Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Joe
12:30
What's the % breakdown of the parts of baseball? Batting, base running, pitching, defense
Dave Cameron
12:31
40% pitching, 35% hitting, 20% defense, 5% baserunning
Something like that
Eric
12:31
Why do Nats fans think Michael A. Taylor is decent trade bait? I still see a talented, but flawed (and overachieving) 4th outfielder, not someone who will make other teams turn over decent relievers.
Dave Cameron
12:32
They're not trading Taylor; he's their starting CF.
Warren
12:32
Is there any reality in which the Braves push for the 2nd Wild Card spot? Do you think they should go after a starter at the deadline or just sell, sell, sell?
Dave Cameron
12:33
Could they get within 5 games of the 2nd WC? Maybe. Is that worth going for? No.
Porcho Villa
12:33
Do you think Maeda will stick in the rotation this time?
Dave Cameron
12:33
He's in the rotation. It's just a rotation that has more than five guys and requires that guys get "injured" a lot.
JD
12:34
I hope we're done with the Yuli slander. Guy had one back BABIP month but has otherwise been a VERY good hitter. He doesn't walk much but the power is there. Astros don't need another 1B. Are you on the Yuli-bandwagon yet? It's filling up fast...
Dave Cameron
12:35
He's 33, has a 3% walk rate and a .170 ISO, and his exit velocity numbers don't suggest that his power numbers have been understated.
If you're trying to win, you want a better first baseman than that.
Phil
12:35
Alvarez, Verdugo, Calhoun for Chris Archer. Who says no?
Dave Cameron
12:36
Archer is worth more than that.
Warren
12:36
What is the maximum return the Braves could get for a Adams or Kemp? Is the market strong enough for these guys for either to net a top-50 prospect?
Dave Cameron
12:36
Heh.
Matt Adams is worth the same nothing prospect he was worth a month ago.
Kemp wouldn't get claimed on waivers.
ErodCal
12:37
Belt has xwOBA similar to Rizzo, yet perception seems to be Rizzo elite, and Belt middle of pack.  Can Yankees get Belt on the cheap given that perception?  Of course Rizzo younger but really just 15 mos.
Dave Cameron
12:37
Belt is probably more hurt by his home park than almost anyone in baseball. If he played somewhere else, he'd be recognized as a much better player.
12:38
NYY stealing him from the Giants is interesting, since it does seem that SF doesn't necessarily love him.
Raisel Igneous Extrusive
12:39
Fill in the blank: Devers gets called up to Boston on _________
Dave Cameron
12:39
At this point, you have to say 8/15 or something. For whatever reason, they don't seem interested in giving him a look.
12:40
For anyone wanting to ask about Scooter Gennett, I unfortunately won't see your question, as I had to filter out his name due to one person putting their Scooter question in the queue about 500 times.
12:41
Sorry if you had a really good Scooter question, but I don't want to reward that guy's actions.
Michael C
12:41
bellinger for judge. Who says no?
Dave Cameron
12:41
Yankees.
Maybe the Dodgers too, but Judge is about as easy a marketing play as you can find.
thai
12:42
verdugo + calhoun for justin wilson and jd martinez.... whos say no?
Dave Cameron
12:42
Detroit will be able to do better than that.
Robbie
12:42
What did you think of Swartz's piece today? How does teams spending efficiently affect the labor market?
Dave Cameron
12:45
He's right. Efficient allocation of payroll doesn't serve to drive down total payroll. The same forces that are pushing down salaries for overrated 1B/DH types are pushing up salaries for previously undervalued players.

That said, there are weaknesses in the current labor system that make it so that certain types of players (speed and defense guys, mainly) are less likely to receive as much compensation in FA as sluggers, so the shift to properly valuing all types of production isn't necessarily a linear trade-off for the players. Which is why the MLBPA should be focused on improving the arb process too, not just getting as many guys to FA as possible.
NYTT
12:46
I know you aren't a draft/prospect guy, but do you think player evaluation in the draft and minor leagues have gotten better over the past couple of decades as information has spread throughout organizations and front offices have expanded?
Dave Cameron
12:46
Yes, no question.
Billy
12:46
Any ideas why a pitcher's "stuff" might disappear? I get that fastball velocity drops with ages, but what about other pitches? For e.g. Teheran was supposed to have a plus plus change up in the minors and now it's just a controlled but unspectacular pitch.
Dave Cameron
12:47
It's one of those things I don't think we understand well, but it happens a lot. James Shields had an amazing change-up, and then it went away. Justin Verlander's change is garbage now, when it used to be excellent.
Dave
12:47
Assuming the Tigers don't get much in terms of offers for Verlander, would it better to hope he fixes himself (again) for the potential of a better return next deadline?
Dave Cameron
12:47
Yeah, I can't see how you move him for any real value at this point unless you're eating half the contract.
TS
12:48
Please. Marwin is incredibly valuable, and is in the midst of a breakout.  Yuli is figuring things out, and absolutely, yes, I would go into the postseason with them. They can upgrade Beltran but Mark my words, you're gonna eat your words when the Stros win the WS MULTIPLE TIMES.
Dave Cameron
12:48
Well at least you're objective.
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