cameron
12:09
He's an outfielder.
JTT
12:09
So what do you do if you're the Brewers?
Dave Cameron
12:09
Be patient, wait for the Cubs to run away with it, trade Garza in July or August.
Buff
12:10
So if the Rockies are probable buyers at the trade deadline, what do they buy? They appear to have a surplus of capable starters and outfielders, and their infield starters are stellar. More bullpen arms?
Dave Cameron
12:10
Mark Reynolds is stellar?
12:11
He's had a nice first half, but with Reynolds likely regression coming and CarGo struggling, plus Desmond not looking like a productive bat yet, they are a hitter or two short.
Beep boop im a robot
12:11
Ben Gamel is obviously playing unsustainably well right now. But even witj regression imminent, has this stint changed your mind at all about his talent? Maybe more than a fourth outfielder right now?
Dave Cameron
12:11
Yeah, he's probably good enough to play everyday now.
PTBNL
12:12
With Hardy on the shelf for a few weeks, Torres getting TJ, and Panda having an "ear infection," (I think he was misdiagnosed, he has bad-at-baseball-itis) which AL East team makes the first move to upgrade the hot corner? Could Cozart play 3B for the Yankees or Red Sox?
Dave Cameron
12:13
Don't see anyone acquiring Cozart to move him out of the middle of the infield. My guess is the Red Sox land Frazier as a 3B/1B/DH option, the Yankees stand pat with Headley, and the Orioles -- if they buy -- get Cozart.
Vince Clortho
12:13
Do defensive stats give credit to outfielders who cut off balls in the gap, or does that just count against baserunning stats as a failure to go from first to third?
Dave Cameron
12:13
That's counted as part of the ARM rating.
12:14
ARM is throwing runners out and preventing advancements. Of course, not all advance prevention is about throwing, but it gets counted in that bucket.
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