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Dave Cameron
12:54
There's a decent amount of research about incentive-based parenting and it seems pretty effective, in general. As a guy with an econ degree, I'm an easy sell, but I'm happy we've gone that way so far.
Aladdin Sane
12:54
The Cubs and Rays have been rumored to match up in trade forever, and this offseason I have a pet proposal centered on Happ and Faria.  Of course the Rays aren't looking to move league minimum players, but getting back a power hitter in the same contract situation could motivate it, considering their pitching depth.  Crazy or possible?  I do think each side would have to add some more to account for Happ's somewhat higher value due to pedigree
Dave Cameron
12:54
I doubt CHC wants to move Happ for a guy who looks like a probable back-end starter.
12:55
I'd expect they'd put Happ in an Archer deal.
LegallyEagle
12:55
Re: your assessment about potential bargins for SPs this off-season, will teams be actively considering middling SPs as potential converts to the pen to be potentially useful relievers (example being "good" Bud Norris)
Dave Cameron
12:55
Yeah, probably.
I am the walrus
12:55
Agree or not?  The Cubs will likely sign a lower FA pitcher (Cobb), sign a lower end closer (Reed), sign a middle rp (Mcgee) or two, send a regular (Happ) for a fairly high ceiling young pitcher and spend around $30M of there $70 salary they have to spend.
Dave Cameron
12:56
I think they'll go bigger on the closer.
If I had to guess, it'd be more like sign Cobb, trade Russell+ for Archer/Colome, sign Reed or Morrow or whoever, call it a winter.
Batman
12:57
Stanton is, and always has been going to the Dodgers. Why is this still ongoing? He wants to play on the coast. He has a no trade.
Dave Cameron
12:57
A no-trade isn't a must-trade. He can't compel Andrew Friedman to trade for him.
Dooduh
12:58
Why shouldn't 2017 be weighed most heavily?  Are you suggesting a paradigm shift away from weighing the most recent data most heavily??
Dave Cameron
12:59
Obviously it should be weighted more heavily than past data, but a conclusion where Morrow > Wade Davis means that weighting has been skewed.
CamdenWarehouse
12:59
Can we have a moratorium on "who says no"/"who hangs up first" questions?
Dave Cameron
12:59
I'm hanging up on this question.
Matt
1:00
What do you think of the old addage that Greg Bird and Brad Hand are worth Matt Bush?
Dave Cameron
1:00
I laughed.
Hello Dave
1:01
So you’re going to have to explain to me the Wade Davis thing. 33 year old 1 WAR RP who has lost 2 full mph on his fastball the last 2 years worth 17M/year?
Dave Cameron
1:02
Davis has allowed a .239 wOBA since start of 2015 season, the same mark as Zach Britton, one point behind Chapman, five points behind Kimbrel. This "actually Wade Davis isn't good" narrative is super weird.
Dooduh
1:03
Piscotty for Donaldson?!  What are you smoking?  Piscotty was awful this year.  Gaaaahhh...
Dave Cameron
1:03
I didn't say you trade Donaldson for PIscotty 1-1. I said you try to get a guy like that in the trade.
Bald Bull
1:04
Hi Dave, in the never ending quest to get Chris Archer away from Tampa, would Kyle Schwarber, Addy Russell, Victor Caratini, and Thomas Hatch do the trick?  Cubs could then look to sign Zack Cozart for 3 years at SS?
Dave Cameron
1:04
Rays would do that in a heartbeat.
Cubs would balk.
Craner
1:05
How much do you think the Blue Jays lose by trading JD at the deadline opposed to this offseason? Is it substantial enough to make a move now or just let things play out in the season?
Dave Cameron
1:05
Did you see what JD Martinez just got at the deadline?
Donaldson is better, but you can't guarantee there's going to be a team in need of a 3B rental in July.
Anthony
1:05
Thanks for the great work as always, Dave. I was wondering if you’d elaborate on your Gomez comments from your Top 50 Free Agents piece in which you say he has “a very weird mix of skills, and he doesn’t obviously profile as any kind of player a team is accustomed to having.” Am I missing something with him? Seems like he’s a poor man’s LoCain in that he can give you some speed, some power and some defense…wouldn’t this make him a bargain signing for a team (say the Mets) who can get about 60-70% of Cain’s production at roughly 1/4 the cost?
Dave Cameron
1:06
He's a guy who still gets a decent amount of value from his defense, but also hits homers and strikes out a lot. There aren't that many high-HR-high-K-high-UZR guys out there.
1:07
A lot of teams still want their defense-first guys to be slap-hitting OBP types.
And Gomez's baserunning values have never lined up with the perception that he's actually a terrible runner who makes a lot of outs.
So he's just a weird player.
Dub
1:08
who has most trade value Billy Hamilton, Odubel Herrera, Ender Inciarte?
Dave Cameron
1:08
Inciarte by a lot.
Robert
1:08
Over under 110 wRC+ for Acuña in 2018? (Assuming he’s up of course)
Dave Cameron
1:08
Under
Dominik
1:09
Are  hitter with extreme batted ball profiles (pull, FB especially) more likely to post low babips?
Dave Cameron
1:09
Yep. Pull-heavy lefties who hit the ball in the air all the time are going to sustain low BABIPs.
Dan
1:09
If Ohtani had the exact situation you describe for an NL team, how much WAR could he add with his bat, reasonably?
Dave Cameron
1:10
+1 to +2, depending on how good he is at the plate.
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