Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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JG
12:14
Has Fangraphs changed their weights to their xFIP and FIP calculations? I've noticed on multiple occasions when looking at pitchers who have barely any differences in their BB and K rates have wildly different calculations to the above. More so than in recent years.
Dave Cameron
12:14
No, the formulas haven't changed. FIP is heavily influenced by HR rate, so you need to also factor that in.
Sale
12:14
At what point I'm I in the convo as best LHP in baseball? Keyshaw, me, then Keuchel?
Dave Cameron
12:15
You're not in Kershaw's league. No one is.
Marichal
12:16
What are the chances that Cueto gets traded this summer, and who are the most likely trade partners?
Dave Cameron
12:16
Depends on how he pitches over the next month. If he keeps struggling and won't opt-out, they keep him, probably.
If he has a few good starts and it seems like he might walk away from the 4/$84M left on his deal, then they probably move him.
PTBNL
12:17
In an ideal world, who's participating in the home run derby this year?
Dave Cameron
12:17
Judge and Stanton, with everyone else quitting before the event starts so we can just get right to the finals with those two.
J
12:17
Judge rest of season wRC+?
Dave Cameron
12:17
135
Chris S
12:18
Do you still believe that the Nationals will be looking for a CF at the deadline? Michael A Taylor and Brian Goodwin seem to be chugging along rather well and Andrew Stevenson could be up soon. More relievers perhaps?
Dave Cameron
12:18
Would guess they'll get an OF who can play CF if Taylor goes in a funk, but could also play left while Werth is hurt.
D
12:19
"mobility" in the lightest of terms? how can you walk on a torn ACL?
Dave Cameron
12:20
I didn't realize this either until it happened, but you don't really need your ACL for everyday stuff. I hiked 4 miles on Saturday. You'd never know my knee was shot right now. But your ACL is needed for pivoting/stopping, so I can't really run unless it's just in a straight line and I give myself a lot of room to slow down.
LegallyEagle
12:21
Good luck with your ACL reconstruction! Hopefully you won't be hopped up on painkillers afterwards or anything (I'm not sure how the process works).
Dave Cameron
12:21
I've got a prescription for oxycodone, so if I write anything insane on Friday, I blame that.
Outta my way, Gyorkass
12:21
Judge checks in today with a Trout-ian 4.5 WAR on June 21. Obviously, he needs to display this level of baseball aptitude for quite a while before we judge him to be on the level of Trout, but what do you think is a reasonable end of year WAR figure for him?
Dave Cameron
12:22
He's running a .430 BABIP. He's not Troutian.
Maybe he gets to +7 or +8 WAR this year, but he's probably more of a +5ish player.
RE: ACL reconstruction
12:22
Take it *super* easy for the first few hours after surgery.  My wife had her ACL reconstructed and tried to crutch-hobble into the pharmacy with me a few hours later.  She nearly passed out.
Dave Cameron
12:22
Well, I tore the meniscus on both sides of my knee too, so I'm not going to be allowed to put any weight on my left leg for a month.
Mike M
12:22
I know you're not the resident prospect guy, but how good do you personally think Vlad Guerrero Jr. is going to be?
Dave Cameron
12:23
I think he's the best prospect in baseball.
And I wouldn't be surprised if he turned out to be the best hitter in the game in the next 10 years.
Justin
12:24
Despite Cozart having a career year and showing some signs of raw improvement (and some of batted ball luck), what is a realistic haul for him in the current market? a number 50-75 prospect and a kicker?
Dave Cameron
12:24
Don't think you get a Top 100 guy for him. Not enough demand for SS.
PTBNL
12:24
Why cut Sandoval when they could just send him down to Pawtucket and hope he figures it out? Take him off the 40-man like they did with Craig. It's not like he'd have any trouble clearing waivers - no one wants to touch that contract.
Dave Cameron
12:25
As a veteran with 5+ years of service time, he has the right to refuse any minor league assignment.
If you outright him off the 40 man, he can choose to be a free agent. That's cutting him.
Ichiro
12:26
I don't really think of Ichiro as a sure fire Hall of Famer anymore.  OPS of over .700 just twice in the last nine years.  Hall of Famer for you?
Dave Cameron
12:27
You think what 44-year-old Ichiro is doing as a fourth outfielder should impact our memories of what he was in his prime?
Kyle
12:27
who has more power Gallo or Judge.  Can Gallo make enough contact long term to make his power playable?
Dave Cameron
12:27
No one has Judge's power. No one.
Taco Tuesday
12:27
Idea: Astros tandem start Morton and Peacock in the playoffs. Both are great 1st two times through the order.
Dave Cameron
12:27
I think the Astros are setting themselves up to bullpen their way through the non-Keuchel starts in the postseason.
12:28
Even McCullers is probably a 5 IP guy in October because he throws so many pitches.
Then you have Morton, Peacock, Devenski, Martes, etc...
LegallyEagle
12:28
Cody Bellinger is making the All-Star game right?
Dave Cameron
12:28
Probably, though NL OF is crowded.
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